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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


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4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I don't doubt this or anything, but intuitively, I would think that average 500hpa height anomaly might not be representative of how well each model / ensemble handles east coast cyclogenesis, let alone bombogenesis.

The main issue is that a consensus forecast is almost always better than an individual forecast. And that goes for models too. A single GFS or Euro op run may occasionally beat the ensemble, but more often than not it won't. Even for dynamic situations it will offer a range of solutions more likely to capture the end result.

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31 minutes ago, Newman said:

Me and some other meteorology classmates/friends are looking to chase this bad boy up there in MA. Never experienced a true New England blizzard and already looking at AirBnB's to book. We found a place north of Boston in Beverly, MA. 1) How does that location look for this storm, snow and wind wise? Euro and NAM look impressive, want to know if anybody thinks there could be a better spot 2.) How does that location typically do wind wise. Close enough to the coast for winds? 3.) How is that area with regard to plowing, etc.?

Fleetwood?  I grew up in Barto.  Small world.

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