Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Just now, NorEastermass128 said:

5 miles as the crow flies between 2 ft and nada. 

Good thing the GFS can't resolve temps to save its life.

[Damage In Tolland]

Can this be days and days of snows?

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

0.00" in ASEMATT

you probably needed half a degree cooler

[CT Valley Dryslot]

[Ericjcrash]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Can this be days and days of snows?

While way drier for me than you SNE folks I get 51 straight hours of snow per 12z GFS lol

[HoarfrostHubb]

That would be a nice deformation band out this way

[weatherwiz]

Great to see 850/700mb lows develop and close off as they're passing by. Seeing 700 close off overhead is not desired but that's kinda insignificant right now. 

[PWMan]

20 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Atmospheric river talk from GYX soon?

[dryslot]

None of these solutions mean much other then there is going to be a big storm somewhere, But for now, Just model porn.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said:

While way drier for me than you SNE folks I get 51 straight hours of snow per 12z GFS lol

?

[PhineasC]

Basically perfect look but I wonder if this is the start of the expected slide back east that always happens. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Lol at that gradient. 2” in TAN 2 feet in Mansfield 

[dryslot]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Basically perfect look but I wonder if this is the start of the expected slide back east that always happens. 

Messenger usually visits the last 24hrs.

[HinghamBoss]

How literal can we take the clown maps in terms of not showing much frozen precip in SE MA?  

[JC-CT]

Just now, HinghamBoss said:

How literal can we take the clown maps in terms of not showing much frozen precip in SE MA?  

extremely. it's over, my deepest apologies.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, HinghamBoss said:

How literal can we take the clown maps in terms of not showing much frozen precip in SE MA?  

That would prob be a bit rough in SE MA because the CF sets up right over them...just west gets pounded while just E is SOL....the CF is really potent right up into the 925/900 layer, so it's not just right at the SFC.

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

None of these solutions mean much other then there is going to be a big storm somewhere, But for now, Just model porn.

Long ways to go, if we can just keep this track for 4 more days.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Fast jet is fast.

[MJO812]

Cmc

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, HinghamBoss said:

How literal can we take the clown maps in terms of not showing much frozen precip in SE MA?  

0.000000000000

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Fast jet is fast.

That's a great look for some pretty hefty ulvl divergence.

[Damage In Tolland]

Bump east a bit on the GGEM

[tavwtby]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Cmc

Lord!! fun tracking this one!

[codfishsnowman]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

 

I am gonna have that song in my head for hours now

[HinghamBoss]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

That would prob be a bit rough in SE MA because the CF sets up right over them...just west gets pounded while just E is SOL....the CF is really potent right up into the 925/900 layer, so it's not just right at the SFC.

Helpful context.  I am not jumping off any bridges over a model run 5 days out, but clearly want this to move just a bit more East over the next few days.  Rooting extremely hard for the big storm that this whole forum cashes in on.  Let the "losers" in this storm be people fighting about 10" vs 12" instead of 12" vs 0".

[mahk_webstah]

Selfishly, I don’t hate the folks in Boston, but I think this increases the chance that a plane from London can land at 1 o’clock on Saturday in Boston.  Looks like a storm that has a real chance for deformation from northwest Connecticut Massachusetts the Berks and southern Vermont over dendrite land and Gene and then over to Jeff

[CT Valley Dryslot]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc

IMHO a solution like that should be colder given the sfc high over Hudson Bay.

[tavwtby]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That's a great look for some pretty hefty ulvl divergence.

tropo fold?

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Selfishly, I don’t hate the folks in Boston, but I think this increases the chance that a plane from London can land at 1 o’clock on Saturday in Boston.  Looks like a storm that has a real chance for deformation from northwest Connecticut Massachusetts the Berks and southern Vermont over dendrite land and Gene and then over to Jeff

I'm not sure you can get much worse conditions for landing in BOS at 18z on Saturday than what a lot of guidance is showing.

[George001]

Just now, CT Valley Dryslot said:

IMHO a solution like that should be colder given the sfc high over Hudson Bay.

I agree. Rain snow line would be confined to the outer cape imo, NW of there blizzard conditions.