Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[dryslot]

Well, Well, At least the GFS got to the front door of the party this run.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, cut said:

I wasn't going to drink tonight but ... I feel like the storm is imminent - not still 36 or more hours away!!!!

Beer!

[WxFreak11]

Doesn’t move much from 42 to 48 hrs

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said:

GFS doesn't seem that far west or improved on the Pivotal surface maps.  I'm not looking at the other levels though... maybe I'm missing something...

look at the upper levels big changes 

[PhineasC]

Still not quite there but a lot better.  

[ORH_wxman]

It wouldn’t be a big dog if the GFS wasn’t rapidly caving inside 48h. 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah that is certainly a west.

[bristolri_wx]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

look at the upper levels big changes 

Yeah looking at that now.  Also more noticeable on the surface after HR 54...

[ROOSTA]

Perfection getting better. ? 
How HIGH is it going to go? Getting into the Twilight Zone... pinch me.

 

 

[skierinvermont]

BOS went from 0.3" to 1.6" of QPF from 00z to 18z

[Henry's Weather]

46 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

The NAM run was just such a thing of beauty.  I doubt it will happen as shown but just savor this moment.  You wait years to see something like this.  The GFS will bring us down a few notches....but if this NAM run were to verify Saturday afternoon Eastern Mass would be around 15, wind gusts over 65 (if my Weatherbell wind gust product is correct) with extremely heavy snow.  That would be about as close to a blizzard as we are ever going to get.

 

This really seems like it just might be historic, frankly, if all works out towards western half of model guidance

[40/70 Benchmark]

This will be comparable to 1978 in terms of snowfall...nothing else

[Damage In Tolland]

AAAAWWWWTTTT

[CT Rain]

Gotta love the GFS. We cave.

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This will be comparable to 1978 in terms of snowfall...nothing else

It's kind of like an out of-body experience to see it unfold before our eyes

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This will be comparable to 1978 in terms of snowfall...nothing else

Also, we need that blog post... write your own version of the Walt Drag 2001 AFD

[ineedsnow]

I think in the end most of SNE will do very well I like Pauls map

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Gotta love the GFS. We cave.

Take em up now so you and DIT can take em off?

[PhineasC]

This GFS run actually dumps here. LOL sneaky nice run 

[78Blizzard]

7 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Gfs caving.

Yeah, took it long enough.  Within day 1.5, lol.

[weathafella]

You could feel it-Will is giddy-it’s on!

[skierinvermont]

10 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

The H7 low is well offshore from us, so there's no mid-level dryslotting

Sure but you have to consider the downsloping and climo.. all the models show a gap in the snow there. SE CT, S RI and south shore of MA have basically never seen 24"+, maybe once, and 18"+ is extremely rare. 

And yet almost all the maps have these areas in either 18"+ or 24"+

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said:

Also, we need that blog post... write your own version of the Walt Drag 2001 AFD

Tomorrow. Believe it or not, as aggressive as I was yesterday, the 12z NAM disaster rolled out as I was wrapping it up, and I tapered down a bit.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, skierinvermont said:

Sure but you have to consider the downsloping and climo.. all the models show a gap in the snow there. SE CT, S RI and south shore of MA have basically never seen 24"+, maybe once

Yea, H7 has nothing to do w downslope. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

37 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I'm jealous guys

Enjoy

You'll get in some weenie band though. I know, we both want what EMA is progged for but 6-10" is doable...and it keeps the nyc street violence at bay for a day. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This will be comparable to 1978 in terms of snowfall...nothing else

Winds will be similar in some spots. 
Wish I was living closer to the Jack for this. 

[ineedsnow]

hahaha Ryan im sure people got 6 loafs of bread and 10 gallons of milk    sure he even got a laugh out of the snow haters with that

[rnaude241]

GFS puts 2' over my head. We take!

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, skierinvermont said:

Sure but you have to consider the downsloping and climo.. all the models show a gap in the snow there. SE CT, S RI and south shore of MA have basically never seen 24"+, maybe once

You mean south coast...south shore gets 2' often.

New Bedford had 2' in Jan 6, 1996

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Winds will be similar in some spots. 
Wish I was living closer to the Jack for this. 

Hey, empty house