Rjay Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Looked to hold serve to me. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Franklin0529 said: Yes Hmmm I don't think so man. I think the fact that you can't see the rest of the run is skewing your perspective 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Is that east of 12z The low is the same position as 12z Euro at this time and 4mb deeper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Gotta love it. 1 model run, 3 different views. That's part of the fun of wx forums. 6 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, EasternLI said: It did look a bit less amped from 12z. Western Ridge not quite as stout. Western ridge was better on this run. The low is actually a tick west. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 12 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Doesn't look like euro gonna be as amped It's slightly stronger 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Still looks good. I just dont think it's as amped 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Gotta love it. 1 model run, 3 different views. That's part of the fun of wx forums. I like this cause it means the change was negligible from 12z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Most of us are in a great spot at this point IMO. If the status quo holds, its a significant storm for NYC east. If it shifts slightly west, it's a major snowstorm for everyone. I'm curious if the frontal snow on Friday holds up, notably depicted by the 18z NAM. That could add significant duration to the total event. I suspect it trends lighter and probably later in the day Friday/Friday night, but it's something I'll be watching. It would be great to extend the snow to parts of 2 days. This could still easily fall completely apart. The trof still looks really fragile despite encouraging trends. But the likelihood times impact potential is easily significant enough to be very excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Still looks good. I just dont think it's as amped Slightly west and 4mb deeper than 90 last time. I think it's just the surface depiction doesn't look as intense, but obviously not something to worry about, especially on an 18z run 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Western ridge was better on this run. The low is actually a tick west. Your right actually. Had it backwards. My apologies for that. Just looked at the better maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Around what time does the storm begin on Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Let's see what eps shows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexanderhall Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 h/t ryans_wx on twitter, but just for fun/FWIW -- NASA's GEOS model at 12z has a big hit for NYC https://fluid.nccs.nasa.gov/weather/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Western ridge was better on this run. The low is actually a tick west. Yes. Much higher heights out west as well, which allows the EPO to go rather negative as the air is being forced up and over the ridge, grabbing cold air and spilling it into the eastern US. This in turn is also creating a bit of confluence, aiding in slowing down as well as keeping the cold over the coastal areas. Likewise, it keeps baroclynicity off of the coast AND forces the Hudson Valley short wave towards the phase as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 The 850 MB 18Z low is significantly deeper than the 12 Z ECMWF run and in the same position. An interesting trend 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mitchel Volk said: The 850 MB 18Z low is significantly deeper than the 12 Z ECMWF run and in the same position. An interesting trend What would your translate that to in regard to sensible weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 21 minutes ago, TriPol said: Around what time does the storm begin on Friday? Looks like some snow Friday from a northern stream disturbance on Friday but probably the coastal snow would begin around midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Here's 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 28 minutes ago, Rjay said: Gotta love it. 1 model run, 3 different views. That's part of the fun of wx forums. Probably a sign not much changed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 I had the maps mixed up. My bad. That's more amped than 12z which is kind of crazy. Wonder what eps is going to look like. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 35 minutes ago, alexanderhall said: h/t ryans_wx on twitter, but just for fun/FWIW -- NASA's GEOS model at 12z has a big hit for NYC https://fluid.nccs.nasa.gov/weather/ In whatever the hell this model is, we trust. 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: In whatever the hell this model is, we trust. Looks like a dual paintbrush/model hack job by Ant. Goodness. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 I feel like a drug addict asking, but... anybody got the EPS? *scratches neck, avoids eye contact 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 EPS just getting going for me. Running a little slow today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Seeing relatively small run to run changes would be a really good thing at this stage. We don't want big shifts in either direction. Best case scenario this very slowly edges westward over the next three days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 I feel like a drug addict asking, but... anybody got the EPS? *scratches neck, avoids eye contactyea, right here in this forum… first time’s free. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Looks great to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now