Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[ineedsnow]

GEFS looks a little better

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

GGEM ticked east....kind of like RGEM did.

Monster hit for eastern areas seems locked in...but the western areas is where this matters.

WNE is very much relying on big circulation. We can’t afford to have a compact system with this if we want to get more than a few inches of snow.

[WeatherWilly]

Ever so slight strides have been made but we are still a long way from a consensus. 

[UnitedWx]

2 minutes ago, hooralph said:

Provincetown Bear week is in the summer.

Memorial day weekend then?

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

WNE is very much relying on big circulation. We can’t afford to have a compact system with this if we want to get more than a few inches of snow.

Yes agreed and not all the guidance agrees on how compact it is either. My gut says you get a solid storm out there, but obviously it's going to be living on the edge during these runs.

[mob1]

Ukie took a rather big step back 

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Ukie took a rather big step back 

I can't even see in between hours.

[moneypitmike]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GGEM ticked east....kind of like RGEM did.

Monster hit for eastern areas seems locked in...but the western areas is where this matters.

How far west, Will?  Asking for a friend.

[hooralph]

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

Ukie took a rather big step back 

Back and to the left?

[Go Kart Mozart]

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think it was the March 2017 storm where the GFS took until like 24 or 30 hours out to finally cave...it kept tracking it over the BM while the Euro and other guidance were huggers.

I think February 2013, GFS figured out we were having a major storm as it exited.

[CoastalWx]

Ukie and GGEM were on Coast Guard Beach so I am not surprised.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

How far west, Will?  Asking for a friend.

I don’t see any worries for your area. If things break east so you only get eight or 10 inches, still a win.

[tavwtby]

20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think it was the March 2017 storm where the GFS took until like 24 or 30 hours out to finally cave...it kept tracking it over the BM while the Euro and other guidance were huggers.

I remember that, wasn't there two that week?

edit: nevermind I was thinking of 2018

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GGEM ticked east....kind of like RGEM did.

Monster hit for eastern areas seems locked in...but the western areas is where this matters.

I think we have our solution.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Ukie and GGEM were on Coast Guard Beach so I am not surprised.

Yeah they were literally sitting on the outer cape.

[Sn0waddict]

Damn hope this one isn’t slipping away on us a bit (central CT that is) EMA looks to be a lock for something epic. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

The east ticks are real by the west leaners and the west ticks by the right leaners. Goalposts are tightening. Just EOR great storm, ENE historic storm. WOR... just bend over and accept it. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, tavwtby said:

I remember that, wasn't there two that week?

No you are probably remember March 2018....there was the March 7-8, 2018 storm that was a huge paste bomb for a bunch of SNE and then Mar 13, 2018 was the monster that crushed eastern areas....but it did have a weenie band in far western CT/MA too.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I think the death band is going to be between me and ORH.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, Sn0waddict said:

Damn hope this one isn’t slipping away on us a bit (central CT that is) EMA looks to be a lock for something epic. 

All it takes is a quicker phase and we are back. Could very easily happen given how much time we have left.

[Great Snow 1717]

55 minutes ago, rockchalk83 said:

I wonder how much the above normal SSTs in the NW Atlantic is helping in the latent heat/meso low production process. Gotta think it has something to do with it. 

I think it has some impact.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

All it takes is a quicker phase and we are back. Could very easily happen given how much time we have left.

Don't do it...

[BuildingScienceWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah they were literally sitting on the outer cape.

GGEM actually looked really good for us WOR in CT. Right over BM to just east of the cape this time.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the death band is going to be between me and ORH.

Works for me.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Works for me.

It figures that you would find the ORH lite, you sick, twisted SOB

[LovewellHemp]

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Illicit Drugs are not good man. Many stories of weed , gummies etc causing terrible issues Stick with beers.. specifically IPA’s and DIPA’s. Simply the best 

As a cannabis industry professional and owner of a hemp company whose been growing the plant for 15 years, I feel compelled to step in and point out that there are close to 100k deaths per year directly related to alcohol. That doesn't even include disease, addiction and the destruction that follows from alcohol. I love beer and weed, but I have never in my life seen someone harmed by cannabis. Paranoid for about 30 minutes is about the worst effect I've seen. And my friends and I smoked whatever we could find in highschool. It just takes a quick search of "yearly deaths from alcohol" and "yearly deaths from cannabis". Cannabis is medicinal, but like everything else, including the water you drink, quality and moderation is crucial. I love beer too, but I've never seen anyone's life improved by beer. I have countless stores of people using THC and other cannabinoids to improve their quality of life in huge ways. Ok, that's all. Sorry for getting political folks

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the death band is going to be between me and ORH.

Our goalposts are widening then 

[UnitedWx]

2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Damn hope this one isn’t slipping away on us a bit (central CT that is) EMA looks to be a lock for something epic. 

I think the time to ask that was yesterday afternoon. Things to me look better this morning in general

[EastonSN+]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Don't do it...

Ha yeah I am not saying it will happen or we are favored but it's close. Have to keep one eye on it.

Also ENE needs this after the brutal winter they had last year. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Our goalposts are widening then 

I don't agree....tightening up.