WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: bad run for NW/SW crew Looks pretty good to me 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2022 Author Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Lol, the Kuchera gives us almost 10" CntrTim gets to be moderator if I get 9” from this thing like the Kuchera map shows 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro snowfall looks absurd given the track of the low lol. I'll lean more towards a GFS solution for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just shift it southwest a tiny bit and we boom. Too bad it's almost certainly wrong lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Looks pretty good to me Look at this, best we've seen yet. Great aligning after h72 with the N & S pieces helped tilt the axis. H5 closing off over NC certainly helped too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Just like a thumb is 6” I guess I need to break our my ruler again. It truly relieves the stress of life. Oh. And its fantastic for measuring snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Looks pretty good to mesorry, if I was aiming to be honest what I should’ve said was it doesn’t satisfy me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Enjoy this run (if you are in the northeast half of the sub) but be careful... the euro has a bias to be over amplified and too generous on the western extent of these miller b storms. My words will have absolutely no bearing on the outcome and you are all totally welcome to ignore me or tell me to shut up...but for me...seeing the euro as the furthest west solution at this point is not shocking...and not very comforting either. If we see other guidance converge in this direction then I would start to build some confidence for a better outcome. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: Euro snowfall looks absurd given the track of the low lol. I'll lean more towards a GFS solution for now. Agreed considering where the low is. But then again, looking at h5, I'm not sure I buy the low there either? Just now, osfan24 said: Just shift it southwest a tiny bit and we boom. Too bad it's almost certainly wrong lol. This part is probably true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 It’s actually a tick west with the heavies from the 0z run. 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: Euro snowfall looks absurd given the track of the low lol. I'll lean more towards a GFS solution for now. I'm still shoveling the snow the euro gave me last winter. so I agree. The Vista maps are better and based in reality, not fantasy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Enjoy this run (if you are in the northeast half of the sub) but be careful... the euro has a bias to be over amplified and too generous on the western extent of these miller b storms. My words will have absolutely no bearing on the outcome and you are all totally welcome to ignore me or tell me to shut up...but for me...seeing the euro as the furthest west solution at this point is not shocking...and not very comforting either. If we see other guidance converge in this direction then I would start to build some confidence for a better outcome. Juno nightmares for the NYC crew Steve... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Enjoy this run (if you are in the northeast half of the sub) but be careful... the euro has a bias to be over amplified and too generous on the western extent of these miller b storms. My words will have absolutely no bearing on the outcome and you are all totally welcome to ignore me or tell me to shut up...but for me...seeing the euro as the furthest west solution at this point is not shocking...and not very comforting either. If we see other guidance converge in this direction then I would start to build some confidence for a better outcome. DebbieDowner.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: People not to stop using Kuchera. Those rates won't come close to verifying with this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: It’s actually a tick west with the heavies from the 0z run. That's way more than a tick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Don’t think we’ve had a map giving anything in this area 40 inches (only a few days out) in 5+ years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Oof, Euro snowmap is way too overdone. Has my area getting 10+ on ~.4 qpf yeah. okay. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Enjoy this run (if you are in the northeast half of the sub) but be careful... the euro has a bias to be over amplified and too generous on the western extent of these miller b storms. My words will have absolutely no bearing on the outcome and you are all totally welcome to ignore me or tell me to shut up...but for me...seeing the euro as the furthest west solution at this point is not shocking...and not very comforting either. If we see other guidance converge in this direction then I would start to build some confidence for a better outcome. I am enjoying it for the entertainment value that it is. Still hoping for a warning level snowfall, which seems realistic over here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Enjoy this run (if you are in the northeast half of the sub) but be careful... the euro has a bias to be over amplified and too generous on the western extent of these miller b storms. My words will have absolutely no bearing on the outcome and you are all totally welcome to ignore me or tell me to shut up...but for me...seeing the euro as the furthest west solution at this point is not shocking...and not very comforting either. If we see other guidance converge in this direction then I would start to build some confidence for a better outcome. Sage advise. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Looks great but I have to wonder if the Euro is overdoing the trough the way it was about this time last week with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, mappy said: Oof, Euro snowmap is way too overdone. Has my area getting 10+ on ~.4 qpf yeah. okay. Especially closer to coast when actual ratio likely even lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 every single 12z model trended west. Trend Friend 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I’ll believe all this Euro crap when the NAM gets on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, mappy said: Oof, Euro snowmap is way too overdone. Has my area getting 10+ on ~.4 qpf yeah. okay. Overdone but i think 15-1 is achievable. 25-1 is a bit of stretch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 It would be great for the Euro to get some more support and westerly trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Harford/Cecil/N. Kent are in for quite a disappointment. Potential for something significant, and it keeps getting teased, but we should know what’s going to happen. I feel like CAPE will get 3-4”, with a coating NW. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, hazwoper said: People not to stop using Kuchera. Those rates won't come close to verifying with this storm. 10:1 still gives nearly 30 inches to the immediate coast of MD and DE. The map algorithms aren't the 'issue' here lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Beautiful leaf on the NW side. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leaking Gut Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Ryan Maue ported this map, very different from Kuchera 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a.salt Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 What's wrong with Kuchera? Nothing wrong with fantasy snow...whether it's 30 or 3, it's still a fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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