MJO812 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I'm going with 0-10 inches for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: I'm going with 0-10 inches for NYC Im waiting on the 0Z suite tonight before even trying to predict totals, This forecast is very complicated. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: I'm going with 0-10 inches for NYC 0 is unlikely but 2-3 sure could happen in a worst case scenario 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm going with 0-10 inches for NYC I think 5 to 20 is on the table for NYC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Greg g said: Anybody paying attention to what’s going on out west?? It seems like heights are coming in higher than forecast across the west including in the base of the shortwave nearing Salt lake this morning. Must get that Southern stream vort to eject out ahead of the digging trough. Only two ways to make it happen. Slow down the Northern stream or speed up the Southern stream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juturna Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Working 7am to 6pm Saturday. But if it's cancelled for snow I get paid anyhow. Praying to the weenie gods here in central Suffolk. My luck, we do get the storm but they don't cancel and I'm snowed in an empty school in Port Jeff for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 It actually looks like we're moving towards a consensus. Heaviest snow Eastern LI up into SE New England. Everyone else glancing blow. Don't think 6-10" is out of the question yet for NYC, especially given high ratios. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: It actually looks like we're moving towards a consensus. Heaviest snow Eastern LI up into SE New England. Everyone else glancing blow. Don't think 6-10" is out of the question yet for NYC, especially given high ratios. Seems like the timing and rate of intensification of the low will significantly determine snowfall. This is one of more difficult things to predict. I think we need more time to figure this out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It actually looks like we're moving towards a consensus. Heaviest snow Eastern LI up into SE New England. Everyone else glancing blow. Don't think 6-10" is out of the question yet for NYC, especially given high ratios. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 26 minutes ago, Jt17 said: See you all at 12:47. here a minute early 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Euro rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Seems like the timing and rate of intensification of the low will significantly determine snowfall. This is one of more difficult things to predict. I think we need more time to figure this out. The wildcard is if the models are closing off the ULL too late. Even the 12z GFS closes it off which was an improvement, but not until SE of Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It actually looks like we're moving towards a consensus. Heaviest snow Eastern LI up into SE New England. Everyone else glancing blow. Don't think 6-10" is out of the question yet for NYC, especially given high ratios. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Expecting no big changes from Euro. Perhaps a nudge east. We'll see shortly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, MANDA said: Expecting no big changes from Euro. Perhaps a nudge east. We'll see shortly. Very rare to see the Euro make big jumps inside of 96hrs. It's usually painfully consistent and slowly moves towards the correct solution over many runs. It did horribly with January 2015 and many people incorrectly sided with it over the GFS. If the NAM agrees with the GFS, it's usually game over. That hasn't happened yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 The Euro looks like it's digging the trough more and it's significantly sharper at hr 24. Can't see the 500mb vorticy off the free maps but looks like it might have ejected the SW energy faster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I feel titilated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 The trough axis is quite a bit further East and sharper, again based off the free maps on Tidbits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 92 members here and nobody has paid access for the Euro? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Out to hour 39 on pivotal it looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Certainly no worse than 06z and looks to be further West and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Certainly no worse than 06z and looks to be further West and stronger. It almost tucked in and closed off early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Rumor is euro closed at hour 42? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Def improved! 12z: 6z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Looks like it closes off the ULL over the Carolinas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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