wncsnow Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 The Euro is a step back from last nights run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Verbatim, Euro looks like more mixing along the coast before flipping to snow along NE NC/SE VA/Eastern Shore. Not all that wildly different than the 0z run, IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Verbatim, Euro looks like more mixing along the coast before flipping to snow along NE NC/SE VA/Eastern Shore. Not all that wildly different than the 0z run, IMO The low was a bit further east today and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro ensembles will be a better gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The low was a bit further east today and weaker. What's the deal with the 3 inches in Triad ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Euro ensembles will be a better gauge. I agree. Do not understand the more dampened out moisture field with the overall set up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 So we have about 5 days to get the precip to move farther east for NC to get in on the good stuff. Still might see some snow fall either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Ik it’s a Tuesday at 220PM but it’s always telling when you look at the forum and no one has said anything in 45 min and we’re 4 days out …. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Ik it’s a Tuesday at 220PM but it’s always telling when you look at the forum and no one has said anything in 45 min and we’re 4 days out …. It's been a long couple of days since that absolutely bonkers GFS run. Always disappointing when a high ceiling event falls through, even knowing how unlikely a high impact event was in reality 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 EPS not bad for RDU. 2/3 have at least 2 inches for RDU. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: It's been a long couple of days since that absolutely bonkers GFS run. Always disappointing when a high ceiling event falls through, even knowing how unlikely a high impact event was in reality Honestly I’d be very happy with a 1-3” event to cap off this pattern. Would get many near climo for the season with February and March to go 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Honestly I’d be very happy with a 1-3” event to cap off this pattern. Would get many near climo for the season with February and March to go Better than nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: EPS not bad for RDU. 2/3 have at least 2 inches for RDU. I think RDU gets a little backside snow as it intensifies and pulls north/northeast but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Aren’t we all to the point now where the 84hr NAM will slap us in the mouth with some unrealistic Scenario ? Atleast we have that to look forward to…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 After what happened with the models with this past storm, I'm not throwing the towel in until we're at least 24 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 13 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: EPS not bad for RDU. 2/3 have at least 2 inches for RDU. Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Honestly I’d be very happy with a 1-3” event to cap off this pattern. Would get many near climo for the season with February and March to go Me too. I just know that one day, it'll be "the big one". It's kinda my Moby Dick. When I was a kid DC seemed to rarely get more than 6" or so of snow. Then magical 09-10 hit when I was in middle school. I had no idea 2-3 feet of snow was possible, let alone two storms of that magnitude in a single winter. It was like being transported to another planet, and ever since, I've craved that same feeling to happen again 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I would be happy if we got 1-3" out of this for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Me too. I just know that one day, it'll be "the big one". It's kinda my Moby Dick. When I was a kid DC seemed to rarely get more than 6" or so of snow. Then magical 09-10 hit when I was in middle school. I had no idea 2-3 feet of snow was possible, let alone two storms of that magnitude in a single winter. It was like being transported to another planet, and ever since, I've craved that same feeling to happen again I wish I knew the number of 6”+ storms in my lifetime in Raleigh but I can tell you it’s not that many since 1989 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecrugger Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I feel badly posting in this thread...as things continue to look good for snow lovers in Hampton Roads. 2 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 24 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Honestly I’d be very happy with a 1-3” event to cap off this pattern. Would get many near climo for the season with February and March to go If we could get 1-3” that would put me at 7-9” for Season and I’ve had snow on the ground (in spots) for 9 straight days now so I guess I really couldn’t complain…. Hell before 2 weeks ago my ground hadn’t been covered since Dec 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 We're looking at a shift west of less than 100 miles. It wouldn't take that much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Me too. I just know that one day, it'll be "the big one". It's kinda my Moby Dick. When I was a kid DC seemed to rarely get more than 6" or so of snow. Then magical 09-10 hit when I was in middle school. I had no idea 2-3 feet of snow was possible, let alone two storms of that magnitude in a single winter. It was like being transported to another planet, and ever since, I've craved that same feeling to happen again Then DC area got 32" in 2016. That's when I captured my white whale. It's also when I realized anything over 18" is too much. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: We're looking at a shift west of less than 100 miles. It wouldn't take that much. It’s not really that, it’s the phasing and timing garbage ect 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 23 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Me too. I just know that one day, it'll be "the big one". It's kinda my Moby Dick. When I was a kid DC seemed to rarely get more than 6" or so of snow. Then magical 09-10 hit when I was in middle school. I had no idea 2-3 feet of snow was possible, let alone two storms of that magnitude in a single winter. It was like being transported to another planet, and ever since, I've craved that same feeling to happen again Same! I lived in New Jersey, right outside of Philadelphia in 09-10. It. Was. Incredible!! Most snow I've ever seen. I think I remember getting 27" in the December 09 storm, and then another 23" or so in Feb 2010. Been chasing that high ever since hahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 46 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Aren’t we all to the point now where the 84hr NAM will slap us in the mouth with some unrealistic Scenario ? Atleast we have that to look forward to…. That model also showed 200 mile shifts in a matter of 2 runs last week I believe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Big improvement on the NAM through hour 60. Seems they NAM likes to over-amplify at this range though, so tog be taken with a grain rain of salt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Main takeaway: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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