Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Ginx snewx]

Look at the individual members there is some historical analogs in there. Holy crap.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Looks like a late Friday night start and pounds all day Saturday… tapering Saturday evening 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Look at the individual members there is some historical analogs in there. Holy crap.

I'm taking a look now, but I'm not seeing anything, probably because you haven't posted it yet.

[JC-CT]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks like a late Friday night start and pounds all day Saturday… tapering Saturday evening 

Why are you still tracking a rainstorm?

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, JC-CT said:

I'm taking a look now, but I'm not seeing anything, probably because you haven't posted it yet.

Look and you shall see the EPS is nutz as can be. Even GFS analogs are go big or go home.

[ROOSTA]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

When all major Mets go into weenie mode like this folks… it’s beast mode full throttle. Mets whipping long dongs across cheeks 

And then it's taken straight up the arz. LOL 
Sorry, couldn't resist... 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Look and you shall see the EPS is nutz as can be. Even GFS analogs are go big or go home.

That's actually kind of interesting down by DC, since models have backed off down there

Actually north of DC is where I'm looking, hard with the little squigglies

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

That's actually kind of interesting down by DC, since models have backed off down there

its from 12z

[Snowcrazed71]

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Guys and gals.. This still looks beautiful. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

its from 12z

Doubt h5 is that different enough to matter

[Torch Tiger]

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Love seeing the 950-970mb lows, don't care where it goes honestly, but hope it is powerful and close

[weathafella]

And regarding DTs post-VA/MD are well west of New England 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

That's actually kind of interesting down by DC, since models have backed off down there

Actually north of DC is where I'm looking, hard with the little squigglies

And this goes on up to 138 hrs

[George001]

looking at the eps indies it looks like there are 2 camps, both are inside the benchmark so we get slammed either way, but the sw one seems to be a sign that the storm could slow down. If that happens someone could easily get over 3 feet.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

And this goes on up to 138 hrs

Now that's what good looking ensembles look like.

e45 just for the hahas?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Steve ninja’d me but a good amount of bomb looks there. Yesss.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just getting caught up. I agree with Tip.  The 18z GFS/GEFS were a dramatic continuity shift from their 12z run.  I'd wait to see what the 00z GFS/GEFS do before altering any ideas of the storm.  The 18z EURO/EPS were less drastic and lend more credence right now but that can change in 6hrs.  There is nothing to really hang on this far out other than watching the runs rolls in.  Gotta wait another couple days to see how things look.  Confidence is still high for a storm from what I see right now.  I'd still be leery of a hugger given the southern origins and how we know they play out.  Having a track over or S and E of the BM isn't a bad thing for a lot of the subforum.

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

looking at the eps indies it looks like there are 2 camps, both are inside the benchmark so we get slammed either way, but the sw one seems to be a sign that the storm could slow down. If that happens someone could easily get over 3 feet.

"easily" and "over 3 feet" should not be used in the same sentence unless you are talking about a centipede.

[Hoth]

11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks like a late Friday night start and pounds all day Saturday… tapering Saturday evening 

Would be great to have a historic crusher during the day. I feel like it's been a while.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Hoth said:

Would be great to have a historic crusher during the day. I feel like it's been a while.

Sun angle could become a problem

[dan11295]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Sun angle could become a problem

Not at the end of January, this isn't March or April.

[Hoth]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Sun angle could become a problem

It's okay, dude. I've covered my entire yard in mulch piles. We good until May!

[Damage In Tolland]

So there’s someone missing the last couple days . Wolfie is gone. Either Dendy suspended him or his sled went off the trail in Waterville , ME  and we are in send help mode 

[powderfreak]

10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Just getting caught up. I agree with Tip.  The 18z GFS/GEFS were a dramatic continuity shift from their 12z run.  I'd wait to see what the 00z GFS/GEFS do before altering any ideas of the storm. 

It's possible the previous 12-18 hours of runs were a bit of a burp and this keeps on being like yesterday's model runs.  Off-shore with E.NE in that cold conveyor belt... instead of the couple runs of highly amped members.  Who knows, should be fun tracking.  If we go back to yesterday's runs and look at 18z ensembles today, it's still a positive trend but not as drastic as 6z/12z today.

[dryslot]

Sarcasm

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So there’s someone missing the last couple days . Wolfie is gone. Either Dendy suspended him or his sled went off the trail in Waterville , ME  and we are in send help mode 

He's training for his next Ironman competition. Biceps too sore to hold phone. 

[PhineasC]

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It's possible the previous 12-18 hours of runs were a bit of a burp and this keeps on being like yesterday's model runs.  Off-shore with E.NE in that cold conveyor belt... instead of the couple runs of highly amped members.  Who knows, should be fun tracking.  If we go back to tomorrow's runs and look at 18z ensembles today, it's still a positive trend but not as drastic as 6z/12z today.

That's what I am worried about. The 18z GFS looked a lot like the many runs that showed this thing mostly offshore and wimpy for everyone but downeast ME. What if the coastal huggers were the burp runs after all and this thing is destined for the fish?

The run still gave me like 16" tho so not sure why I am bitching so much. It's the trend that is worrisome.

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Now that's what good looking ensembles look like.

e45 just for the hahas?

Frigging mean, frigging mean 4.5 days out. Wow. Control run is 2 feet ya I know Control but 954 south of BID with a closed 510 damn

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

That's what I am worried about. The 18z GFS looked a lot like the many runs that showed this thing mostly offshore and wimpy for everyone but downcast ME. What if the coastal huggers were the burp runs after all and this things is destined for the fish?

The run still gave me like 16" tho so not sure why I am bitching so much. It's the trend that is worrisome.

1 run is a trend? Dude.  

[PhineasC]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So there’s someone missing the last couple days . Wolfie is gone. Either Dendy suspended him or his sled went off the trail in Waterville , ME  and we are in send help mode 

Dendrite only takes people off suspensions (I know from long experience).