Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: It's a positive change by far. Not quite jaws worthy yet tho It definitely is. Better than 12Z. Sharper trough, the low actually develops farther south. It's actually not all that incredibly different from the NAM or the Euro. We all know the NAM is probably overdoing the precip and maybe overdoing the strength at its range. But hell, can't argue with the result the GFS is giving here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, gopper said: Honestly, give DD some latitude. He really is not doing such a bad job with PBP. Nothing is wrong with his posts. We are all intelligent enough to take what we can from everyone's post. If you think his posts are out of line, simply fly over them and stick with StormTracker. Both have been giving good PBP IMO. It is what it is, the predictive nature of certain things we could probably do without. I'd rather give better analysis about the features and results of the run after it comes out but sometimes its easy to predict. Runs like the NAM just look too good early to not say where they're headed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mx3gsr92 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 SE VA smoked. 8-10" would be wild. Not counting on it happening though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 46 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Just copy and paste this every time the ICON comes out or just refer to this post: THE ICON SUCKS. speaking of sucks...how many times has the NAM showed us amazing run and it ends at 84 right before the climax....so we wait for the next run to pick up where it left off..and it trends 300 miles the other way....i hope we can see the sequel tonight from 18z but often we are just left hangin 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 By tomorrow, this threat will look absolutely perfect which will set us up nicely for the rug to be pulled out on Wednesday.I wrote this yesterday. Keep your feet on the ground and reach for the stars. Been here too long since the days of Internet Relay Chat in mid 90s. We’ve seen this movie before. Just keep the emotion in check! . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, ravensrule said: The 500 didn't translate to the massive surface improvements i thought. 0Z will be rocking us. I agree, the h5 is a good bit better than some of the runs we've seen in the last 24 hours.. if that look continues and improves, the surface will show a lot better results. We're still at the range where surface panels/results are the least accurate prediction of a model. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: For the type of setup, this one is trying hard af to hit on all cylinders. It could become the new "remember that unblocked northern stream phased luck bomb in 2022?" every time another pops up. Jan 2000 has been beat to death anyway Yeah, time for the next generation storm references to take the handoff from the dinosaurs!!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Look north for the fun Do you mind explaining what exactly we are looking for here? Thx. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 In my quick look, does the low track closer to the coast or does it just intensify faster before it reaches our latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfpackwxDC Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 At least we are not talking about a Harrisburg Hauler this round. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Man, if we could just get a full phase. I'd even contemplate a human sacrifice. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Nice improvement If we keep going like this until tomorrow 18z we might be in the pinksSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Look north for the fun Is that feature swinging down from Canada and phasing on the back end helping with the trough orientation? It seems its trending towards sharper/deeper and negative quicker. All things that will help us 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Look north for the fun Your caption just went full-on HM...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Look north for the fun Are you referring to that energy rushing down the back of the trough from Canada before/as it gets to the Mississippi? I want to learn what I’m looking at 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Man, if we could just get a full phase. I'd even contemplate a human sacrifice. @Jipossibly? But we let him experience the storm first? Trough is just kinda broad later in the GFS run, 12z was more v shaped... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 the Nam is a 998 low of the NC/SC coast and its deepening...the GFS is 6 hours faster and not nearly as deep but they both develop in the same area...they arent that far off lol 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Man, if we could just get a full phase. I'd even contemplate a human sacrifice. I figured you were keeping some of these posters around for a good reason. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, baltosquid said: Are you referring to that energy rushing down the back of the trough from Canada before/as it gets to the Mississippi? I want to learn what I’m looking at He is, and that piece is one of the keys thats been improving each run... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Man, if we could just get a full phase. I'd even contemplate a human sacrifice. CentralNats? 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Man, if we could just get a full phase. I'd even contemplate a human sacrifice. I have a suggested list of possible names to choose from... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, gopper said: Honestly, give DD some latitude. He really is not doing such a bad job with PBP. Nothing is wrong with his posts. We are all intelligent enough to take what we can from everyone's post. If you think his posts are out of line, simply fly over them and stick with StormTracker. Both have been giving good PBP IMO. Thanks for your input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Ocean City rains at 84 so thats always good news!RudeSent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 This is a big improvement for I-95 and NW. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: CentralNats? How about Ctl-Alt-Del? I mean CntlTim? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Do you mind explaining what exactly we are looking for here? Thx. Take a look at that whiter piece diving out of Canada straight into the trough. That’s a very important piece to this puzzle for a bigger storm potential. The quicker and sharper that dives into the system, it will allow the trough to organize better, sharper, and begin to tilt the axis neutral to negative. The only thing the GFS didn’t do that the Euro did is close off, which I am kind of surprised it didn’t. Surface could’ve been better imo. Maybe not Euro nuclear, but better. It’s really close to getting there. Regardless, it fits well into even my prediction right now, so solid trends on guidance. 9 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: How about Ctl-Alt-Del? I mean CntlTim? He knows I'm talking about him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Bitter cold behind it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Take a look at that whiter piece diving out of Canada straight into the trough. That’s a very important piece to this puzzle for a bigger storm potential. The quicker and sharper that dives into the system, it will allow the trough to organize better, sharper, and begin to tilt the axis neutral to negative. The only thing the GFS didn’t do that the Euro did is close off, which I am kind of surprised it didn’t. Surface could’ve been better imo. Maybe not Euro nuclear, but better. It’s really close to getting there. Regardless, it fits well into even my prediction right now, so solid trends on guidance. I was kind of looking for the same thing, if the GFS would actually close off the h5 low but it didn't quite do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, wxtrix said: i have a list. Same. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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