Snowlover11 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 looked good, definitely west of 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 So close to being huge. It chased the convection again it looks like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, EasternLI said: Flow into our area definitely improved, backed in from SSE. Have to think that results in an improvement here not just New England. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 What a mess and what a shift. Two closed upper level lows. The initial one and then the trailing one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 If this is what we got the forum would be pretty happy, though it looked so close to something special that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Not bad at all. I'd certainly sign for what this Euro run is showing. Just give me a nice 5-6 inch snowstorm and I'll be happy. This combined with what NAM/RGEM are showing gives me more confidence that we're in decent shape for a moderate snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Nothing to scoff at here. Good storm on the cusp of MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Flow into our area definitely improved, backed in from SSE. Have to think that results in an improvement here not just New England. Yeah, that's a little bit better. Good run. It's so so close to something more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 It looked better at h5. Soooo close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 8 minutes ago, EasternLI said: 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: What a mess and what a shift. Two closed upper level lows. The initial one and then the trailing one. Euro is a bomb. That verbatim, would have been tucked, I do not care what the surface shows. H5 shows that would been a KU. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Boston gets crushed on this run. Again, just not quite enough for the major snows west of Suffolk but it's annoyingly close to something bigger for a lot of us near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I would really like to hear a mets perspective on this latest euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, USCG RS said: Euro is a bomb. That verbatim, would have been tucked, I do not care what the surface shows. H5 shows that would been a KU. Yep. Its chasing the convection to the east. If that stops an stays with one blob. Its showtime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 12z: 6z: 30 mile shift west or so this run and a bit more organized and potent storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Still a little sloppy as it comes by our latitude and doesn’t really consolidate. But holy Toledo for eastern New England when it finally does. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 It looked a little messy to me at H5. The trough looked a lot better as early as 12z Friday but the Northern stream was still a little too fast so the storm starts forming a hair early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 We have another day of probable adjustments in some form or another. Need to watch this one closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Still a little sloppy as it comes by our latitude and doesn’t really consolidate. But holy Toledo for eastern New England when it finally does. It looked like a transition run to me. Not a clean phase. Almost as if it tried to form two different storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, EasternLI said: We have another day of probable adjustments in some form or another. Need to watch this one closely. I think it's a timing issue which more times than not usually resolves favorably. It's very hard for the models to pinpoint exactly how quickly the different pieces are moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Euro is a bomb. That verbatim, would have been tucked, I do not care what the surface shows. H5 shows that would been a KU. Yeah this is what Forky was alluding to. This is just a hair from being an absolute beast here. May not happen but you cannot be any closer than we are now. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: It looked like a transition run to me. Not a clean phase. Almost as if it tried to form two different storms. I hate to use this, but, convection chasing. This closes, shunts east towards convection and recloses. Now, of course a sloppy phase can do this, however, the model verbatim looks to be chasing. That H5 should have buried NJ to N. England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, Jt17 said: 12z: 6z: 30 mile shift west or so this run and a bit more organized and potent storm. Don't forget the bands are almost always a little west of model depictions during the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 They seem to be honing in on the western track. Lets hope they keep adjusting a little west on the future runs.. 20 30 miles here and there and its a home run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: I hate to use this, but, convection chasing. This closes, shunts east towards convection and recloses. Now, of course a sloppy phase can do this, however, the model verbatim looks to be chasing. That H5 should have buried NJ to N. England. Are the H5s just depicted poorly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Wheres Tommy and his graphics with punchlines! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, Jt17 said: Def improved! 12z: 6z: It's even slightly improved over 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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