nsof Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, jaysoner said: Oh God he's the wurst. He's literally 2000 in a human costume. Really tho has got his own agenda never listen to him Respectfully disagree. Man puts out his forecast and sticks to it, doesn't sh*t talk other Mets, and explains the processes better than most meteorologists. Learned a lot from following him. To each their own though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaysoner Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, tomcatct said: He used to always say the storm's gonna stall..but he's probably right once in a while You know what they say about broken clocks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Winds picking up big time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 13 minutes ago, Jt17 said: that was actually a pretty big jump... 0.56" qpf last run to .73" this run 1.5 inches at 10-1 and about 2.9 inches more with ratios... You're not getting 20:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Let’s go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Radar exploding over the island. Can really see how these big totals are coming city and east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreekWeatherGod95 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Let’s go Be U TI Ful 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: Radar exploding over the island. Can really see how these big totals are coming city and east Radar still has all these bands rotating west not away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Let’s go Heavy snow here in Long Beach. Picked up in the last few minutes. Let’s go!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Jt17 said: Yes but unlike you, a random commenter, the physics takes into account that the precip is at the very tail end of the storm when it is extremely cold and the wind couldn't be further out of the picture. So while the storm average might be 13.5/1 or something, that time frame might benefit from higher ratios. STOP. Don't need to weenie out, be happy QPF increased and don't fabricate ratios based on "physics". Just because it's fairly cold doesn't mean you get 20:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 If we can just get these death bands to expand in size, rotate in, become stationary and then pivot , you'll find a happy weenie under there for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Blizzard like conditions here now under this heavy band. visibility down to about 1/4 mile, winds around 30, ground blizzard starting up. closing in on 1.5” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jt17 said: Yes but unlike you, a random commenter, the physics takes into account that the precip is at the very tail end of the storm when it is extremely cold and the wind couldn't be further out of the picture. So while the storm average might be 13.5/1 or something, that time frame might benefit from higher ratios. STOP. There's so much more to snow-liquid ratios than just column temp and wind. There are lots of great resources available online that explain the crosshair method of snow growth forecasting. That will get you much closer to realistic expectations than simply assuming that colder is better. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 About 2” here. Lots more blowing snow over the last 15-20 min. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 25 minutes ago, jaysoner said: Oh God he's the wurst. He's literally 2000 in a human costume. I see what you did there. Well done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 damn Central LI is getting rocked with more to come from the south too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 those heavy bands are flying west into NJ....interesting....would think if western NJ was out of the big stuff those bands wouldn't be getting that far inland at this point... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 LI is going to see Thors hammer dropped on them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Heavier snow now Over an inch here in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, Jt17 said: So you've analyzed the physics of the GFS model and can tell me for certain that it doesn't know better about what it's ingesting than you do? And for the love of christ I didn't say we were getting 20-1 snow ratios, I literally broke down the updated snow outputs for both 10-1 and the Kuchera maps. If you break it down, it's like a 13 or 14/1 ratio storm for the first .5 inches of qpf and then it's 20-1 for the tail end. That's just what it says, I didn't wish for it to happen or think it's going to happen. I actually think we're going to just end up with more qpf than is modeled to begin with on the GFS. The GFS doesn't calculate snowfall forecasts, that's up to model vendor algorithms. Thanks for the attempted sanctimony, though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Coming down at a good clip in Woodbridge right now. Just moved the car. Pretty cold out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just keeps building over me IMG_6049.MOV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 Nice band parked over my area 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Bands bullying their way north and west. Positive NAO can have its benefits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 LI getting smacked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Salivating at the radar coming up from NJ. And looks like it has a couple pushes west into the city and a bit further. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Storm cxl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: Nice band parked over my area Looks like a fist pointed toward Smithtown/Huntington. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 NJ radar looking nice. Ratios should increase overnight 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Puking snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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