franklin NCwx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, eyewall said: It is looking like a brief deform band event as the low begins to crank and pulls away. DC weenies won't like this one very much. Looks like a nice hit in SE Mass. It is a shame we can't pull a big one from this but it's better than nothing I suppose. Misses a lot of New England. Long toaster sales 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 EURO has been most consistent with this event. Interested to see what 12Z ensembles show. Other guidance appears to be trending that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: Was waiting on 12z. Sucks they came in worse for AVL. Hope folks in NE NC enjoy! Looks like flurries for AVL at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, GunBlade said: The GFS looks good overall and the low forms in a good location. It’s just that southern energy is so strung out from being held back that there’s not enough juice in the atmosphere to get the precip really going until it’s too late for most. Problem for folks around the CLT and CNC area I see is that this relies a lot on producing enough moisture as it pulls away. Always a tricky situation which is why you really need a good phase and for that low to bomb out. Usually these just leave most high and dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Significant cutbackSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, burgertime said: Problem for folks around the CLT and CNC area I see is that this relies a lot on producing enough moisture as it pulls away. Always a tricky situation which is why you really need a good phase and for that low to bomb out. Usually these just leave most high and dry. Exactly. We (CLT) would really need this to be neutral or negative at hour 60 when that low is off the coast of SC to get us in the NW precip shield and allow it to bomb out by the time it is to the NC coast. That causes issues for eastern NC early in the event, but they still do well as the low is passing them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Significant cutback Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Yeah I will be honest, it is looking more like shite today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 8 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Significant cutback Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk I can't complain about a 3 inch mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Canadian looking alot like GFS so far. See how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Ouch.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Even Boston could be sweating this out if it keeps trending east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 The Canadian has cancelled the big event. Just some light snows on the coast, gets going too late. I'd love to toss it but the Canadian models really handled last week the best so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Even Boston could be sweating this out if it keeps trending east I’m thankful back this way at least here in the mountains we aren’t relying on that LP 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Remember this is the same time period that many models lost the storm last week only to trend back with better data as the date drew near. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said: Remember this is the same time period that many models lost the storm last week only to trend back with better data as the date drew near. The Canadians never lost it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Still have until Friday to see how things shake out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 10 minutes ago, VABILLUPS1 said: The Canadians never lost it Yeah, i just looked back at the last storm thread...the canadian ensemble almost nailed the last storm perfectly 3 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 FWIW, the UK looked decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: FWIW, the UK looked decent. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Not sure how that 8.2 happens in gso but I will take it lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 16 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: I’m thankful back this way at least here in the mountains we aren’t relying on that LP Yup spiltsville. Should be fun to watch this play out. Might have to ride up to Little Switzerland. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Getting some really strung out snow totals on these models that have concentrations in various and somewhat odd configurations across NC. Have to believe the final fruition would be more smoothly aligned. Wherever that will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, mclean02 said: Not sure how that 8.2 happens in gso but I will take it lol This has been a really persistent feature, particularly on the globals. As I mentioned a page or two ago, there could be enhancement from a jet streak, which often over-performs Obviously that value is crazy, but I could see someone getting 3-5" somewhere in the Piedmont, but fairly localized 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Saw this from a met who used to post here. just like last week, the difference between the nam and everyone else is... not very much. 42 hours out the NAM is a touch weaker and 120 miles east with that four corners shortwave and that makes all the difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 38 minutes ago, mclean02 said: Not sure how that 8.2 happens in gso but I will take it lol Looks like a lake effect snow band. I’m sure it will happen just like that lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 49 minutes ago, wncsnow said: LES off Smith Mountain Lake in VA? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Euro does not look like it will be good... again... its been going that way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Even Boston could be sweating this out if it keeps trending east How horrible of a human to know id be overly amused by this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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