Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[bristolri_wx]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Btw, does someone have the 500 height anomaly correlation scores that show all the major models? I seem to have lost my link for it and a search around the ghastly ncep site (very user-unfriendly) and google has proved useless. 

It was posted somewhere in this thread near/during the 18z catastrophe yesterday…

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I stayed in my seat the entire ride. Saw a bunch of people that lifted their bars and fall out or jump yesterday . Reached my hand out to save them, but they let it go . Even flicked me off as they fell

If it snows big, you will win every time. Congrats dude.  Wish I could head to Woodstock. 

[radarman]

8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yesterday’s 18z NAM run is unforgivable 

12z eps illustrated how easily a run could go haywire...  most folks understood the EE rule was in play.  

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

are you sure you weren't reading their finger backwards?

I’m not following this 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Corey.   Corey causes it

Beat me to it.

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s a widespread dumping. That’s a classic. 

Honestly, too perfect now. I can't really afford many more ticks W. hopefully locked in and just noise going forward 

[CT Rain]

33 minutes ago, Johnno said:

Ryan must be sprinting back to the computer after the 7pm news to see the 18z Euro

I was actually getting ready to go pick up dinner with Scott and Legro texted me lol

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, toller65 said:

GYX and WCSH6 currently have about half of that, me thinks by morning their forecasts will be upped

Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk
 

You have to go up in increments not ballz in out of the gate, Those will get adjusted, GYX already adjusted up the the 10 and 90 percentile.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, powderfreak said:

If it snows big, you will win every time. Congrats dude.  Wish I could head to Woodstock. 

Sometimes I downplay. Not these big boys though that lock in days out. And I truly mean this.. it gave me more confidence with the GFS OTS. There has not been one big boy in as long as I’ve been on the boards that the GFS had not been OTS and last time catch on. They may have upgraded it, but they did not fix that part

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

I was actually getting ready to go pick up dinner with Scott and Legro texted me lol

Scooter sleeping over? Same bed head to feet ?

[bristolri_wx]

So no concern with the Hi-Res models being farther east with this thing?

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not following this 

what's a middle finger read backwards

[OceanStWx]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Thanks that’s close but I was looking for the site that produces these images:

https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/

[hawkeye_wx]

I haven't read any posts mentioning it, but it appears much of this snow will be falling during the daylight on Saturday, which only adds to the greatness of the storm.

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Thanks that’s close but I was looking for the site that produces these images:

 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/

Ninja’d

[rcostell]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

IPA’s for everyone here. On me!

Enjoy up there and raise a glass to James! This ones for him. 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/

yeah, gfs having a tough month

[OceanStWx]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You have to go up in increments not ballz in out of the gate, Those will get adjusted, GYX already adjusted up the the 10 and 90 percentile.

Similar to yesterday's horror show at 18z, there's no reason to go all in here either. Trends look good, but 00z could easily messenger shuffle east and we don't want to overshoot the forecast.

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

I haven't read any posts mentioning it, but it appears much of this snow will be falling during the daylight on Saturday, which only adds to the greatness of the storm.

we talked about it early on, but it's been one of the few locked-in facets of this storm

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

28 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

As long as George Clooney isn’t in it I’ll be happy 

Markey Mark and Clooney drowning at the end was epic.  Making Grace a Cat 5 kept that movie from being perfect.  

[butterfish55]

what's the little hole over RI QPF wise caused by?

An accordion exploded

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Similar to yesterday's horror show at 18z, there's no reason to go all in here either. Trends look good, but 00z could easily messenger shuffle east and we don't want to overshoot the forecast.

That's why i like to see us get as much north and west as we can to give us wiggle room when we get that messenger (Scott) shuffle, RIP buddy the last 24hrs, 2015, We never got that, It actually went the other way which is rare but so are these, Him and i, PM'd a lot, Never met him, But it was like i knew him all my life.

[512high]

I have been snowplowing for 30 years or so, this should be a great one !, and I'm glad its a weekend for traffic reasons, I wonder if the big box stores and others sold every shovel and snowblower!

[nianticct]

11 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

climo

Not

[moneypitmike]

5 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

I haven't read any posts mentioning it, but it appears much of this snow will be falling during the daylight on Saturday, which only adds to the greatness of the storm.

I've thought that a number of times today.

[moneypitmike]

Warnings up before or after the 00z run?

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:

15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

what's the little hole over RI QPF wise caused by?

An accordion exploded

Cory after every storm

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

Ray, have you issued any update?  Always eager for those--I hope you draw your lines in the right place for my hood.

Tomorrow

[Dpb1983]

6 minutes ago, rcostell said:

Enjoy up there and raise a glass to James! This ones for him. 

This thread would be at 400 pages by now if he was here.  RIP