Joe4alb Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I would say - the GFS has folded. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Yup there it is, it’s coming.. many of us wake up or have blizzard warnings by tomorrow afternoon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Jt17 said: I just mean the GFS - it's very east still of the other guidance. Yeah but yesterday it was only giving the Canadian Maritimes snow. It's a POS model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs folded big time here Jeez is anyone shocked? What a shame that after this big upgrade it still sucks royally on pinning down these coastal storms more than 48hrs out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Joe4alb condolences for the loss of your dad. Joe Bastardi (WeatherBell and AccuWeather) said a few days ago both of his parents just died---on the same day apparently. Hang in there and keep swinging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 51 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. Good evening Joe. Whenever a flake touches you, your father will be there. The storms in the future will be him saying hello. May you and all of us find peace. As always … 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, Jt17 said: I just mean the GFS - it's very east still of the other guidance. No it isnt. It now has a low very close to NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Jeez is anyone shocked? What a shame that after this big upgrade it still sucks royally on pinning down these coastal storms more than 48hrs out. Euro is great with Miller A storms 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Lots of us were saying what could happen with a slightly earlier closing off of the low. This could and probably will make shifts but there's nothing to really stop it from coming west at least another 30-40 miles. And it's not a given that it'll trend back east at the last minute. 1/4/18 came west until the very end, I think 12/19/09 trended NW until the end, so did Boxing Day 2010. Sure some do tick back east but it's not a rule. there is nothing to keep it from going further west so let's get it as far west as it could possibly go, this is the good thing about no arctic high pressing down to push the storm out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: No it isnt. It now has a low very close to NJ Good I hope it makes landfall with all the misery the GFS has given all week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, HeadInTheClouds said: Yeah but yesterday it was only giving the Canadian Maritimes snow. It's a POS model. yea agree - well it essentially folded here. If it gets rid of the double barrel look like the Nam and Euro have essentially done, but keeps that track, it will be an absolute monster for NYC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: It looks like the southern area of circulation is taking over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, USCG RS said: I would say - the GFS has folded. Absolute shocker. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Jeez is anyone shocked? What a shame that after this big upgrade it still sucks royally on pinning down these coastal storms more than 48hrs out. Really makes me more confident in my theory that the last month was just a weather pattern which played to the GFS biases rather than the GFS being a better model. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: No it isnt. It now has a low very close to NJ My message is now being taken out of context. I was responding to somebody about the previous run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, mannylovessnow said: There is literally no difference in snowfall amounts between Central Long Island and SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, USCG RS said: I would say - the GFS has folded. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 That's one of the hardest caves I've seen. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 What is stopping this from going more west ? We don't have blocking or a kicker. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 10:1 and kuchera ratio posted both for the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 On 1/25/2022 at 10:21 PM, qg_omega said: RGEM is east, GFS leading way on this Does it ever get old being this bad? 5 1 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: What is stopping this from going more west ? We don't have blocking or a kicker. There's not, that extra twist makes this even more fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Does it ever get old being this bad? He's like those NFL teams that have perfectly imperfect seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: What is stopping this from going more west ? We don't have blocking or a kicker. Nothing. Dont be surprised at 18-24" forum wide Tommor. Gfs still playing catch up. Nam will spit out 30+ Tommor afternoon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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