pazzo83 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, mappy said: i mean, tbh, i really can't forecast for shit. so i will give him that i would say model worshipper is a stretch tho. you like maps. models are plotted on maps. I mean there is a connection there but that is a bit strong imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, jayyy said: This is exactly what I mean. How can this be correct? It looks like it attempts to correct itself, despite no mechanism present to push the storm WNW like that. That’s an odd track, no doubt. Looking at 500 and 700, it seems like the storm (and associated precip shield) should be further west when it gets going initially off the NC coastline. Playing along here. If the low forms closer to the coast based 500 and 700. Then moves NNE as opposed to doing it’s money dance from Bermuda then 200 miles back west then up the coast. Maybe the precip shield respond with a more uniform distribution farther inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, jayyy said: We still love ya all the same. Phew. Just now, pazzo83 said: i would say model worshipper is a stretch tho. you like maps. models are plotted on maps. I mean there is a connection there but that is a bit strong imo. I haven't looked at single model today other than whats been shared here lol Clearly there was a misunderstanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Going by the last two pages it isn't going snow except VA Beach where it always snows. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Dude, its ok, its just a weather board. Your best post ever 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Playing along here. If the low forms closer to the coast based 500 and 700. Then moves NNE as opposed to doing it’s money dance from Bermuda then 200 miles back west then up the coast. Maybe the precip shield respond with a more uniform distribution farther inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, pazzo83 said: i would say model worshipper is a stretch tho. you like maps. models are plotted on maps. I mean there is a connection there but that is a bit strong imo. Person with name mappy likes maps. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 If we’re still talking about snow here, I thought the 18z NAMs were noise level changes over 12z. 3k looked better with my Friday evening mood snow and light accumulations. That’s good enough for me. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 14 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Playing along here. If the low forms closer to the coast based 500 and 700. Then moves NNE as opposed to doing it’s money dance from Bermuda then 200 miles back west then up the coast. Maybe the precip shield respond with a more uniform distribution farther inland. That’s my line of thinking. Now, I’m not talking hundreds of miles or anything. Not enough of a difference to give places west of Baltimore and DC a bunch of snow magically. but I am talking about enough of a difference to potentially place the 95 corridor and places just east firmly inside the western flank of the main precip shield. I may be completely off base here. So red / met green tags feel free to interject. But how the low behaves on the 12k NAM off Hatterus seems a bit sus to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 What do they put in the water in Kemp Mill...Anyway, I see pretty good Consensus on the modeling for 1-2" maybe 3" if all breaks well mainly Friday afternoon/evening for the DC-Balt Corridor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: If we’re still talking about snow here, I thought the 18z NAMs were noise level changes over 12z. 3k looked better with my Friday evening mood snow and light accumulations. That’s good enough for me. 3K looks pretty decent with the initial batch. Give me respectable precip and temps near 32-33 degrees as the sun is going down and I’ll take my chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delgto04 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Snow aside, Are we looking at possible power outages from winds on this. It appears that we should expect wind advisory or warnings at and just inland from the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 24 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Man, good thing I don't ever get caught up in board drama. You need to do PBP. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boboz Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Boys, please spare us the testosterone toss and the schoolground crap. Let's talk weather. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 20 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: If we’re still talking about snow here, I thought the 18z NAMs were noise level changes over 12z. 3k looked better with my Friday evening mood snow and light accumulations. That’s good enough for me. Let’s you, me, and @Herb@MAWS meet up at the top of the sledding hill tomorrow night for beers. My treat! Got a request? Please say IPA. Please say IPA. Or Dr Pepper? 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 So all of the models are basically wrong and the low should be closer to the coast because of convective feedback issues. K, got it...thanks for the hot take y'all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Hey guys, stop the fighting and let it go. Let's not ruin the thread for others. 1 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grhqofb5 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Man, I feel like I just read a script from a cross over episode of Gray’s Anatomy/Dallas/Dynasty/The love boat. Who’s going to shoot McDreamy? JR? Will Cliff Barnes take the First mate’s offer from Captain Stubing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Scraff said: Let’s you, me, and @Herb@MAWS meet up at the top of the sledding hill tomorrow night for beers. My treat! Got a request? Please say IPA. Please say IPA. Or Dr Pepper? I'm interested in the ESB... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I know this is not the New England section, but if anybody wants to see a very long technical discussion about the storm's potential impacts for up that way (especially eastern MA and RI), check out the afternoon AFD from BOX. My sister lives up in the Boston burbs and it looks like they will really get whacked there. Some pretty impressive totals being painted, plus serious wind/power outage potential - all this without much if any blocking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Yeah. That’s definitely what I want to do. Go to the Boston thread and see how much snow they’re gonna get. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Thanks for sharing, but I don’t give a shart about Boston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhode Islander in Balto Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, batmanbrad said: I know this is not the New England section, but if anybody wants to see a very long technical discussion about the storm's potential impacts for up that way (especially eastern MA and RI), check out the afternoon AFD from BOX. My sister lives up in the Boston burbs and it looks like they will really get whacked there. Some pretty impressive totals being painted, plus serious wind/power outage potential - all this without much if any blocking! I'm originally from NE Rhode Island, my folks still live there. Gotta admit it hurts that they might get 30 inches while I get 3...but I'm moving to Canada later this year, so I'll get over it I suppose. If I didn't have obligations here I'd consider paying them a visit and "chasing" this one up there. Alas, I'll have to enjoy my white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Let's go read about the lavish lifestyle Bostonians are about to live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, Scraff said: Let’s you, me, and @Herb@MAWS meet up at the top of the sledding hill tomorrow night for beers. My treat! Got a request? Please say IPA. Please say IPA. Or Dr Pepper? A stick of Butter please 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Rhode Islander in Balto said: I'm originally from NE Rhode Island, my folks still live there. Gotta admit it hurts that they might get 30 inches while I get 3...but I'm moving to Canada later this year, so I'll get over it I suppose. If I didn't have obligations here I'd consider paying them a visit and "chasing" this one up there. Alas, I'll have to enjoy my white rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, Scuddz said: I'm interested in the ESB... Ten Eyck! Delicious. Please ask for it at your favorite HoCo beer spot. PS—you are more than welcome to meet us on the sledding hill too. Forgot you are a HoCo friend. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Rhode Islander in Balto said: I'm originally from NE Rhode Island, my folks still live there. Gotta admit it hurts that they might get 30 inches while I get 3...but I'm moving to Canada later this year, so I'll get over it I suppose. If I didn't have obligations here I'd consider paying them a visit and "chasing" this one up there. Alas, I'll have to enjoy my white rain. I just moved out of NE Rhode Island a month ago, but this storm is making me wish I waited just a little longer. It’s looking possibly historic for that area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: Ten Eyck! Delicious. Please ask for it at your favorite HoCo beer spot. PS—you are more than welcome to meet us on the sledding hill too. Forgot you are a HoCo friend. Lol. Yes on the beer, but I believe I've already got a date with the merriweather ice rink tomorrow evening. Still interested in the location of said hill though, good sleddin' hills are in short supply 'round here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 so is it gonna snow in frederick or not? i moved up here for a reason...and it wasn't just to escape moco home prices. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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