Maestrobjwa Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, DDweatherman said: Some means early on 12/09 looked like that You mean December 2009 or December 9th? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If I had only looked at the H5, I would have jaws'd it up. But surface tamped that down Who honestly believes, that after the typical block breakdown mishandling, that it won't also display the sub 72-hour slow NW walk? So long as the phase holds, I posit that it will. Also, better horizontal resolution absolutely does improve handling of all of these interactions. Take a look at H5 vort on the NAM 12km vs 3km at tau 60 on this run and tell me that the 3km wouldn't be even better. Block is slightly stronger and phase is slightly better. 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: You mean December 2009 or December 9th? Lol december 2009 lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, csnavywx said: Who honestly believes, that after the typical block breakdown mishandling, that it won't also display the sub 72-hour slow NW walk? So long as the phase holds, I posit that it will. Also, better horizontal resolution absolutely does improve handling of all of these interactions. Take a look at H5 vort on the NAM 12km vs 3km at tau 60 on this run and tell me that the 3km wouldn't be even better. Block is slightly stronger and phase is slightly better. Im kinda thinking that, but it's the Mid Atlantic in me that's saying we will find a way to fail. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Motherf*cker had TWO alternate names Lol we all failed to look last week after his estrogen post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, csnavywx said: Who honestly believes, that after the typical block breakdown mishandling, that it won't also display the sub 72-hour slow NW walk? So long as the phase holds, I posit that it will. Also, better horizontal resolution absolutely does improve handling of all of these interactions. Take a look at H5 vort on the NAM 12km vs 3km at tau 60 on this run and tell me that the 3km wouldn't be even better. Block is slightly stronger and phase is slightly better. Agreed. One thing I'd really like to see is some higher heights out in front NE of us. That can help once our low develops & if we do get a clean phase. We want our low to have as much of a due N component as possible. Backside energy dropping in can help with those heights. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: That was a next level stealth "I'm still here" post...very well done, lol Not stealthy enough apparently 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: december 2009 lol If you can make a repeat happen, I’ll forget what I said earlier. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, mappy said: Not stealthy enough apparently If you can make a repeat happen, I’ll forget what I said earlier. Shew, thats a lot of work... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, Cobalt said: hmmm This is so awesome on so many levels 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 35 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: For the type of setup, this one is trying hard af to hit on all cylinders. It could become the new "remember that unblocked northern stream phased luck bomb in 2022?" every time another pops up. Jan 2000 has been beat to death anyway The USA beat the Soviets at the Olympics in 80. If this storm does the equivalent then we can call it something… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, DDweatherman said: Shew, thats a lot of work... lol it is. The beer thing is still on though. fwiw, you know your stuff, so I shouldn’t be that mean. Just wish you’d wait a moment and let the run run before analyzing it. I get it, some things look good before they show it, but it’s hard to follow what’s happening on the models, when you’re guessing what could happen before it happens. So many happens… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Motherf*cker had TWO alternate names Operative phrase. ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, mappy said: estrogen post Lol. Literally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Lol. Literally There are not nearly enough women who post here, so I do what I can. It’s why y’all love me so. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Ok … (rubs hands together) … let the nw trend commence. 5 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, mappy said: There are not nearly enough women who post here, so I do what I can. It’s why y’all love me so. It's shocking that the biggest weenies are usually men. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Ok … (rubs hands together) … let the nw trend commence. I’m willing it west for us both! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 CntrTim85 Posted 5 minutes ago lol I got banned from the MA page. And then banned from AmericanWX all together. Like I can't just use an incognito tab and use one of my other 13 names on WX. Anyways, looking good for SE VA/NE NC! 1 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Seriously, the character of this storm seems to be shifting. Let the ns and sw energy line up completely and we won’t be looking at anything at all like we were looking at Sunday and Monday. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, mappy said: I’m willing it west for us both! Tag team 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Im kinda thinking that, but it's the Mid Atlantic in me that's saying we will find a way to fail. There will be a sneaky layer of bad winds, temps, too much oxygen, too much Holst. Something 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Im kinda thinking that, but it's the Mid Atlantic in me that's saying we will find a way to fail. The phase is still a pain point, but that seems to be working out as the northern stream wave has trended slower. There's room for improvement on both ends, so long as the phase is still on the table. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Seriously, the character of this storm seems to be shifting. Let the ns and sw energy line up completely and we won’t be looking at anything at all like we were looking at Sunday and Monday. You got it. I'm liking that the most and its not a tangible thing, just a vibe thing. Arguably the most important 18z euro run in its history (don't think it was running yet in 2016). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Sorry, but a low that has a genesis off of FL is not a Miller B. Not in any book I've ever read or studied. Wish we'd stop with that. 9 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, mappy said: lol it is. The beer thing is still on though. fwiw, you know your stuff, so I shouldn’t be that mean. Just wish you’d wait a moment and let the run run before analyzing it. I get it, some things look good before they show it, but it’s hard to follow what’s happening on the models, when you’re guessing what could happen before it happens. So many happens… Trust me, I want this one to happen for us, so let the beer commence. I get it though, these models can throw us all for a loop. 18z GFS is a prime example. If you read a lot of the folks posts coming up to the prime frames, you'd think jaws was coming. Surface didn't turn out and by hr 84 the trough was a bit broad, even though it was night and day from the past few. You're right in that being the main reason to just hang tight. Now, if it looks like the 18z NAM was looking from real early on, we can play the jaws music. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Motherf*cker had TWO alternate names Imagine being such a butthurt troll that you need to create 2 burner accounts to come back to a place that doesnt want you. People are odd man. 2 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: SE VA is on a heater! #2, final answer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Seriously, the character of this storm seems to be shifting. Let the ns and sw energy line up completely and we won’t be looking at anything at all like we were looking at Sunday and Monday. So it will B more Miller A? Clowngif 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, csnavywx said: Sorry, but a low that has a genesis off of FL is not a Miller B. Not in any book I've ever read or studied. Wish we'd stop with that. I have my reservation there too, I get the energy redevelopment. @WinterWxLuvr best post of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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