Brasiluvsnow Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Rjay said: Lol the Euro won't give up I wonder if Anthony actually hacked into it ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Wow. Suffolk County is buried by 18z Euro. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Lmao euro holds serve perhaps a tick better than 12z. I'm getting the whiskey. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18z Euro is 6-12” from the city S and E and 3-6” to the N and W. What is not to like about that? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, EasternLI said: Lmao euro holds serve perhaps a tick better than 12z. I'm getting the whiskey. Definitely better, an it was close to being a bomb. Need it to capture 6 hrs sooner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, EasternLI said: Lmao euro holds serve perhaps a tick better than 12z. I'm getting the whiskey. I've been sloshed since Monday with my homie ECMWF. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: Wow. Suffolk County is buried by 18z Euro. CG do you or anyone else have a pic to share of this ? Thanks in advance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 When I say ain't getting it done I mean for I95 N and W. Coastal sections still see meaningful event. Not the huge numbers of some prior runs for inland locations but nothing to sneeze at for coastal locations. Inland needs MAJOR improvements and that is not likely IMO. Still EURO against everything else along the the more coastal locations up into southeast New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: CG do you or anyone else have a pic to share of this ? Thanks in advance I've seen what he's talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Wow they have dropped 28 dropsondes so far . Wait to tomorrow when they send out 3 planes. 1 out to the Atlantic and 2 out to the PAC. Another day of model gyrations coming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: CG do you or anyone else have a pic to share of this ? Thanks in advance Kuchera 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Talk about spin the wheel and that's the model to follow though... jeez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Nibor said: I've been sloshed since Monday with my homie ECMWF. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Kuchera This would come from 20:1 ratios. Do you really think the ratios go that high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 This would come from 20:1 ratios. Do you really think the ratios go that high?No.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Tatamy said: This would come from 20:1 ratios. Do you really think the ratios go that high? Probably not because winds will be really strong. Especially nearer the coast 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 15:1 might be achievable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I mean, with tomorrow and Friday to go. I don't know 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, Tatamy said: 18z Euro is 6-12” from the city S and E and 3-6” to the N and W. What is not to like about that? The fact it's on its own. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, Tatamy said: This would come from 20:1 ratios. Do you really think the ratios go that high? I mean they could on the western fringe (would have to see soundings) but it's likely overdone by a good bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: The fact it's on its own. Hey u never know. The NAM has been know to shifts hundreds of miles in all directions on each run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I know no two setups are alike but the storm that gave parts of NYC and LI 9 inches earlier this winter I believe was showing like 1-3 at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 17 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Kuchera See I like this AND it can trend west! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 The Kuchera ratios aren't happening except for maybe well inland. That's showing maybe 15-1 ratios for the coast. MAYBE we can do 12-1 here. The winds are going to break the dendrites apart. That said the Euro run was very encouraging that at least this isn't dead. And the other models really aren't far off from something a lot better. We just need the upper lows to close off 6 hrs or so sooner. And we need some kind of help from the southern stream. Upton is loltastic with the snow ranges from nothing to 21" for me. But I guess that really is the 10 and 90% threshold at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I still favor the Euro over the GFS/CMC solutions. The EURO at 500 looks darn impressive, just not fast enough / far enough south to help western and northern areas of this forum. I think the upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs you are going to start to see a consensus form leaning more toward the Euro. Use liquid amounts at 12:1 for snowfall totals. Kuchera maps are just weather porn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, MANDA said: I still favor the Euro over the GFS/CMC solutions. The EURO at 500 looks darn impressive, just not fast enough / far enough south to help western and northern areas of this forum. I think the upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs you are going to start to see an consensus form leaning more toward the Euro. Use liquid amounts at 12:1 for snowfall totals. Kuchera maps are just weather porn. It still gives N and W 3-6 so at least it's not zero. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, MANDA said: I still favor the Euro over the GFS/CMC solutions. The EURO at 500 looks darn impressive, just not fast enough / far enough south to help western and northern areas of this forum. I think the upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs you are going to start to see an consensus form leaning more toward the Euro. Use liquid amounts at 12:1 for snowfall totals. Kuchera maps are just weather porn. I do think the well NW areas need a lot of help here and are on life support with this one but it hasn't been a surprise given the trends over the last day or so. I'd put the "there's still a decent shot" line at I-287/87 and then along I-84 east of there. By decent I mean a warning level event. There could still be 2-4" or something like that well NW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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