patrick05 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 I read something about the recon sampling over the Pacific.. has that been ingested into tonight's 00z suite?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, patrick05 said: I read something about the recon sampling over the Pacific.. has that been ingested into tonight's 00z suite?? No the recon missions aren’t until tomorrow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Off to bed Hoping to see good news when I wake up Off to bed Hoping to see good news when I wake up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Ehh. As far as I'm concerned we're still in "there'll be a significant storm somewhere but who knows where it'll hit" mode. Frustrating that we have this much divergence again but hopefully the Euro holds in an hour and the east models come back west. Keep hopes in check because here they sometimes get blown up. Like I said we all have way too many battle scars from tracking to ultimately see it fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Off to bed Hoping to see good news when I wake up Off to bed Hoping to see good news when I wake up worked last night, keep up the good work! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexanderhall Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 18z GFS vs 00z... 1) the placement of the vort max currently west of BC seems to ever so slightly nudge west on the 00z GFS vs 18z. 2) ...which seems to slightly nudge west / slow down / shear things out a bit more as it digs into the SW and interacts with the 4-corners wave. 3)...which seems to slow down / very subtly temper the early stages of the phase with the N. Plains wave, leading to a slightly less amplified (early on), slightly more progressive eastward track. if there is recon data in this run, maybe it has sniffed something out...but yeah, v complex so would seem a ways to go yet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Euro differences tonight mainly noise. At 72 hours it's a hair east southeast of last run and slightly weaker system but it's really insignificant in the scope of things. It's still in a good spot and likely to bomb out. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 EURO ticks east. it recovers in the end but definitely not like it did in earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 A bomb over Cape Cod-just about Martha's Vineyard at 96 hours. Most of us here in the NYC Metro Region should have just barely gotten into the heaviest snowfall if this right. It should be ending early Saturday night. West and northwest of NYC less snow should fall. It's a little faster moving but no major changes. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 EURO caves to the GFS 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Not great trends tonight to be honest. Lets see what tomorrow brings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said: EURO ticks east. it recovers in the end but definitely not like it did in earlier runs. No, compared to the end of the last op run it's actually ever so slightly west. The low is slightly weaker and the precip field is a little smaller though so I imagine the output will be a bit less, but it was still a good hit. Just noise at this point. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 00z: 18z: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 The euro still crushed coastal areas li an NYC. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Jt17 said: 00z: 18z: Basically identical 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Franklin0529 said: The euro still crushed coastal areas li an NYC. The main difference wasn't track like people are saying here, it was a little less robust of a system and it moved a little quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: Not great trends tonight to be honest. Lets see what tomorrow brings. On the Euro you have a 970 or so mb low over Martha's Vineyard the chances are it's been snowing for 18 hours here at times heavily. This is not bad at all. The only problem I detect has been there all along. It's the western upper Great Lakes system which is to some extent acting as a kicker. But this run was in my book excellent. The storm's still there. It didn't swing east like the GFS. WX/PT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Nibor said: Beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: lol yea sure looks like it caved to the GFS 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Jt17 said: The main difference wasn't track like people are saying here, it was a little less robust of a system and it moved a little quicker. For me N and W it cut qpf in half so a little dicey with that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: The euro still crushed coastal areas li an NYC. There is nothing here to weep about tonight. If you live north and west of NYC the chances are high that you'll get less snow. This storm will be the most for the coast. WX/PT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Jt17 said: lol yea sure looks like it caved to the GFS Looks terrible doesn't it lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Wxoutlooksblog said: There is nothing here to weep about tonight. WX/PT Definitely not 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: For me N and W it cut qpf in half so a little dicey with that run. For sure there could be some sharp cutoffs so a 10-20 mile east shift in the axis of heavy snows (like on this run compared to last) could be frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Explain to me how y’all aren’t happy with 20-30” of snow? EURO didn’t cave, it doubled down! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Blizzard-on-GFS said: Explain to me how y’all aren’t happy with 20-30” of snow? EURO didn’t cave, it doubled down! Exactly lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, Jt17 said: lol yea sure looks like it caved to the GFS You really think these Kuchera totals will verify N&W? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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