MHCWEATHER Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 hours ago, eyewall said: It is looking more and more like Raleigh will be stuck in the screw zone between the late phasing coastal and the lee side low. What are the dynamics that dissipate the lee side energy and leave Wake bare ‘n bent? #newbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Yep. Wakefield just put out new snowfall graphic cutting back totals for Hampton Roads..... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I’m having trouble posting the link…. But Water Vapor imagery confirms …. Our player the Northern Energy is further East on NAM than Current conditions. It didn’t even initiate properly fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 As someone said a few pages back, models have no idea what the qpf distribution is going to play out. Just gotta watch where the best envelope and wait for now casting. I just wish this wasn't in the middle of the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VARTV Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Virginia Beach: Weather Service - 3" Channel 13 - 3-6" Channel 10 - 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 7 minutes ago, VARTV said: Virginia Beach: Weather Service - 3" Channel 13 - 3-6" Channel 10 - 6"+ It’ll change. RGEM just caved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: It’ll change. RGEM just caved maps or didnt happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 20 minutes ago, VARTV said: Virginia Beach: Weather Service - 3" Channel 13 - 3-6" Channel 10 - 6"+ Willing to bet the TV folks will be adjusting this evening for the news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 GFS also further east with the northern energy. That'll make a difference for everyone downstream if it keeps that pace of being slower than the models see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 46 minutes ago, MHCWEATHER said: What are the dynamics that dissipate the lee side energy and leave Wake bare ‘n bent? #newbs It is basically a mid-level dry slot that will be the problem. Wherever that sets up, you will have a screw zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: GFS also further east with the northern energy. That'll make a difference for everyone downstream if it keeps that pace of being slower than the models see. Meaning less snow I’m guessing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Ghicks said: Meaning less snow I’m guessing It SHOULD create a better situation as it can better phase with the southern energy earlier...but that probably has more implications for the NE and MA. If it phases sooner that should help enhance that mesoscale low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 39 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Yep. Wakefield just put out new snowfall graphic cutting back totals for Hampton Roads.... . Definitely more believable honestly, I know Hampton Roads has had a few really good nor'easters in decades past where there was double digit numbers, but frankly that's uncommon. Was nice to see some of the models 12"+ a few days ago but realistically that's hard to get where we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Yes please! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18z has a nice little 4 inch maxima around CLT. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, burgertime said: 18z has a nice little 4 inch maxima around CLT. A fairly widespread 2-4" band to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Yes please! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk HRRR was showing what looked like possible thunder snow on the composite radar. Someone is going to get some super heavy returns and if this phases a little faster someone could get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: HRRR was showing what looked like possible thunder snow on the composite radar. Someone is going to get some super heavy returns and if this phases a little faster someone could get more. Very possible... still time for adjustments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Yes please! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk And of course it hits a wall for us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VARTV Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 15 minutes ago, jlh said: Willing to bet the TV folks will be adjusting this evening for the news. Lawson just knocked off an inch for the immediate Hampton Roads area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I said it over in the sanatorium that I felt like someone along I-85 or wherever that band setups will get 4-8. It's a bit of an absurd call but this feels like one of those rare setups where someone really gets hammered. I always take the HRRR with a grain of salt but that band just east of CLT can setup east or west further than shown and it's gonna be a blitz on whoever is under it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, burgertime said: I said it over in the sanatorium that I felt like someone along I-85 or wherever that band setups will get 4-8. It's a bit of an absurd call but this feels like one of those rare setups where someone really gets hammered. I always take the HRRR with a grain of salt but that band just east of CLT can setup east or west further than shown and it's gonna be a blitz on whoever is under it. Not 4-8” but even the Dark Blue/Green would slap 2-4” down … but yea that yellow is gonna be Video quality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 We’ll that’s an interesting map. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, wake4est said: We’ll that’s an interesting map. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: This is true…. And as we saw last week this Band will be bigger than this “Blob” shown here on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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