Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I have missed you so

So...what? Finish your sentence, go ahead. This is a safe space. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

So watch the bulge? (I agree btw)

This shall start to provide us real clues! (Hopefully) 

[NotSureWeather]

I can’t remember the last time I was this excited about a storm. Feel like a kid again.

[Hoth]

So is that convection east of the Outer Banks what purportedly snatches this thing from us?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

This shall start to provide us real clues! (Hopefully) 

There are lot of dudes on this forum who like to weenie out watching the bulge

[JC-CT]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

This shall start to provide us real clues! (Hopefully) 

lol...i think the models have given us a few clues

[dryslot]

As long as there not NE.

[Zeus]

The RAP run is makin’ eyes at me.

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

lol...i think the models have given us a few clues

A few but not all 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

SPC href rolling out 

Eastern L.I has sneaky jack potential 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

SPC href rolling out 

Eastern L.I has sneaky jack potential 

I agree...not that sneaky, though...they were on the s end of my death band

[IowaStorm05]

Technical warning area/county borders fascinate me. At my pinpoint location, It is a Winter Storm Warning. But if I were to go out and walk south for 15 minutes, That spot is across the county line and is a Blizzard Warning. 

 

[JC-CT]

Just now, IowaStorm05 said:

Technical warning area/county borders fascinate me. At my pinpoint location, It is a Winter Storm Warning. But if I were to go out and walk south for 15 minutes, That spot is across the county line and is a Blizzard Warning. 

 

you'd be fascinated by europe

[WxWatcher007]

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I agree...not that sneaky, though...they were on the s end of my death band

Li with north winds off the water for enhanced snow rates.

Enjoy out east guys.

[NotSureWeather]

Likelihood someone hits 40”?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Congrats Norwell 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, NotSureWeather said:

Likelihood someone hits 40”?

25%

[IowaStorm05]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What are the ratios/methods used for that map?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, NotSureWeather said:

Likelihood someone hits 40”?

I'm hoping to hit 4"

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I'm hoping to hit 4"

Over 

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

yeah seems pretty consistent with what I'm seeing. That's maybe on the more aggressive side but not super crazy. Congrats southeast mass, bullseye for days and days.

[DomNH]

2 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said:

Likelihood someone hits 40”?

Can always measure a drift. 

[powderfreak]

The 00z HRR has a large area of 1.0"+ QPF... with good ratios, that's a big time event.

[shawnmov]

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Question for somebody much more educated than me. Does this use 10:1 ratio or calculate what it thinks it will be?

[CoastalWx]

Wtf href LOL.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

What are the ratios/methods used for that map?

Not sure about ratios but if you go here (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/#) on the right side you can click a link to show the members that are used. It tends to be solid IMO. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I'm hoping to hit 4"

If this was only 50miles NW, ugh. Of course if we had the tucky solution locked, models would have sent the h7 low over our heads and deformed the deep interior like Mar17. 

[Hoth]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Just scoot that blob under Long Island north 40 miles. Is that so much to ask?

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Wtf href LOL.

I knew someone would comment on how it goes bananas out there.