Brasiluvsnow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: NYC went from a 17-10 halftime lead to a 24-17 deficit at the end of the 3rd quarter. For eastern LI it's more like going from a 24-10 lead to a tied game at the end of the third quarter. I hope the football analogy is ok. the analogy works but football has 3 time outs lets use one here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: No you don’t. Then we would have very boring weather. ...and I guarantee that we'd screw that up somehow also. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Leaving more energy back Yep. Not good trends. Anyone who says these are trends are crazy. Every model got worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jr461 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: NYC went from a 17-10 halftime lead to a 24-17 deficit at the end of the 3rd quarter. For eastern LI it's more like going from a 24-10 lead to a tied game at the end of the third quarter. I hope the football analogy is ok. If the team representing NYC is one of it's 2 NFL teams (in name anyway) then it's definitely over! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, HVSnowLover said: NYC went from a 17-10 halftime lead to a 24-17 deficit at the end of the 3rd quarter. For eastern LI it's more like going from a 24-10 lead to a tied game at the end of the third quarter. I hope the football analogy is ok. Take a timeout...but if you believe in rally caps, now might be a good time to don one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: No you don’t. Then we would have very boring weather. Yeah but that's only if the people who are in authority positions are still making the decisions by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: NYC went from a 17-10 halftime lead to a 24-17 deficit at the end of the 3rd quarter. For eastern LI it's more like going from a 24-10 lead to a tied game at the end of the third quarter. I hope the football analogy is ok. its 4th and 14 with the game on the line for NYC rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Is there an analog for a storm that looked progressively worse on the models as we got closer, only to turn back around at the last minute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, hlcater said: its 4th and 14 with the game on the line for NYC rn 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, matt8204 said: Is there an analog for a storm that looked progressively worse on the models as we got closer, only to turn back around at the last minute? Boxing day. All right around the same time frame...lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, matt8204 said: Is there an analog for a storm that looked progressively worse on the models as we got closer, only to turn back around at the last minute? Boxing Day 2010. NOT saying that will happen here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, jm1220 said: Boxing Day 2010. NOT saying that will happen here. 1/25/00 was another one but 22 yrs ago models were not as good... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, matt8204 said: Is there an analog for a storm that looked progressively worse on the models as we got closer, only to turn back around at the last minute? Boxing Day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 All I have to do is look at the number of people browsing here; what a drop off in interest! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Definitely gonna be a step back. One step forward 3 steps back this winter. Leaving alot of energy in the west is killing us. Need that to eject faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Boxing day had great blocking though....we don't have a blocking scenario here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Nam looks terrible Like I said this morning-it flops around more than a freshly caught fluke. But the trend to leave the energy behind in the SW is real and it'll have to make up for it somewhere else like with a better northern stream. It's a shame but this is still salvageable for most of us. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, hazwoper said: The great Herm Edwards! He became a coach because of that play lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: All I have to do is look at the number of people browsing here; what a drop off in interest! Something must of happened with the server. It went from 100 to 5.. now climbing back up.. no way that really happened... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Definitely gonna be a step back. One step forward 3 steps back this winter. Leaving alot of energy in the west is killing us. Need that to eject faster whats the reason the energy is left back in the west? the faster flow should eject it faster no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: All I have to do is look at the number of people browsing here; what a drop off in interest! I think you or somebody else said this earlier. Then the EURO came out and it was stuffed with people. I guarantee at 4:45 it will be packed in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Like I said this morning-it flops around more than a freshly caught fluke. But the trend to leave the energy behind in the SW is real and it'll have to make up for it somewhere else like with a better northern stream. It's a shame but this is still salvageable for most of us. whats causing the energy to be left back? The opposite should be happening with a faster flow no? I have a new motto for our forum: NO SHORTWAVE GETS LEFT BEHIND 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 1/25/00 was another one but 22 yrs ago models were not as good... they werent so good for March 2001 either 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, LibertyBell said: they werent so good for March 2001 either Nope. On this threat (assuming it's truly crapping out) we are seeing changes 2-3 days out-in March 2001 it busted at hour 6-12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 What is the nam doing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: Nope. On this threat (assuming it's truly crapping out) we are seeing changes 2-3 days out-in March 2001 it busted at hour 6-12 March 2017 busted very late in the game as well; the weather service didn't even drop the warning amounts IIRC, because they felt the sleetfest was dangerous and didn't want people to get complacent. But we went from a prediction of 18-24 to about 5 of sleet, and some places less than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: What is the nam doing lol might not see anything at all this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 The NAM is going to be way East, like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Guys, if you think its necessary to post the same thing numerous times within minutes…please go for a walk or something. Take a break. 9 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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