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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat


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Just now, baltosquid said:

It actually makes up a nice chunk of ground on the h5 development compared to 12z by 84. Definitely a touch worse but that energy coming diving behind is doing some serious work keeping things decent.

That piece is literally one of the best features we've seen. Usually those screw us, but it helps coming in on the backside to tilt this a bit and on the 18z, its more potent than last run. 

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Just now, DDweatherman said:

That piece is literally one of the best features we've seen. Usually those screw us, but it helps coming in on the backside to tilt this a bit and on the 18z, its more potent than last run. 

Wow a nina NS piece helping us? That would be a record, lol What happens then if that trends stronger? :D

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1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Wow a nina NS piece helping us? That would be a record, lol What happens then if that trends stronger? :D

If it comes in quicker and or more potent, thats not bad in this case. We need stuff to help pump heights out in front. If we could alleviate a lot of the "tail" like the 18z NAM did, that would be helpful too. 

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9 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Has the low been developing so far south before today?

The storm personality has changed quite a bit the last 3 days. It's still northern stream dominant but digs really deep and ignites the low pretty far south off the coast. That's new and why everyone is excited. Before it was a typical northern stream shortwave that sets things off too far north for us. Common in Nina's. This storm is on the rare side as is 

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