kat5hurricane Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: On the Euro you have a 970 or so mb low over Martha's Vineyard the chances are it's been snowing for 18 hours here at times heavily. This is not bad at all. The only problem I detect has been there all along. It's the western upper Great Lakes system which is to some extent acting as a kicker. But this run was in my book excellent. The storm's still there. It didn't swing east like the GFS. WX/PT It did speed up a bit and was a bit weaker but yeah, it's mainly model noise. I'm more referencing the other models that did not trend towards the Euro and in fact, the GFS went the other way and the Ukie is a complete whiff. I would liked to have seen a little more consensus forming but there's even more of a split after tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, larrye said: You really think these Kuchera totals will verify N&W? Even more likely N&W further from the high winds and cold AF, ya? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Looks lovely 20"-30" for the Jersey shore. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: Explain to me how y’all aren’t happy with 20-30” of snow? EURO didn’t cave, it doubled down! It depends where you live. N and W of NYC gets nowhere near that on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Jt17 said: Even more likely N&W further from the high winds and cold AF, ya? Maybe it's just my novice eye, but I have trouble seeing where N&W of NYC can get a foot or more of snow with the center as far east as the Euro has it and it bombing out as late as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaz Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 On the EC, the Kuchera snow totals are much higher than the 'regular' snow amounts, likely due to high ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaz Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Yaz said: On the EC, the Kuchera snow totals are much higher than the 'regular' snow amounts, likely due to high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: It depends where you live. N and W of NYC gets nowhere near that on this run. The kicker is not going to allow this system to jackpot for inland areas north and west of NYC. It's also preventing the coast from going over to rain. WX/PT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Yaz said: whew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: The kicker is not going to allow this system to jackpot for inland areas north and west of NYC. It's also preventing the coast from going over to rain. WX/PT I also have my doubts that LI is going to get 32" of snow. That would be pretty historic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: The kicker is not going to allow this system to jackpot for inland areas north and west of NYC. It's also preventing the coast from going over to rain. WX/PT yes, this run cut my precip basically in half from 1.4 at 12z to .75, big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Avoid looking at the snow maps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 The dual max shifted pretty uniformly from the Delmarva and SE Mass to Coastal NJ and just off the tip of Cape Cod. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 49 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: lol 27-33? haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 12 minutes ago, Nibor said: The dual max shifted pretty uniformly from the Delmarva and SE Mass to Coastal NJ and just off the tip of Cape Cod. also got higher (at least for here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 47 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: The euro still crushed coastal areas li an NYC. still? it actually buries this area more than the previous run did 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: lol 28-32? haha That's kuchera. But still even the regular 10-1 is 2 ft 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, LibertyBell said: still? it actually buries this area more than the previous run did People will say it's a bad run. I dont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 47 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: On the Euro you have a 970 or so mb low over Martha's Vineyard the chances are it's been snowing for 18 hours here at times heavily. This is not bad at all. The only problem I detect has been there all along. It's the western upper Great Lakes system which is to some extent acting as a kicker. But this run was in my book excellent. The storm's still there. It didn't swing east like the GFS. WX/PT I dont know why anyone outside of extreme inland areas would be negative about this run, the snowfall amounts are higher. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: People will say it's a bad run. I dont Maybe for extreme inland areas, but for everyone else it's better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Last 6 runs of the Euro minus the 6z and 18z runs. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Nibor said: Last 6 runs of the Euro minus the 6z and 18z runs. Pretty remarkable. Hasn't wavered much. Either its gonna regain the throne or puke on itself. What's your guess? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Pretty remarkable. Hasn't wavered much. Either its gonna regain the throne or puke on itself. What's your guess? 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 58 minutes ago, Jt17 said: No, compared to the end of the last op run it's actually ever so slightly west. The low is slightly weaker and the precip field is a little smaller though so I imagine the output will be a bit less, but it was still a good hit. Just noise at this point. these people dont know how to read maps, how is more snow worse lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, Nibor said: Hows the eps look? Did they move east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Hows the eps look? Did they move east? 11 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Awesome look for New England, and reflects the slightly later capture... Hard to tell but the lows that were just inland or on top of the NJ coast are gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Nibor said: Hard to tell but the lows that were just inland or on top of the NJ coast are gone. Still looks really good. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 34 minutes ago, Nibor said: Hard to tell but the lows that were just inland or on top of the NJ coast are gone. Main cluster still projects a benchmark track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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