Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 It is literally NAM vs EveryoneSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 GEFS mean looked liked it both slowed down the southern energy and sped up the northern portion. But the changes are ultimately small, and even on the ensembles one run can't be considered a trend, especially with such a razor thin margin on sensible impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 00z Euro wasn't as deep as 12z, also looked a tick east. Therefore, it's not throwing back a ton of moisture on the west side of the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 00z Euro wasn't as deep as 12z, also looked a tick east. Therefore, it's not throwing back a ton of moisture on the west side of the track. It was a tick eastSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 0z EPSSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 6z NAM looks like it is heading for a later phaseSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 6z NAMSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 6z hr84, we need the westward shift Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Looks like the later phase is the consensus right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Looks like a large amount of guidance is pointing to a light 1-2” event across a lot of central NC with increasing amounts north and east. Not looking like a big snow but I’ll take another accumulating snow 1 week after a warning criteria snow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Absolutely. It was nice watching the NAM put on a show but it was the 84 hr NAM, and nothing else was showing that much.... still got time but it looks like a minor-moderate event possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Absolutely. It was nice watching the NAM put on a show but it was the 84 hr NAM, and nothing else was showing that much.... still got time but it looks like a minor-moderate event possible. I’ll take the nice event the euro is showing and call it a day. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 I wouldn't shocked to see a double maxima, one over the western Piedmont, where banding develops and where temps are better intially. Over the eastern Piedmont could stay pretty dry waiting for the transfer and rates will have a hard time overcoming temps of 34-36 initially. And of course closer to the coast will fair better, with 3"+ for NE NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 How does the 6z gefs look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: How does the 6z gefs look very similar to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Anyone have the 6z Euro? Looks decent at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, msuwx said: So close, but phases too late. Even with the south trend yesterday, the phase hasn't worked out for us on really any of the models (except the NAM). Have to depend on banding away from the main LP to get the job done. One reason for the NAM's depiction (I believe, I'm a little out of my depth here) is enhancement due to the placement and strength of a jet streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, msuwx said: Thanks Matt. Looks like if that was came true, we would be looking at dusting here in the southern foothills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Trends today will be our friend. Watch and see :+) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, strongwxnc said: Thanks Matt. Looks like if that was came true, we would be looking at dusting here in the southern foothills. Yeah a lot of the modeling is consolidating around the idea of that nice band of snow/ snow showers working through western and central NC. Entirely dependent on upper levels though, so time will tell. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Well at this point I think the consensus is a near miss with minor accumulations for most. Basically it is far northeastern NC through the Tidewater and up on this one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Anyone have the 6z Euro? Looks decent at H5HereSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 EPS map? GEFS trended in our favor at 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: EPS map? GEFS trended in our favor at 06z. Eps for 6z is not out yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 NAM still looks good but it's all by itself. At this point I would rather have nothing at all so my son's basketball game won't get canceled Saturday if we're not going to get at least as much as we did with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 36 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: EPS map? GEFS trended in our favor at 06z. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Well... It's a start...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 hours ago, Sandstorm94 said: 6z hr84, we need the westward shift Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Well atleast it’s sort of consistent… it didn’t do that last week, just blew up with two dream runs and then died Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Nam is running… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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