weathercoins Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Was the level of rapid intensification on the NAM while the coastal was still well south of here consistent with the Euro modeled solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Let me go ahead and do the ICON pbp even though it's not out yet THE ICON SUCKS The Rock to the ICON 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, osfan24 said: Yeah, some are getting carried away. The low was almost past our latitude by the time the NAM ended. That said, it does look like the potential for a widespread warning event for most of us. It was still clear that the focus was going to be along the coast, however. That really doesn't matter with that type of evolution at the upper levels. Its easy to say because its the NAM so its not worth parsing that much regardless. But if the GFS ran that exact run and beyond 84, it would be over a foot up the 95 corridor, no questions asked. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: Yeah, some are getting carried away. The low was almost past our latitude by the time the NAM ended. That said, it does look like the potential for a widespread warning event for most of us. It was still clear that the focus was going to be along the coast, however. Who is getting carried away. Like what makes you think that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Who is getting carried away. Like what makes you think that People who track snowstorms here know what happens when a low sub 990 and a closed h5 at our lat means with big time fronto overhead. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Who is getting carried away. Like what makes you think that People saying 15-20 inches in DC? LOL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 31 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Commidor 64? Hopefully not on a Radioshack Trash 80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 ICON does suck as a model, looks better thru 24 up top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 We almost had this. This is the goal lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Yeah, some are getting carried away. The low was almost past our latitude by the time the NAM ended. That said, it does look like the potential for a widespread warning event for most of us. It was still clear that the focus was going to be along the coast, however. Brother look at the surface. It's the NAM so I am not going to get carried away. But it was still snowing in Myrtle Beach at 84. There was a ton of snow left. Especially for you guys to the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, osfan24 said: People saying 15-20 inches in DC? LOL. I wish we had more frames, I'd be taking your lunch money (its not my forecast, I'm telling you what the NAM would have shown) 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: Still digesting that 18z EPS run. You’re in a good spot for this one methinks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, clskinsfan said: Brother look at the surface. It's the NAM so I am not going to get carried away. But it was still snowing in Myrtle Beach at 84. There was a ton of snow left. Especially for you guys to the east. Not to mention it was definitely about to cut off... Anyone hopping in the zoom soon? @psuhoffman and co 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Yeah, some are getting carried away. The low was almost past our latitude by the time the NAM ended. That said, it does look like the potential for a widespread warning event for most of us. It was still clear that the focus was going to be along the coast, however. The NAM looks like a regionwide 3-6" event with maybe 6-10" on the Eastern shore. I think most of us will take that. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, mappy said: You’re in a good spot for this one methinks! Seems it at this juncture. I will travel for the jack zone though if it ends up a biggie along the immediate coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 IDGAF what the surface shows. I’d take this 500 look any day. But…the NAM. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I wish we had more frames, I'd be taking your lunch money (its not my forecast, I'm telling you what the NAM would have shown) Hahaha I hope, man. You can have it all if I get 20 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Fozz said: The NAM looks like a regionwide 3-6" event with maybe 6-10" on the Eastern shore. I think most of us will take that. Nam might not even be halfway done there.. Just starting to pivot and precip extending well southwest of us. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: IDGAF what the surface shows. I’d take this 500 look any day. But…the NAM. I hope we get a full run of the NAM within range and it holds or shows something similar. Then people can watch the evolution of a look like that and what would have happened overhead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, osfan24 said: Hahaha I hope, man. You can have it all if I get 20 inches. You would need some very extensive surgery for you to get anywhere near that. Be happy with your 3-6”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I hope we get a full run of the NAM within range and it holds or shows something similar. Then people can watch the evolution of a look like that and what would have happened overhead. Yeah, the next run will show a significant amount more, but 12z should give us the whole picture, even if it's at range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, osfan24 said: Yeah, the next run will show a significant amount more, but 12z should give us the whole picture, even if it's at range. yeah, lets just hope that type of solution holds...it would be fun to watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I hope we get a full run of the NAM within range and it holds or shows something similar. Then people can watch the evolution of a look like that and what would have happened overhead. I’m in the camp that even if H84 were the total accumulations, it’d be a great storm here. It’s not like we live on Tug Hill where we average 300” — a 3-6” event is fun. NAM suggests more to come though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, Amped said: Nam might not even be halfway done there.. Just starting to pivot and precip extending well southwest of us. I was about to say...there certainly looked to be more to come...and many areas were already at a warning level, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Is PSU doing the Zoom? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, Amped said: Nam might not even be halfway done there.. Just starting to pivot and precip extending well southwest of us. It looked to me like the precip was about to consolidate closer to the coast and the surface low afterwards. But it's the NAM at 84 hours so who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Fozz said: It looked to me like the precip was about to consolidate closer to the coast and the surface low afterwards. But it's the NAM at 84 hours so who knows? Same. Some people acting like the storm is moving due north and so is the precip and all that stuff in SC is getting up here. Nope. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 First piece of bad news, don't like the RGEM's trend at all on h5 vs 18z or 12z. Worst of the 3 thru 57. Holding too much energy back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts