LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, Nibor said: Again, the NAM is BEST case scenario. It's still the NAM but the overall trend continues with the 500 mb evolution. NAM is getting into the range when it's the best model ....24-36 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 A classic 2-3 feet Philly to Boston 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaz Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Winter storm Warning for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 lol On the NAM the dual max is back to the Jersey Shore and SE Mass. We've come full circle from the Euro runs back on Tuesday . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Find it funny no blizzard warning from upton, almost every model has the winds meeting criteria 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 But they always have till this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, nycsnow said: Find it funny no blizzard warning from upton, almost every model has the winds meeting criteria super hard to reach blizzard warning criteria. IF It were to happen it wouldn’t happen until once the storm has actually started 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 upton might eat crow sooner or later wsw for 6-9” seems a little low vs the trends tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaz Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Near 70 mph gusts Jersey coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Mt holly issued blizzard warnings, not on same page with upton at all 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, Snowlover11 said: upton might eat crow sooner or later wsw for 6-9” seems a little low vs the trends tonight? Jan 2016 they slowly increased their totals. If they need to they'll do the same here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxSnowWx37 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 14 minutes ago, Nibor said: The heavy band that has been centered over Long Island shifted west to over NYC. I mentioned this possibility literally a hour or so ago..nyc might be crushed in either scenario.west or just east..the mega death band will find us in between. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 what do you even say to this? would be 3-4”/hr rates at 15F and 60 mph gusts 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Slightly earlier closed low. The trend continues... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: super hard to reach blizzard warning criteria. IF It were to happen it wouldn’t happen until once the storm has actually started Thats why I consider Jan 2016 a super blizzard JFK met blizzard criteria for six straight hours so it was a 2x blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: what do you even say to this? would be 3-4”/hr rates at 15F and 60 mph gusts with thunder and lightning CG even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, nycsnow said: wtf nice they did it early 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, BxSnowWx37 said: I mentioned this possibility literally a hour or so ago..nyc might be crushed in either scenario.west or just east..the mega death band will find us in between. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 wow they pulled the trigger on the coast of nj. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxSnowWx37 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said: wow they pulled the trigger on the coast of nj. It's coming brother, also it's flurrying by my way rn..first flakes for the next 2 days or so. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Thats why I consider Jan 2016 a super blizzard JFK met blizzard criteria for six straight hours so it was a 2x blizzard. Out here on LI it was like 11 hours straight lol The only other ones that even came close to that was February 2017 with 7 hours and January 2018 with 8 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 That is a superstorm and would have extreme impacts. I guess verbatim it would be 70-90 mph northerly winds across Long Island Sound across Long Island and snowfall amounts might not really matter that much as 15" or 30" would drift like crazy. NYC likely to verify the earlier 18-24" idea with some parts of the metro exposed to stronger outflow winds, otherwise at least 50-60 mph. Most of CT would likely see 30" of snow from this sort of track. I think it actually stays a bit east of RI and crosses the cape, but anyway, it means nothing until either the rest of models follow suit or it happens anyway. Don't forget it is not a guarantee just a strong suggestion. I was always expecting this sort of end game though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 46” over my house… I’ll never see a more beautiful model run in my life 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxSnowWx37 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Those above average sst's are gonna fuel the train of moisture with a inflow like the one depicted. We saw the extreme precip rates when the last strong inland cutter passed by. Now we stay on the cold side of things with the same precip coming in. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Over your house in more ways than one, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxSnowWx37 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: 46” over my house… I’ll never see a more beautiful model run in my life Beautiful and yet so dangerous for those who ingnore this potential extreme weather event..the northeastern coast would be cutoff from most of the country for a couple of days if these totals verified. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Boston put out blizzard warnings as well, upton on their own in that regards 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 13 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Out here on LI it was like 11 hours straight lol The only other ones that even came close to that was February 2017 with 7 hours and January 2018 with 8 hours I get those confused lol, I knew it was either 6 or 12 haha. Jan 2016 might have been 12 and Feb 2017 might have been 6. Jan 2018 I dont remember at all. Which was the one where there was a white out all day and you couldn't see anything outside and Boston set their surge record? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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