Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

If the 0z GFS is still way East I will certainly take it as a caution flag.

Not if the Euro and UK hold serve.

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Just toss whatever model gives least snow. Duh.

I do the same for forecasters. byeeeeeeee

[Ginx snewx]

43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The problem with the GFS being improved is it leads to more confusion. At least before the upgrade you could bet your house, your salary, ounces of weed if you smoke pot, that it was wrong and too Far East. Now , because they upgraded it and it’s been decent , you can only bet apartments , 1/4 salaries , dime bags . You’ll still likely win, but it’s not quite as confident 

Dime bags lol 

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Many people are asking

 

Ricardo minds wants to know 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

That fact that people watch these vids.

[Typhoon Tip]

Why would the 18z GFS ... dictate anything though - it was a continuity break.  c'mon man... Well, maybe there are those that don't know this but continuity disruption, with no prior support, is typically tossed until support is introduced.  That's 101

[PhineasC]

I toss every model and just use real meteorology for my calls.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ricardo minds wants to know 

Hmm. How big? He seems curious.

[dryslot]

He wanted to confirm if what george told him was true.

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Why would the 18z GFS ... dictate anything though - it was a continuity break.  c'mon man... Well, maybe there are those that don't know this but continuity disruption, with no prior support, is typically tossed until support is introduced.  That's 101

You are not off the hook for the name change quite yet.

[PhineasC]

24 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

The weenies will always have one true King.

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

You are not off the hook for the name change quite yet.

Oh yeah .. wait 'til-ya see the next name change - keep pushin'

LOL

[qg_omega]

DT says biggest risk is a whiff 

1. All of the weather models on Monday morning and at midday are now in strong agreement in showing a ruly impressive powerful LOW pressure area developing off the Southeast coast on Friday night. This LOW will track in a NNE or NE direction as it parallels the East coast. Because of the jet stream pattern across North America, additional energy coming down from western Canada into the Plains and the Midwest, there is little chance that this LOW pressure area is going to hug the coast and/ or come inland.

2. This means that the main risk that of what could go wrong is LOW tracking too far to the east and missing everyone on the coast

[JC-CT]

That'll do pig. That'll do.

[CoastalWx]

Looks like some more spread this go around. 

[CoastalWx]

We slow down too.

[PhineasC]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like some more spread this go around. 

No, don't you dare.

[dryslot]

Maybe a tic or so on the 18z EPS east of the 12z EPS at 18z but pretty similar, Looked slower too.

[weathafella]

I was gonna say-lock me eps

[brooklynwx99]

EPS is also more progressive with the initial wave, which occurs at hour 60

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

[ORH_wxman]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Majority are left or along the mean.

[NorEastermass128]

She’s coming into focus. 

[brooklynwx99]

really isn't much analysis needed for this one

[PhineasC]

Definitely more east members than 12z but still clustered in pretty close.

[Damage In Tolland]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We slow down too.

Days x 3?

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Definitely more east members than 12z but still clustered in pretty close.

It's on like Donkey Kong.

[George001]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lots of really strong lows that are quite west. Great sign 

[Damage In Tolland]

When all major Mets go into weenie mode like this folks… it’s beast mode full throttle. Mets whipping long dongs across cheeks