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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat


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  On 1/25/2022 at 8:04 PM, CasualObserver said:

I went to an event the night before. On the way there I heard on WTOP that we would have flurries the next day. When I left the event a couple of hours later, I heard on WTOP that there were blizzard warnings going up. I'll never forget that.

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I played a rehearsal with the Annapolis symphony that night. When I went in at 7:30, the local radio was forecasting flurries. When I came out to the car at @10, I turned the radio back on and heard what sounded like paper tearing..and the DJ said, “ What you just heard was me tearing up the forecast I’ve been giving all night. Folks, it’s going to snow over a foot, and it’s going to begin in about one hour”…I made it back to Hollywood Md as the flakes were beginning to fly…

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the question i have is how far west can the coastal reasonably come?  will the storm have a chance to go north more than advertised before being shunted to the east?  there is a southern energy component to this which is why we're not getting skunked on the models compared to other moisture starved clipper to miller b screwjobs.  at this point, really won't take much of a westward shift, but how much is really possible given the suppressive highs to the northwest?  

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  On 1/25/2022 at 8:22 PM, stormtracker said:

Here's what I can say...NAM is much better than 12z so far

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  On 1/25/2022 at 8:23 PM, DDweatherman said:

No question about that. Looks kinda like the RGEM so far.

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Energy in the Southwest isn't getting held back and the energy up north isn't racing ahead.

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  On 1/25/2022 at 8:18 PM, Stradivarious said:

I played a rehearsal with the Annapolis symphony that night. When I went in at 7:30, the local radio was forecasting flurries. When I came out to the car at @10, I turned the radio back on and heard what sounded like paper tearing..and the DJ said, “ What you just heard was me tearing up the forecast I’ve been giving all night. Folks, it’s going to snow over a foot, and it’s going to begin in about one hour”…I made it back to Hollywood Md as the flakes were beginning to fly…

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I dream of experiencing something like this. With the plethora of forecasting tools now though, I doubt anything this extreme will happen. Also, the way things tend to be way over hyped as opposed to under hyped, doesn't leave much of an opportunity. Can always hope though. 

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  On 1/25/2022 at 8:39 PM, DDweatherman said:

I'd say its not a tad or slightly better, but rather MUCH or a lot better, miles ahead of 6z and a lot better than 12z. Nice tilt coming at 78

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Cool, but I like to be patient and do a wait and see so people don't get their hopes up.  You do you tho

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