ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: If this happened, WinterWxLuvr would get in a bath tub and drop a toaster in it It was broader/a bit west with that energy through about 72hrs, but then the northern piece drops basically due S and gets nudged in by the TPV to give us a pretty clean phase/allows the low to get going sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Snow map is just excruciating. But we get snow, so.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Well done Euro. Damn it, now I have to keep paying attention to every model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If this happened, WinterWxLuvr would get in a bath tub and drop a toaster in it bad run for NW/SW crew 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 This shows what helped save us in the later frames, look north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: these ratios are pretty generous, FYI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Lol, the Kuchera gives us almost 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: The state of Delaware approves this message 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Nice to see the jackpot move to MD at least! 12z has me in through at least happy hour, then. edit: wow, snow maps look even better than I expected. King euro, please take the crown back! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: bad run for NW/SW crew Apologies to those map holes, but I’d sign the F up right now for some of that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 51 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @psuhoffman that shows our dilemma so well. Outside of a few random ensemble members, I haven't seen any models have a track on or very near OCMD like you show is probably necessary. Maybe this one is the grand exception, but I'm not holding my breath on that. I think we're thinking similarly about this. Am I praying for some miracle capture/tuck sure...but the tracks being advertised are very very similar to the bomb cyclone in 2018 and the January 2015 storm and several others where we tortured ourselves for a week praying for this or that to somehow change the outcome when the problem is just a fatal flaw in where the storm is staring out. There is only so much improvement any trend in this or that variable can do for us when the storm isn't even starting to develop and mature until its already well east of our longitude. It's already too late at that point barring some kind of miracle once in a generation type capture and tuck thing. Some of the 12z runs (euro looks good too) kinda max our potential with the NS SW though. That's by far our best bet here. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Definitely enlogating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Looks like it will be snowing by around 2 pm Friday afternoon here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 can someone post a euro snowmap that include dc and seva? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: This is absurd for Ocean City. I have to imagine if this is even close to realistic, there's going to be a lot of chasers heading down there 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Carbon copy at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 The state of Delaware approves this messageI am dancing Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I think we're thinking similarly about this. Am I praying for some miracle capture/tuck sure...but the tracks being advertised are very very similar to the bomb cyclone in 2018 and the January 2015 storm and several others where we tortured ourselves for a week praying for this or that to somehow change the outcome when the problem is just a fatal flaw in where the storm is staring out. There is only so much improvement any trend in this or that variable can do for us when the storm isn't even starting to develop and mature until its already well east of our longitude. It's already too late at that point barring some kind of miracle once in a generation type capture and tuck thing. Some of the 12z runs (euro looks good too) kinda max our potential with the NS SW though. That's by far our best bet here. Call me crazy, but if the Euro would have just kept the S/S energy in the exact place as 0z/6z, with as favorable as it dove in the northern piece, we would have gotten 6"+ even back in our areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twilly05 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: bad run for NW/SW crew Ne Maryland. We take. Rooting for 50 mile west trend so everyone can play! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I mean, that would be one of most depressing outcomes in history for my area, but I certainly like the trend for we NW'ers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Name this one the Delaware Day After Tomorrow Storm. Just move that thing 10mi west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, Steve25 said: This is absurd for Ocean City. I have to imagine if this is even close to realistic, there's going to be a lot of chasers heading down there If this is even close to realistic, the chasers should plan on staying there for a while. Can’t imagine those roads will be dug out for a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: bad run for NW/SW crew The thing is.. the mix line is still *OFFSHORE* with this. So there's room for this to get further west without screwing anyone in the sub. That's pretty good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Stunning.Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 QPF bomb for the Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 12z Euro implies BWI and DCA will meet or exceed 100% of annual snowfall with this event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I really like seeing that jackpot ESE of DC on this run. A 75 mile shift west (probably just slightly better timing) and we are Talking dogs living with cats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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