Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,860
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Malkir008
    Newest Member
    Malkir008
    Joined

Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


Typhoon Tip
 Share

Recommended Posts

Interesting… a second low formed. In eastern mass, the snow rates have been increasing over the past few hours. My area is up to 8-10 inches or so and areas se that have been in the banding for longer are well over a foot. If that second low ends up becoming dominant, we may see the death band strengthen even more, more snow getting thrown back west. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/29/2022 at 5:05 PM, George001 said:

Interesting… a second low formed. In eastern mass, the snow rates have been increasing over the past few hours. My area is up to 8-10 inches or so and areas se that have been in the banding for longer are well over a foot. If that second low ends up becoming dominant, we may see the death band strengthen even more, more snow getting thrown back west. 

Expand  

you mean like every model has shown for the past 24 hours?

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/29/2022 at 7:09 PM, ORH_wxman said:

GFS was trash too until really late in the game. Model guidance overall struggled in this one for sure. 

Expand  

Yeah they all struggled, but I think the GFS had the best idea. I’m looking at 00z from Thu night and the euro had me deformed for probably 2ft while the gfs had the banding signal where it’s pounding today with a big dropoff westward. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/29/2022 at 7:12 PM, dendrite said:

Yeah they all struggled, but I think the GFS had the best idea. I’m looking at 00z from Thu night and the euro had me deformed for probably 2ft while the gfs had the banding signal where it’s pounding today with a big dropoff westward. 

Expand  

Yeah the amped runs were definitely horrible. But it’s hard to ignore some of those GFS runs that we’re struggling to give BOS 8-9” too and might have failed to give me warning amounts. Though I think if we look solely at the midlevels, the GFS may have been better…but its dry bias in these coastals showed up for sure which probably made some of the solutions look worse than they actually were. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/29/2022 at 7:16 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah the amped runs were definitely horrible. But it’s hard to ignore some of those GFS runs that we’re struggling to give BOS 8-9” too and might have failed to give me warning amounts. Though I think if we look solely at the midlevels, the GFS may have been better…but its dry bias in these coastals showed up for sure which probably made some of the solutions look worse than they actually were. 

Expand  

As usual a blend probably wins again. It’ll be difficult to verify QPF in this one due to the wind.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/29/2022 at 7:20 PM, dendrite said:

As usual a blend probably wins again. It’ll be difficult to verify QPF in this one due to the wind.

Expand  

Yeah the Asos QPF is going to be horrific and even melting down won’t be super easy since you gotta find a spot that isn’t drifted too bad. 
 

I may cut a biscuit at the end of this just to see. Thankfully there’s a lot woods around the house so it limits the drifting some. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/29/2022 at 7:35 PM, ORH_wxman said:

That’s a good image and shows how the elongated low helped keep the best fronto banding pinned to the coast. If that midlevel center is not as elongated, then that fronto get shoved back much further west. 

Expand  

I always thought the 500mb evolution was a bit different here as well with the way this 'jumps' fairly quickly from WV / W NC to the Cape before slowing down / closing off....as opposed to it doing this process quicker off the Delmarva without the jump (possibly a +NAO element there)

Jan-28-500mb.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...