ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 It’s still closed off at 500mb at 72hrs over western NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, WxUSAF said: It’s still closed off at 500mb at 72hrs over western NC. Is this good or bad for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, yoda said: Is this good or bad for us? I don’t see how it hurts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 It’s just happening 6 hours too late. If that h5 look at 72 was when the surface low was still down off the southeast we would be good. But the low is already to our east by the time the flow goes negative and then cuts off. That’s too late to do us any good with the coastal. Even if the surface showed a good result I’d be skeptical with that progression. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: Orion is always the best option. Ya just need a belt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Looks like the NS part will be a little better this run though. You were saying? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: First time I think I’ve ever tracked a storm from the Bahamas Man, heck of a Miller B. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Man, heck of a Miller B. Shut up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It’s just happening 6 hours too late. If that h5 look at 72 was when the surface low was still down off the southeast we would be good. But the low is already to our east by the time the flow goes negative and then cuts off. That’s too late to do us any good with the coastal. Even if the surface showed a good result I’d be skeptical with that progression. And I think the sw in the sw is responsible for that. Get in early or get out completely. Either would be better IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And I think the sw in the sw is responsible for that. Get in early or get out completely. Either would be better IMO Unfortunately it looks like the writing is on the wall. I'm just praying for 4" now with strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, ravensrule said: Unfortunately it looks like the writing is on the wall. I'm just praying for 4" now with strong winds. Lol 4”. Im hoping for 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And I think the sw in the sw is responsible for that. Get in early or get out completely. Either would be better IMO Another reason to never trust a pattern with so many ns sw's flying around....too much random interference. This week it was the four corners...last week it was thar other piece that yanked a perfectly good southern wave northwest as it got up to us. So even having an unusually active stj in a nina doesn't help when ya got all that confusion, smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 What a great time for Wxbell to be down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 This thread and this storm 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, ravensrule said: What a great time for Wxbell to be down. Yup. 4th time in the last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 What is wrong with the Euro? I mean, has the atmosphere changed or something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Euro also has snow from the ULL over central and western NC and southwest VA. Maybe we can get that north over the next 72 hours. Think that’s much more plausible than this coastal coming west enough to deform us. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: Yup. 4th time in the last week. They really should give refunds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: What a great time for Wxbell to be down. I've DM'd them on Twitter and got this -- "We've been encountering a site issue specifically in the 1pm EST (sometimes 1am EST) hour this week. It's intermittent and we think we are close to resolving it (unfortunately we can only work on diagnosis when it actually happens). There isn't a fix on the user end at the moment, but we hope to be there soon." So they know -- but they clearly haven't gotten there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I've DM'd them on Twitter and got this -- "We've been encountering a site issue specifically in the 1pm EST (sometimes 1am EST) hour this week. It's intermittent and we think we are close to resolving it (unfortunately we can only work on diagnosis when it actually happens). There isn't a fix on the user end at the moment, but we hope to be there soon." So they know -- but they clearly haven't gotten there. Lol, right when the Euro comes out. You would think with all the money they were making they could pay faster technicians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro also has snow from the ULL over central and western NC and southwest VA. Maybe we can get that north over the next 72 hours. Think that’s much more plausible than this coastal coming west enough to deform us. I'll take my 2 to 3 inches for now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 47 minutes ago, stormtracker said: To all members, I feel like I need to apologize to you all for what happened earlier. I'm sorry. I lost my temper. I'm not going to blame a "bad day" or some external reason. There is no reason or excuse. I just lost it and I'm sorry y'all had to see it. I can't say it was behavior unbecoming of an admin because let's face it, I suck as an admin and I don't even look at myself as one. I'm only an admin because I co-founded this board. Yeah, I joke about banning people, but most of you all know it's just that...jokes. Thank God @IronTy wife isn't the sole owner of this board, because after this morning, she'd be driving down 95 to pay me a visit. With that said, I'm opting out of pbp. Not because of what happened today (well mostly not), it's because I'm just sick of this see-sawing GD storm. Again, apologies to the board. It’s Ok We love the snow and cold and Dc is a very tough area to get a good idea of if a snow event will occur and models Do Not Help to zero in on that by the myriad of examples they switch to every 6 hours. Some people have hissies whenever I state that Fact, you don’t, and I gained immense relief personally when I adopted that attitude. For this storm the models will begin forecasting noon Thursday, up until then a lot of “if this then that” examples are all they are. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, VABILLUPS1 said: What is wrong with the Euro? I mean, has the atmosphere changed or something. Progressive NS dominant pattern. Has always been a weakness of the euro. This storm particularly is a type it always struggles with. Over amplifies them. The Gfs improvement is also making it look worse by comparison. In the past they would both be sucking and we would just be saying “models can’t handle this pattern”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 On a side note... At least Randy didn't make this thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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