nycwinter Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, jm1220 said: I’ll believe something like that when I see it but that Nam run would be how it happens. big powerful storms can often drop 3 4 or in some cases 5 inches in a hour and that ca add up very quickly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: I still like 15" for us, i dont think 2 feet is happening I'll wave a red flag from under my big snow drifts. 2 feet here prob lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 surprisedpikachu.jpg 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 20 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. Very sorry for your loss. Keep those wonderful memories forever. Prayers for you and your family. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, nycwinter said: big powerful storms can often drop 3 4 or in some cases 5 inches in a hour and that ca add up very quickly.. I can personally attest to the above from March 2017 and last February, but in particular March 2017 where I pulled near-consistent 2-4” per hour for that whole event…. and maybe even 5-6” in an hour between 10-11 AM that day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 24 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. Very sorry for your loss. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Sorry for your loss Joe I know what is feels like to lose a parent. I was 24 when I lost my dad in 2012. He was only 52 years old. Still tough for me today 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, crossbowftw3 said: I can personally attest to the above from March 2017 and last February, but in particular March 2017 where I pulled near-consistent 2-4” per hour for that whole event…. and maybe even 5-6” in an hour between 10-11 AM that day we had 4-6" an hr here with Feb 2013 it was crazy a foot of snow in 3 hrs (on our way to 30) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 @Joe4alb so sorry for your loss. My condolences and prayers to you and your family! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Sorry for your loss Joe I know what is feels like to lose a parent. I was 24 when I lost my dad in 2012. He was only 52 years old. Still tough for me today Ugh. I’m 54 and have two boys. Couldn’t imagine the loss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Thanks everyone! Now let's take this to the history books! 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 @Joe4alb sorry for your loss my friend 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Sorry for your loss brother hang in there I know that it sucks R I P 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Even the SREF are trending west and increasing amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 17 minutes ago, Jt17 said: It's hard to say - this is a very cold storm. We're used to mixing at the coast, etc. with our big storms. That ain't it this time. Respect your opinion, you probably know more than I do about this stuff. But 39" in western suffolk? Knowing that the NAM usually overstates QPF? It would have to get under some pretty good banding for several hours and I don't know if the intense banding will get far enough west for that. I guess we'll see. But I would prefer to use the 10-1 ratio maps and add a bit to increase the ratios if appropriate for temps ... then stating that higher amounts can be expected underneath areas where banding sets up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: Thanks everyone! Now let's take this to the history books! I just want to offer my condolences as well. Go Albany U. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesny Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 27 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. @Joe4albsincerely sorry for your loss. Lost my dad to covid last year and we also bonded over weather. Prayers for you and your love ones' grieving and healing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 17 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: My condolences to you and your family. My dad passed away in December 2015 and a month later we got the blizzard of 2016 so I know the feeling Feb 2013 was right before my father passed. I will actually never forget how he explained he was so impressed that I was able to understand what was happening and the forecast I made. It was... a nice memory. Never knew blizzards and fathers were connected for some like it was for me. And again @Joe4alb my sincere condolences :/ 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 34 minutes ago, USCG RS said: God knows I have eaten enough crow in my lifetime Well now sit back and enjoy a steak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 31 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. Really sorry to hear - my condolences to you and your family. Just lost my Mom 6 months ago so know what you're going through. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 13 minutes ago, Snowguy66 said: I am also very sorry for your loss. My dad is in his 70s and I worry every day at some point about him. sounds like he had a great son. Spend as much time as possible with him like its his last day. Trust me... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 33 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. I'm very sorry for your loss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I want to extend my condolences as well @Joe4alb I lost my father a little over 10 years ago when he was only 57 so I can relate. Hopefully the snowstorm gives you some joy. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sorry for your loss Joe I know what is feels like to lose a parent. I was 24 when I lost my dad in 2012. He was only 52 years old. Still tough for me today I "third" you. I lost my real Dad at 15, he was 47, in 1973. Fortunately it was from great to greater, but I lost my next Dad after almost 41 years knowing him and being his stepson my of the time in 2013. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Seems like just yesterday when people were out on the ledge and Coach Brasiluvsnow was calling some strategic timeouts boy did those pay off or what,,,,,ps take a bow USCG and Forky and Doorman and a few others you look like you might have hit walkout home runs touch em all,,,,,,that said the Nam run should be framed god I hope it verifies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, larrye said: Respect your opinion, you probably know more than I do about this stuff. But 39" in western suffolk? Knowing that the NAM usually overstates QPF? It would have to get under some pretty good banding for several hours and I don't know if the intense banding will get far enough west for that. I guess we'll see. But I would prefer to use the 10-1 ratio maps and add a bit to increase the ratios if appropriate for temps ... then stating that higher amounts can be expected underneath areas where banding sets up. With this storm and the dynamics/moisture at play, QPF probably isn't overdone. But again the Kuchera maps especially in the worst of it with blizzard conditions aren't happening. I could see maybe 12-1 ratios there. Winds will break the flakes apart and hurt ratios. The best ratios will be inland where winds will be reduced and there can be more piling up (but there will be less QPF). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 Let's reel this one in for Joe's dad. 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 34 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. So sorry. My condolences. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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