PantherJustin Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, wake4est said: Man this system is dry. Are any of the models showing any decent qpf in NC? The Meso band hasn’t even formed yet…. And Coastal hasn’t bombed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Gale & (Possible) WSW here on the coast here shortly.. First cup O' Joe this morning.. Looked @ the Radar.. Showed freezing precip over my head.. Went out & looked.. Sure enough It's Virga falling, from over head. Through the (semi) broken clouds.. You could see, (Jet contrails/Cirrus clouds) are FLYING.. @ (30K?) feet West too about due North east? Current temps are @ 32F Winds North at 5mph.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: The Meso band hasn’t even formed yet…. And Coastal hasn’t bombed Virga here on the Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 30 minutes ago, calculus1 said: The lack of robust discussion in this thread is telling… It is a glorified flizzard for most. I think that is why, but we will see who lucks out with any mesoscale features. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 8 minutes ago, eyewall said: It is a glorified flizzard for most. I think that is why, but we will see who lucks out with any mesoscale features. We all need to move to Boston apparently. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 A bit surprised with the area-wide WWA this seems more fitting for a SWS especially being it’s going to be coming at night on a weekend with temps mostly above freezing. I do not see a large area getting 1-2” as shown unless I’m missing something. This looks like scattered areas of accumulation and flizzards for everyone else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Trends look a little better for the triangle. Backside band holding together a little better and moving more east instead of southeast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 If we get anything here I hope it's at least a couple of inches. I coach my son's basketball team, and we have a game tomorrow. I don't want it to get canceled for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 NAM has hardly anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Extreme NE NC and SE VA do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 @BornAgain13 NAMs insistent on pivoting that band through SVA nicely. 2-3” I would be absolutely elated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 3K NAM is even worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Extreme NE NC and SE VA do well. The 3K is drastically different unfortunately for us up here in SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: 3K NAM is even worse. That map tells me I need to go to Wolf Ridge ski resort tonight to see the 4-6"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 If you like snow in central NC you’re down to the HRRR and RGEM for anything more than flurries but they’re both decent runs so I guess that’s what NWS is hanging their hat on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Charlotte is looking at 1-3 inches which I’m happy with. I don’t give much if any validity to what the NAM is showing. Somewhere East of Charlotte is going to get a nice band of heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: If you like snow in central NC you’re down to the HRRR and RGEM for anything more than flurries but they’re both decent runs so I guess that’s what NWS is hanging their hat on They do look the best for our area, but the models are still all over the place with who will see the most from this in NC and exactly how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I will be making one more update to my screwcast soon. 3 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Should we create an obs thread for this event or just go with the obs thread already there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 One thing to watch this evening is as the upper low begins to form and take shape off of the NC coastline is a nice deformation axis likely 100 -150nm to the west of the 850mb low. This is where there could be some banding/enhancement. If this were to occur a bit earlier or more dramatically than forecasted (aka phasing), obviously that would impact totals in a positive way (most likely area that would benefit is eastern NC and SE VA)... Something to keep in mind. Otherwise I will go with the below: HKY:T-1 inches CLT: 1-2 inches GSO: 1-3 inches RDU: 1-2 inches ORF: 2-4 inches 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I think this is the best one I have seen for central NC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: One thing to watch this evening is as the upper low begins to form and take shape off of the NC coastline there will be a nice deformation axis likely 100 -150nm to the west of the 850mb low. This is where there could be some banding/enhancement. If this were to occur a bit earlier or more dramatically than forecasted (aka phasing), obviously that would impact totals in a positive way. Something to keep in mind. Otherwise I will go with the below: HKY:T-1 inches CLT: 1-2 inches GSO: 1-3 inches RDU: 1-2 inches ORF: 2-4 inches Yes, I fully expect somewhere in NC to overperform with this. Selfishing, I am hoping I77 corridor but Raleigh is not out of the game either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Driving back to NC from western KY on Sunday. Was already going to take the southern route (I-40) to avoid WV mountains but there seems to be a lot to fall in the Pisgah Gap. Worth going through Chattanooga and into Georgia and then I-85 to avoid or should Sunday be OK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Someone with better mojo than me start the obs thread, it’s time. I bombed the one winter storm thread I started last season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Radar looks much more juiced than the models are showing. Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 10 minutes ago, BigWeather said: Driving back to NC from western KY on Sunday. Was already going to take the southern route (I-40) to avoid WV mountains but there seems to be a lot to fall in the Pisgah Gap. Worth going through Chattanooga and into Georgia and then I-85 to avoid or should Sunday be OK? Man, what does that add like 4 hours to your trip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Radar looks much more juiced than the models are showing. Hmm. Noticing the same thing. Flip to snow earlier? I think I am in a good spot where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said: If we get anything here I hope it's at least a couple of inches. I coach my son's basketball team, and we have a game tomorrow. I don't want it to get canceled for nothing. Well then let’s call a timeout and put the full court press on this thing coach. Break your clipboard throw a chair like Bobby Knight , something we need a spark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Man, what does that add like 4 hours to your trip? Yeah, but may be worth it to avoid that stretch. Hoping by Sunday it'll be plowed and warmer temperatures will have made it better. It'll probably be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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