WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Qpf increase +150 No. I want an amount for over under. Like …. Double current QPF. Triple? 1.5 times? What’s the line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Come on, man. You’ve got a bigger wiener than that. Go big or go home. Careful. You’ll draw RR in here 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: No. I want an amount for over under. Like …. Double current QPF. Triple? 1.5 times? What’s the line? I thought with the +150, he meant 150%. This is why I never bet. If there isn’t a stooge at the table, you’re the stooge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Gonna be a weenie for a second, but it seems the 18z guidance argues for warning level snow for all of Delmarva and wouldn't be surprise to see Calvert and St. Mary's counties eventually get a warning out of this. Further west, wouldn't be surprised to see advisories in Maryland along and east of I-95. If you’re gonna be a weenie, do it for the areas west of 95 …. Like I81 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 17 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff. I’d hit the hell outta that 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: I’d hit the hell outta that Got some weird 4” max over me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, psuhoffman said: Got some weird 4” max over me Are you really surprised? Cause none of us are. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 20 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff. Leesburg screwed but my new location does better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff. I want more, but the the rational part of my brain says lock this up. 5 inches would be great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 With that said, it too gives me 3-4” so I’ll take it as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I'll take 3". Hope it comes further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Got some weird 4” max over me This isn’t a typical setup I do good in. Look at comps. Boxing Day nada. Nemo nada. Jan 2015 1.5”. Jan 2017 nada Bomb 2018 nada March 2018 1” not a great track record with off the coast track storms here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Why the difficulty in modeling storms in this pattern? Is it just an issue of new data ingested or something else? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 22 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Come on, man. You’ve got a bigger wiener than that. Go big or go home. I'm from Missouri the show me state, please show me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Careful. You’ll draw RR in here You called?. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Got some weird 4” max over me You took Viagra recently?. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’d hit the hell outta that At this point, what wouldn’t you hit? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: Why the difficulty in modeling storms in this pattern? Is it just an issue of new data ingested or something else? It's a volatile setup. Any rapid developing strong low off the east coast is hard to model. Especially when it starts off as basically nothing thru the deep south. It's a tall order and many years away for a storm like this to be well handled by guidance even just 3 days out. Also, the shifts in track from a mileage standpoint is really just noise. What, 50-75 mile wobbles every 6 hours? That's really nothing and well within any reasonable margin of error for current tech. Unless it affects 50 million people and many weenies. If this storm was modeled off the coast the whole time nobody would care about a 300 mile shift. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 And we all laughed at the Weather Channel naming storms, but 9 years later, its Nemo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 13 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Leesburg screwed but my new location does better Solid move on your part. Final call still 2.8? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, ravensrule said: You took Viagra recently?. You measure side to side right? 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 35 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff. Between this and the 12z euro if this snow happens it will have made tracking this storm all week so worth it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: You measure side to side right? I’m dead. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 7 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: Why the difficulty in modeling storms in this pattern? Is it just an issue of new data ingested or something else? Think it’s just a very sensitive setup. Personally I find it amazing that some wiring, plastic and electricity can tell us a storm is gonna happen 6 days before it does …. And then it happens! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I'm from Missouri the show me state, please show me. Funny story. When I was vendor at Camden Yards for all those years, we’d hang out after all the games over at Sliders. Every now and then a couple of players would roll in and one night it was Scott Erickson. I happened to be taking a leak at one of the urinals and he came in and used the urinal next to me. I looked up at him with the straightest face I could muster and said, “Nice bat for a pitcher.” He zipped up, flushed, called me an asshole and walked out. When I came out there was a beer on the bar for me from him. 3 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, H2O said: Solid move on your part. Final call still 2.8? I'm waffling.....mmmm...waffles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Got some weird 4” max over me Wow so weird. That never happens. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Need some help but euro looks better at 500? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: At this point, what wouldn’t you hit? Give me another Flying Dog Triple Dog and the answer is NOT MUCH 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, WxUSAF said: Wow so weird. That never happens. Huh. Wasn’t expecting that. #takenaback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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