Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

2/13 fit everybody.  That was a fabulous storm. Hopefully this ends up distributing the snow similar to how that did. 

I would sign for that.

[moneypitmike]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya the poor guy is a complete wreck on this. 

It worked for Scooter in 2015.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Took from another thread.

I love keeping that 6 inch line out to western NJ.

Buffer!

And keep in mind that this is a mean snowfall graphic.  Those are hefty numbers at this timeframe.  Can still change but higher confidence threat for sure.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

No idea when Juno was, I hate names.

June?

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Load. Blown. South. West.

Then there is LBRF which is Load. Blown. Rays. Face. 

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah some signs this slows east of the Cape. 

Seen a few as it gets captured and tugged west into the GOM.

[mahk_webstah]

11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Load. Blown. South. West.

Then there is LBRF which is Load. Blown. Rays. Face. 

Thanks for going there so I didn’t have to.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

No idea when Juno was, I hate names.

Juno was 1/27/15. 

[Zeus]

6 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Great run for the area as a whole

Good morning, specifically and particularly, to me.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Juno was 1/27/15. 

My grandparents had Juno dial-up Internet.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I think some of these old perceived biases need to die. These models get so many updates and upgrades now that it’s difficult to apply biases from 15-20 yrs ago to today. I know many still believe in them, but I’d need to see some kind of research to be convinced. Just my $0.02. 

True, good point.

[dryslot]

38 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Juno was 1/27/15. 

Now that makes more sense, Give me dates not names, 28.5" in that one.

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya the poor guy is a complete wreck on this. 

I don't think I'm melting at all. I'm expressing concerns that are pertinent to my area, as you guys are with hoping it captures faster. Not sure what the difference is? Maybe we all just love snow? Or maybe wait to find out?

[JC-CT]

I'm sure everyone knows that the actual qpf distribution will likely not be as smooth as the ensemble mean is showing?

[WinterWolf]

Just now, dryslot said:

Now that makes more sense, Give me dates not names.

And Nemo was 2/13. 

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, Zeus said:

Good morning, specifically and particularly, to me.

Was it the LBRF that drew you in?

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Juno was 1/27/15. 

Run of the mill blizzard here.  ~24".

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think I'm melting at all. I'm expressing concerns that are pertinent to my area, as you guys are with hoping it captures faster. Not sure what the difference is? Maybe we all just love snow? Or maybe wait to find out?

Wasn’t trying to dig you pal…just saying you seem very sensitive on each run as Bob mentioned. We all want a great storm. I get it completely…especially this year where nothing seems to work out.  I think we’re all gonna get a good one here. That’s my feeling currently.  Let’s hope it plays out like that, as I said maybe something like 2/13. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I think some of these old perceived biases need to die. These models get so many updates and upgrades now that it’s difficult to apply biases from 15-20 yrs ago to today. I know many still believe in them, but I’d need to see some kind of research to be convinced. Just my $0.02. 

Same with the 06z/18z runs.  With all the satellite input they are just as valid.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Load. Blown. South. West.

Then there is LBRF which is Load. Blown. Rays. Face. 

Yup, just spit my coffee out. LO fn L

[CT Valley Dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Run of the mill blizzard here.  ~24".

Nemo has spoiled us.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Was it the LBRF that drew you in?

We just want Ray to be happy and not get shafted with 12”.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Wasn’t trying to dig you pal…just saying you seem very sensitive on each run as Bob mentioned. We all want a great storm. I get it completely…especially this year where nothing seems to work out.  I think we’re all gonna get a good one here. That’s my feeling currently.  Let’s hope it plays out like that, as I said maybe something like 2/13. 

Each run? I hardly even batted an eye when the GFS was nearly a whiff yesterday.  However, last night's Euro run illustrated my one real concern with this...not sure how that is losing my shit. I'll be sure to alert people when they "lose their shit" in future runs.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We just want Ray to be happy and not get shafted with 12”.

That would be a shame

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Nemo has spoiled us.

Not spoiled at all here.  It's just snow.  I've had far too many 20"+ snowfalls over the last 20yrs to recall them all.  Gotta be 10 of them.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

That would be a shame

It is. If 12” is the min, bend me over right now. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

That would be a shame

There are a lot of folks who would feel porked with 12" in a sea of 2' plus....you are full of shit if you think otherwise.

[Zeus]

8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Was it the LBRF that drew you in?

I go wherever the LB is, as I enjoy a good pounding.

That's layered wordplay right there.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Not spoiled at all here.  It's just snow.  I've had far too many 20"+ snowfalls over the last 20yrs to recall them all.  Gotta be 10 of them.

That’s insane. I know you realize how special that it is. Some of your younger brethren’s may not. Thinking that’s the norm lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Zeus said:

I go wherever the LB is, as I enjoy a good pounding.

That's layered wordplay right there.

How we've missed you