mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Trust me, I want this one to happen for us, so let the beer commence. I get it though, these models can throw us all for a loop. 18z GFS is a prime example. If you read a lot of the folks posts coming up to the prime frames, you'd think jaws was coming. Surface didn't turn out and by hr 84 the trough was a bit broad, even though it was night and day from the past few. You're right in that being the main reason to just hang tight. Now, if it looks like the 18z NAM was looking from real early on, we can play the jaws music. Thanks for being receptive. It’s appreciated. Just now, clskinsfan said: Imagine being such a butthurt troll that you need to create 2 burner accounts to come back to a place that doesnt want you. People are odd man. If you go by what was posted above, he has a slew of accounts ready to go. Sigh. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, ravensrule said: It's shocking that the biggest weenies are usually men. Blue pixels pills tend to have that effect!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is so awesome on so many levels Seriously epic, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Sorry, but a low that has a genesis off of FL is not a Miller B. Not in any book I've ever read or studied. Wish we'd stop with that. 100% this. I was about to ask the people calling it a Miller B to circle the primary low on a map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I think CenterTim is either, in actuality, Ji or Chuck 1 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I think CenterTim is either, in actuality, Ji or Chuck Have you ever seen all of them in here at the same time? Hmmmmm.....you may be on to something! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: You got it. I'm liking that the most and its not a tangible thing, just a vibe thing. Arguably the most important 18z euro run in its history (don't think it was running yet in 2016). Id wait for the 18z France model that was posted earlier 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I think CenterTim is either, in actuality, Ji or Chuck Please don’t tease me like that. Ignoring Ji only goes so far, an IP ban tho…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I think CenterTim is either, in actuality, Ji or Chuck If Tim mentioned the -PNA your Chuck guess has legs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 26 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: december 2009 lol Glad for that clarification. 2 completely different outcomes. I loved tracking the phase on Dec 2009. Dec 9th, otoh, was a heartbreaking cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 56 minutes ago, CentralVaNATS said: Nice improvement If we keep going like this until tomorrow 18z we might be in the pinks More likely in the stink 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Blue pixels pills tend to have that effect!! When you overdose like you do, most definitely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Yeoman said: More likely in the stink One of the best posts of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 i feel like i've been working 2 jobs this week. i'm ready for some model consensus. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Zoom call this evening?? @psuhoffman 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, midatlanticweather said: Zoom call this evening?? @psuhoffman Good thinking here, I'd love to jump on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Something else to consider. It’s been mentioned that storm would need to pull northwest to really hit us. That isn’t true exactly. A storm that formed say near Myrtle beach would pass WEST of Winchester if it only came straight north. Northeast would work just fine if we could get the storm to form near there. Get that trough to go negative a bit earlier that storm would probably form earlier, and would probably, at least initially, travel more north northeast. Look at the height lines. They run probably more north northeast than they do northeast or east. And they go far to the north. I also think that once formed and moving, this storm is gonna fly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bsperlin Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Sorry, but a low that has a genesis off of FL is not a Miller B. Not in any book I've ever read or studied. Wish we'd stop with that. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller_Classification Miller A - from the Gulf or Florida - Sandy 1993 Miller B - from the Ohio Valley, jumping the mountains to the Gulf Stream off NC - Snowmageddon 2010 If you have better references, please list them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Something else to consider. It’s been mentioned that storm would need to pull northwest to really hit us. That isn’t true exactly. A storm that formed say near Myrtle beach would pass WEST of Winchester if it only came straight north. Northeast would work just fine if we could get the storm to form near there. Get that trough to go negative a bit earlier that storm would probably form earlier, and would probably, at least initially, travel more north northeast. Look at the height lines. They run probably more north northeast than they do northeast or east. And they go far to the north. I also think that once formed and moving, this storm is gonna fly. A close off and vertically stacked system would help slow it down some (kinda like what the 12z euro did) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, bsperlin said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller_Classification Miller A - from the Gulf or Florida - Sandy 1993 Miller B - from the Ohio Valley, jumping the mountains to the Gulf Stream off NC - Snowmageddon 2010 If you have better references, please list them. Doesn't that match what he said? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 32 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Sorry, but a low that has a genesis off of FL is not a Miller B. Not in any book I've ever read or studied. Wish we'd stop with that. Ok, there’s a group of you, you know who you are, that can suck it PSA — I’m only having fun with you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, bsperlin said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller_Classification Miller A - from the Gulf or Florida - Sandy 1993 Miller B - from the Ohio Valley, jumping the mountains to the Gulf Stream off NC - Snowmageddon 2010 If you have better references, please list them. For the last time lol, there’s no GD Ohio valley low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Zoom call this evening?? @psuhoffman I could get on around 10 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, bsperlin said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller_Classification Miller A - from the Gulf or Florida - Sandy 1993 Miller B - from the Ohio Valley, jumping the mountains to the Gulf Stream off NC - Snowmageddon 2010 If you have better references, please list them. Right, genesis is off central FL coast and no discernable inland low. Not a Miller B. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I could get on around 10 Do we just want to open a thread so you can include the zoom creds there? (then re use as necessary for others) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, bsperlin said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller_Classification Miller A - from the Gulf or Florida - Sandy 1993 Miller B - from the Ohio Valley, jumping the mountains to the Gulf Stream off NC - Snowmageddon 2010 If you have better references, please list them. Oh god not this again 1 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Do we just want to open a thread so you can include the zoom creds there? (then re use as necessary for others) I emailed the links to prevent posting them publicly to reduce the risk of trolls. But we haven’t had any issues so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Ok, there’s a group of you, you know who you are, that can suck it PSA — I’m only having fun with you I'm about to censor the word Miller 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Ok, there’s a group of you, you know who you are, that can suck it PSA — I’m only having fun with you With how that precip map looked and would say you are closer to sucking it. Too soon? I am only having fun too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I emailed the links to prevent posting them publicly to reduce the risk of trolls. But we haven’t had any issues so far. I’ve been on all but one, good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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