WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 What is it with posters who put Center in their name? It’s like a brand or something. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Last storm needed a nudge southeast and went northwest. This storm needs a trend southwest. Can we finally get the trend we actually need for that particular storm to work out for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I mean...if the things go more euro-ish, the eye-popping stuff ain't that far away, lol Shhhhhhhh! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 The one thing I am taking away from the morning runs is the front end is more robust for those of us to the NW. I am thinking 2-4 is a realistic possibility with that part. And 2-4 is better than nothing. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: The one thing I am taking away from the morning runs is the front end is more robust for those of us to the NW. I am thinking 2-4 is a realistic possibility with that part. And 2-4 is better than nothing. Are we hammered yet? Crushed? Beatdown? Lol. Good luck brother. I probably won’t be here. Unless … my morning meditation brings this low to Hampton. Warning to the majority… I’m trying to will this thing inland. Beware!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: In an hour, I'll be on Amtrak during the 12z runs, heading to NYC for a day appointment. If the Amtrak wifi is per usual, I will have the internet speed of AOL 4.0 with a 56k modem. But I'll try my best to do some pbp. I am already out to 60 and its norther, easter, wester, drier, sharper, cut offer, omegaer, trougher, Miller ABACABer 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Are we hammered yet? Crushed? Beatdown? Lol. Good luck brother. I probably won’t be here. Unless … my morning meditation brings this low to Hampton. Warning to the majority… I’m trying to will this thing inland. Beware!!! I am seriously considering going to the beach for this one. But I dont want to do it if its going to be a miserable cold rainer there. Nothing better than standing on the beach with 35 MPH winds and ripping powder. Change that to rain and it is about as miserable as it gets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Shhhhhhhh! Ah shame on me....what am I, a rookie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I don't know about y'all but if we gonna track thins GD storm all week and not cash in the only Miller I care about it a lot of this. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, stormtracker said: In an hour, I'll be on Amtrak during the 12z runs, heading to NYC for a day appointment. If the Amtrak wifi is per usual, I will have the internet speed of AOL 4.0 with a 56k modem. But I'll try my best to do some pbp. Wow. It's been a couple years since I've been on Amtrak. Excited to hear they've upgraded the WiFi experience from Prodigy 1.0 with a 300 baud modem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 20 minutes ago, CentralVaNATS said: The Control is garbage. As useful as the NAM @84hrs or the jma Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Yes and thank you for noticing Art 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, H2O said: I don't know about y'all but if we gonna track thins GD storm all week and not cash in the only Miller I care about it a lot of this. Lite. That's the kind of snow we'll end up with. edit: You could have at least used the Genuine Drift. more edit: Better than Bermuda High Life I suppose. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Yes and thank you for noticing ArtGlad to point it out for you guy. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 19 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: What is it with posters who put Center in their name? It’s like a brand or something. I think its more simple than that. It's related to the monetary value of their posts and even then it's pretty steep 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 25 minutes ago, stormtracker said: In an hour, I'll be on Amtrak during the 12z runs, heading to NYC for a day appointment. If the Amtrak wifi is per usual, I will have the internet speed of AOL 4.0 with a 56k modem. But I'll try my best to do some pbp. Your vaccine should help with your 5G service, though! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, The Dude said: Wow. It's been a couple years since I've been on Amtrak. Excited to hear they've upgraded the WiFi experience from Prodigy 1.0 with a 300 baud modem. Took one from Norfolk to DC not too long ago and was pleasantly surprised with the internet, much better than it used to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 hours ago, dailylurker said: I don't see any hits for NW of the cities. It's obvious this isn't our winter up this way. We win 99% of the time. I’m not gonna carry on if we take a loss this one time. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 52 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Been said time and time again - the on-land data sampling thing is mostly a thing of the past. Remote sensing has some a LONG way - the vast majority of waves/energy etc are sampled quite well by satellites. What probably ends up happening is coincidence imo. Maybe not every time but by the time a shortwave hits the conus, leads are pretty short and models should be honing in due to less time/error problems. The seeming "jump" in guidance happens all over that timeframe shortening. Shortwave sampling or statistical accuracy? Cast your vote 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 hour ago, CentralVaNATS said: I know to just leave the control out of the equation at 4 days lead time. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Funny that’s how I treat your posts at all times! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: What probably ends up happening is coincidence imo. Maybe not every time but by the time a shortwave hits the conus, leads are pretty short and models should be honing in due to less time/error problems. The seeming "jump" in guidance happens all over that timeframe shortening. Shortwave sampling or statistical accuracy? Cast your vote I would agree here. But I’m also a believer that data is best collected where humans actually exist. A huge piece to this puzzle is gonna be the actual longitude of the ns energy that dives in. That piece is currently in a place that might as well be the moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I'm more in the Wwxluvr camp, it hasn't been that great of a winter out here to the NW... those who say we win a lot, suit yourselves but I want snow. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 From observation the euro control is typically very similar (but lower res) as the op inside about 120 hours. So I think it’s valid when they match at 90 to use the control to get a general sense where the off hours op was going the next 24 hours or so. Beyond that it loses value. And it’s no more valuable than the op which has debatable value lately. And it won’t see details like the op due to lower resolution. Take all that however you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: We win 99% of the time. I’m not gonna carry on if we take a loss this one time. Tell him it’s January. The winter eulogy comes in March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I'm more in the Wwxluvr camp, it hasn't been that great of a winter out here to the NW... those who say we win a lot, suit yourselves but I want snow. It’s still been better to date than last year. And last year was a pretty good winter. Long way to go. I’ve been satisfied so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I'm more in the Wwxluvr camp, it hasn't been that great of a winter out here to the NW... those who say we win a lot, suit yourselves but I want snow. I just spent 6 years with super boring winters in AA county while NW got crushed. I move NW and AA county gets a great winter while I get another winter of frozen mud and storms missing east, West, North and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 MRB is -2.8 for January so far. If it snows 0.5” here Friday, I’ll have a double-digit snowfall total for January. It’s been a pretty good winter month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 44 minutes ago, stormtracker said: In an hour, I'll be on Amtrak during the 12z runs, heading to NYC for a day appointment. If the Amtrak wifi is per usual, I will have the internet speed of AOL 4.0 with a 56k modem. But I'll try my best to do some pbp. So Randy's pbp gonna be like... B-b-b-booooog beep-beep-bop-beep-beep-bop Ee-eeeek skrrrrr-rahhhhhhhh E-urng E-urng E-urngah Skurrrrrrrrrrrr SKerrrrrrrrr SKeeeek! ............. Welcome! You've got model! Gfs out to 6 (5 mins later) out to 12... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, WVclimo said: MRB is -2.8 for January so far. If it snows 0.5” here Friday, I’ll have a double-digit snowfall total for January. It’s been a pretty good winter month. DCA has had as much snow as Albany this year to put things in perspective 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: So Randy's pbp gonna be like... B-b-b-booooog beep-beep-bop-beep-beep-bop Ee-eeeek skrrrrr-rahhhhhhhh E-urng E-urng E-urngah Skurrrrrrrrrrrr SKerrrrrrrrr SKeeeek! ............. Welcome! You've got model! Gfs out to 6 (5 mins later) out to 12... I remember that exact experience loading model runs before the Blizzard of 1996. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, WVclimo said: I remember that exact experience loading model runs before the Blizzard of 1996. And to think today we get impatient if it runs 2 mins slow...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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