SnowenOutThere Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 How much money are we willing to use to bribe the weather gods to get this run? I'll put in 50 dollars at least. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Ravens94 said: Coming west again Yes it is. EPS supports the OP with many strong members. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, frd said: EPS members look better, many more are West, expect EPS snowfall to move West as well. If the low is Ocean City Saturday afternoon I’ll eat my shoe. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Compare 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Love how there’s always one or two ensembles that would be perfect for this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4-6 inch line does go through S.E. DC now…pretty large jump. Jump that line west again and I’ll buy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Bets are on Nam and gfs being even worse at 0z then they were at 18z. Euro has become a JV model. But we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18z Euro 2 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I'd like to see the eps qpf panels with the light snow event only and not the coastal. It may have come west but my yard is banking on pregame show 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 18z Euro Don’t do it Lucy I swear to god! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Snow and Ice Outlook: Haymarket 1 - 3 in Snow UPCOMING START 5:00 PM Friday, 1/28 END 7:00 AM Saturday, 1/29 SNOWFALL AMOUNT PROBABILITY Greater than 6 in2% 3 - 6 in35% 1 - 3 in46% A coating to an inch13% Little to no accumulation4% I know it’s Accuweather but nonetheless interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 15 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: If the low is Ocean City Saturday afternoon I’ll eat my shoe. I found it….lol 2 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Those EPS low locations are mostly too far north for our area. Yes…pull those more southern lows back 75-100 miles west and things look a lot better with the coastal, but that’s a really tall order. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Once upon a time, 11 years ago, I flew me and my family back early from Christmas to beat the 12/26/10 storm. Because, you know, it was gonna be so bad. All we are missing now is people telling us the SREFs are juicing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, LP08 said: I found it….lol The LP goes due east right after that panel.. it's quite the ensemble member :p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: I found it….lol Ya I’ll have whatever drugs that ens is on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Snow and Ice Outlook: Haymarket 1 - 3 in Snow UPCOMING START 5:00 PM Friday, 1/28 END 7:00 AM Saturday, 1/29 SNOWFALL AMOUNT PROBABILITY Greater than 6 in2% 3 - 6 in35% 1 - 3 in46% A coating to an inch13% Little to no accumulation4% I know it’s Accuweather but nonetheless interesting I love it when the most likely outcome still isn’t likely. “My forecast is for 1-3”, but there’s a 54% chance I’m wrong” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Interesting data here that seems to support the Euro at handling 500 millibars for hours 72 and 96 slightly better ( reduced average error ) than other models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, LP08 said: I found it….lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: 2 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Once upon a time, 11 years ago, I flew me and my family back early from Christmas to beat the 12/26/10 storm. Because, you know, it was gonna be so bad. All we are missing now is people telling us the SREFs are juicing up. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Usual caveat about ensembles getting this late in the game…not sure how useful. Obviously that one far west run is going to skew the snow mean quite a bit probably. Bottom line is we need better trends in the OP runs tonight, not really the ensembles imo. At least the 18z euro was a hold to a little better, but PSU has outlined the issues the euro could be having with this type of storm. Let’s see those other models give some love back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 28 minutes ago, frd said: Hmm.... Do you have a full VA map on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 SREF mean went up a touch for bwi and about a inch for APG. BWI gets 2 APG 3 but multiple big hit ensembles many more then the previous runs. Couple show 0 so that's making the mean low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, frd said: Interesting data here that seems to support the Euro at handling 500 millibars for hours 72 and 96 slightly better ( reduced average error ) than other models. It’s interesting that anecdotally the GFS has been taking the EURO’s lunch money this month with these scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 The stapler is that ensemble member. 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: Do you have a full VA map on that? No, sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, anotherman said: The stapler is that ensemble member. If the euro folds it’s about to be moved into the basement. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 There it is, SREF talk. It's pre-Boxing Day all over again. 2 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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