wake4est Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 This run of the 12k NAM may attempt to wipe New England off the face of the earth. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: And only 2 to 3 inches of snow 3". I'm NW of Danville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Whoever gets 2-4" out of this will be a winner... if a banding gets set up and sits , someone could get 5" out of this... who knows where that will be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 9 minutes ago, WXNewton said: The FV3 is laying the smack down with that band over Catawba, Lincoln, and Gaston Counties. Ik it will be narrow… but even as I stated earlier I think Mods are definitely underplaying the size of that band…. Bc they’re already undergoing the Bands that are currently on radar…. They don’t even have them smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 3K NAM looks decent for Wake. Nice 6-8 hour period of light snow, taken verbatim. Granted, boundary layer temps are above freezing at the onset so a lot of it melts on contact... I think an inch on the ground would be a win for Wake. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 44 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The 3k NAM snows at my house for 12+ hrs. I was wondering if you were going to have some type of reaction lol. That was by far the best run of the 3k/12k combined for our state. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Good run for central NC on the RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Good run for central NC on the RGEM snow maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Where are the maps tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 The gfs has been freaky consistent the last few runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Where are the maps tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 anyone have the gfs snow map? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 i just hope for the sake of our brothers up north this thing doesn't take a 200 mile last minute jog east and misses almost everyone..that'll be enough pain to last a lifetime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 12 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: anyone have the gfs snow map? Thanks Go to pivotal weather dot com 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWake Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 This is gonna be interesting to track. So many unknowns. Looking forward to pulling an all nighter tomorrow to see how it turns out. Good luck all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Some data gathering going on tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Euro caves to the GFS again. It’s a new world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 WSW extended south into Hampton Roads and Currituck, NC. Blizzard warning for Northampton Co. VA, just north of Hampton Roads. Guess AKQ is biting on the slightly higher totals/rates of the higher res models. Discussion not out yet to see which model was verified. Too early for me to dig into it lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.Fabulous Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 7 hours ago, PantherJustin said: Ik it will be narrow… but even as I stated earlier I think Mods are definitely underplaying the size of that band…. Bc they’re already undergoing the Bands that are currently on radar…. They don’t even have them smh I’m in western Iredell, close enough, I’ll take it! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Surface low evident just north of the Bahamas and near Canaveral on the 10Z station plots. Strap in lads and ladies, game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Waking up to Winter Weather Advisories across the NC piedmont. Generally 1-2 inches. Modeled snowfall output has grown rather anemic, though, overall. I would love to get a whole inch of snow tonight. Anything greater than that would seem a nice bonus at this point. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Waking up to Winter Weather Advisories across the NC piedmont. Generally 1-2 inches. Modeled snowfall output has grown rather anemic, though, overall. I would love to get a whole inch of snow tonight. Anything greater than that would seem a nice bonus at this point.GSP has me 1-2” tonight… Looking forward to seeing how this sets up. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 23 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Waking up to Winter Weather Advisories across the NC piedmont. Generally 1-2 inches. Modeled snowfall output has grown rather anemic, though, overall. I would love to get a whole inch of snow tonight. Anything greater than that would seem a nice bonus at this point. 17 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: GSP has me 1-2” tonight… Looking forward to seeing how this sets up. . Yeah I live here in Valdese(Burke) and my point and click says 1-2 inches for tonight. Odd Catawba is under a WWA but I'm not and there expecting totals of the same amount for both counties? Also @strongwxncyour forecast is the same also as ours. Wonder if they will upgrade our counties a little later today? Since it don't really start to after 5:00pm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Yeah I live here in Valdese(Burke) and my point and click says 1-2 inches for tonight. Odd Catawba is under a WWA but I'm not and there expecting totals of the same amount for both counties? Also [mention=501]strongwxnc[/mention]your forecast is the same also as ours. Wonder if they will upgrade our counties a little later today? Since it don't really start to after 5:00pm? It’ll be a gametime decision.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I think they are accounting for the lee-side minimum in these WWAs. The centers of Caldwell, Burke, McDowell, etc. appear to have the least likely chances to meet WWA criteria, so they decided not to issue them. I would feel better about my own chances if I were on the eastern side of Catawba County. I think the NW corner, where I am, has the least likely chance of getting accumulating snowfall in this setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 The lack of robust discussion in this thread is telling… 4 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Granted it doesn’t have our death band for tonight …. But GFS sniffed another one pretty well day 8-10…. @calculus1 I’d say most are asleep bc a lot of all nighters will be pulled tonight 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Granted it doesn’t have our death band for tonight …. But GFS sniffed another one pretty well day 8-10 NWS has our window of snowfall from 12am to 7am with point and click graph having us above freezing until 6am lol. Explains why our expected accumulation dropped last night. Most likely a product of the low closer to the coast. Will be interesting to see how these other sniffs play out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Man this system is dry. Are any of the models showing any decent qpf in NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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