Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Digityman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This isn't as dire as I thought....I never look until after the fact.

Your mood-swing posts are worse than my menopausal wife and teenage daughter combined.   Wowsa.

[EastonSN+]

Again change to moving offshore scenario. 

Bargaining time. If I can still get a foot.....

 

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, skierinvermont said:

I don't think so.. the heights are higher over NE at hr 18

I didn't think so when you toggle hr 12 and hr 18 on the 12z and 06z north of the border but it doesn't matter it ended up there.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We stay the course.

Chips fall mode. 

I refuse to let this happen. If you need me, you can find me outside desperately diving around the lawn trying to catch snowflakes which my mind has turned from a substitute for the chips metaphor into something way too literal.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Still 2 feet here, but for sure tamed down.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WeatherWilly said:

What are the chances the Euro changes it mind again later when it's basically nowcast territory. 

What are the chances you remember that you have radar and windows between now and then?

[dryslot]

More kuchie maps.

[MarkO]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Yea there are some very strange people in here. Qpf queens and all. 

Yeah, here's the thing... Last night's Kuchera gave me 46".

[TheSnowman]

I had 45 Minutes to Go!!  Few!!  

 

Thank GOD I CHANGED FLIGHTS last night to buy me 8 Hours!  

 

I feel TERRIBLE for all of you though.  Wow.  What a bust.  Can we have a thread on what happened so we can learn?  

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yea there are some very strange people in here. Qpf queens and all. 

For me I just worry the trend continues.

I know I got hopes up for a true NESIS event.

Still nice for the area considering the winter.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Digityman said:

Your mood-swing posts are worse than my menopausal wife and teenage daughter combined.   Wowsa.

I was just going off of the reactions of others. I hadn't seen it.

[South Shore Slop]

7 minutes ago, BostonWX said:

 

Kuchera and 10.1 , still looks very good for central and eastern areas

Harwich MA jackpot....

[DomNH]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

More kuchie maps.

Absolute garbage.

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

More kuchie maps.

I am afraid to post cause everyone will yell ."wind will not allow that much snow growth"

[Digityman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I was just going off of the reactions of others. I hadn't seen it.

I hear you.  We are all invested and it's hard to contain.   Like a rollercoaster. 

[subdude]

356 pages of excitement and grief... gotta luv it. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

[CCHurricane]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

12+ is still a lock for Boston but I'm not sure about 18+ anymore.

With ratios I think 18 is achievable. 15:1 will get them there based on most current QPF output.

[Allsnow]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Thank you 

[dryslot]

Lopped off 4/10" here so i guess i'm only getting 14", Damn

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yea there are some very strange people in here. Qpf queens and all. 

these models are showing kuchera ratios of like 18-20+ to 1 in some places. That's not happening either

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I was just going off of the reactions of others. I hadn't seen it.

I’m pretty sure all these moves have done is move you into the deform zone

[MarkO]

I will say this. I'd rather get kicked in the balls now than at 1AM.

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

I had 45 Minutes to Go!!  Few!!  

 

Thank GOD I CHANGED FLIGHTS last night to buy me 8 Hours!  

 

I feel TERRIBLE for all of you though.  Wow.  What a bust.  Can we have a thread on what happened so we can learn?  

Hasn't started yet so dont think we can call it a bust yet.

[dryslot]

So much for putting the models away and just nowcast ha ha.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, MarkO said:

I will say this. I'd rather get kicked in the balls now than at 1AM.

why not both?

[skierinvermont]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I didn't think so when you toggle hr 12 and hr 18 on the 12z and 06z north of the border but it doesn't matter it ended up there.

Oh I was comparing to 00z, that's probably why. With 00z the big difference to me is the kicker and confluence rebuilding in Canada sooner. Early on in the run everything looks as good as 00z or better.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m pretty sure all these moves have done is move you into the deform zone

Moved Wilmington in, with me just north

[Great Snow 1717]

1 minute ago, subdude said:

356 pages of excitement and grief... gotta luv it. 

100 years from now people will stumble upon this thread and then say out loud...."no wonder why the world was on the verge of a total collapse"....

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

13:1-14:1 ratios certainly wouldn’t be out of the question here… 20:1 or something like that is a pipe dream though