gravitylover Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 23 minutes ago, Eduardo said: In NYC trying to figure out if it's going to snow on Saturday like: On snap! Is that an old subway or bridge token? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, gravitylover said: On snap! Is that an old subway or bridge token? It's a 2 euro coin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Any consensus yet west of the city? I’m trying to figure out if I’m using my leafblower for this or to break out the sunglasses.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 425 PM EST Thu Jan 27 2022 CTZ006-007-010-011-NYZ078-080-177-179-280530- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0001.220129T0000Z-220130T0000Z/ Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Northwest Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk- Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau- 425 PM EST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, with near blizzard conditions possible. Winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Upton not issuing warnings still interesting.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, wthrmn654 said: Upton not issuing warnings still interesting.. It's too early for that under normal/any circumstances 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
203whiteout Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 hour ago, North and West said: . Lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I'm under warning in northern coastal Monmouth. 9-15" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 32 minutes ago, Tatamy said: I am out in Bethlehem, PA - not really expecting anything. What is crazy are some of those EPS members. By my count 10 of those 50 members would give me 12” +. Brings new definition to the term “Go big or go home.” That’s what makes this whole thing so strenuous/hard-to-nail-down. This far west we can still pull something great but at this point the ship has almost all but sailed. All eyes now to figuring out where the bands set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 WS Watches extended west in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 FWIW ICON was a tick better region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, EastonSN+ said: FWIW ICON was a tick better region wide. Is ICON related to GFS? They seem to sort of spit out similar solutions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 @wdrag@SnowGoose69@forkyfork or anyone who might know: does anyone know whether the NWS uses ratios (Kuchera or other) in constructing their snowfall maps or if they just use 10:1? With the latest NWS-Philly maps being so bullish, it makes me think they're factoring in something like 15:1 ratios, so 8-12" of 10:1 snow becomes 12-18" at 15:1, for the immediate coast, for example. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Alright let’s see if the GFS concedes or sticks to its guns.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg g Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Northof78 said: WS Watches extended west in NJ And north in rockland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said: Alright let’s see if the GFS concedes or sticks to its guns.. I have a little tingle going on down there....I'm feeling a positive run in our favor! (banter of course!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 We need a pretty significant move west by the GFS to line up with the Nam and Rgem solutions. If not, I don't know what to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 43 minutes ago, larrye said: How often does the H5 in mind with no surface back up turn out to be valid vs. a bust? More often than not.. H5 will lead the way with models and sensible weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Let's go gfs. Looking better early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 interesting that GFS has no overrunning snow out ahead of the storm like the NAM and others show.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Hearing gfs way west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 looks like it tracked further NE but the precip shield was much more expanded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: We need a pretty significant move west by the GFS to line up with the Nam and Rgem solutions. If not, I don't know what to think. Given the lower resolution of the GFS, I would hedge my bets with the higher resolution models. The reason for this is because the best chance of resolving all of the energy issues/ phases/ etc is going to come from models with higher resolution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Gfs looking good. Cave incoming 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, Northof78 said: WS Watches extended west in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Cavey cave has begun 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Still got that stupid convection 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 9 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: That’s what makes this whole thing so strenuous/hard-to-nail-down. This far west we can still pull something great but at this point the ship has almost all but sailed. All eyes now to figuring out where the bands set up Bands? For which location? Current models indicate a pretty tight gradeint. Banding would likely be an issue further out on eastern Long Island. No coastal/warm fronts to affect increased lift in most areas near NYC and west, unless the storm would track closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Franklin0529 said: Still got that stupid convection Yea but it's starting to give more emphasis than it was before to the western barrel... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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