Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[dmcginvt]

go outside.  Scream at the atmosphere.  I WANT ALL THE SNOW.  At this point Im sure it's just as effective as hoping the models center on what you want to happen.

[bristolri_wx]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

We're breakin' out all the weird ones tonight..we're the IBM and RPM

I don't think we're in the RPM range yet... lol...

[CT Valley Dryslot]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

We're breakin' out all the weird ones tonight..we're the IBM and RPM

RPM is retired

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

The GFS/Euro/GGEM aren't even handling the energy massively differently coming out of Canada into the southwest anymore. These differences are becoming very cyclogenesis-driven.

We’ll the GFS as we know has been notoriously bad with east coast cyclogenesis over the years…and it’s appearing that trait is still a problem… 

[Go Kart Mozart]

24 minutes ago, George001 said:

We got the Canadian back, that’s huge.

Imagine if the Navy comes into line!!!!

[George001]

How does the new navy look? It’s not out on tropical tidbits yet.

[CT Rain]

I showed the NWS 10th/90th percentile forecasts. First time I've ever done that lol

[Typhoon Tip]

9 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

from there it hugs the coastline the entire way to canada.

And with the upper level low kind of dragging its heels behind it may actually get into that light snow for hours and hours. 

[wx2fish]

Ukie almost wraps into Chatham at 72hr. 

[yak]

2 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

18z ARPEGE (French)

Wow!  Look at that low of 135.2… umm… French units off of Hatteras!

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

I showed the NWS 10th/90th percentile forecasts. First time I've ever done that lol

ya that was different lol

[JC-CT]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

We’ll the GFS as we know has been notoriously bad with east coast cyclogenesis over the years…and it’s appearing that trait is still a problem… 

I've never been prouder to be an American right now

[IowaStorm05]

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, yak said:

Wow!  Look at that low of 135.2… umm… French units off of Hatteras!

Gold

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Ukie almost wraps into Chatham at 72hr. 

I def didn’t anticipate that 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

And with the upper level low kind of dragging its heels behind it may actually get into that light snow for hours and hours. 

Kev would love that...hours of useless snow

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

CMC looks identical to it’s 0z run from last night.

[Patrick-02540]

8 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

18z ARPEGE (French)

Where are all these weirdo models coming from?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I def didn’t anticipate that 

I did.

Euro will probably tic better.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Patrick-02540 said:

Where are all these weirdo models coming from?

meteocentre

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Wow.

[8611Blizz]

Just now, Patrick-02540 said:

Where are all these weirdo models coming from?

Modelhub

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

CMC looks identical to it’s 0z run from last night.

I was gonna say that...had the band over me then, too. 

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Ukie almost wraps into Chatham at 72hr. 

Not surprised after seeing that UK map.

[ORH_wxman]

It’s amazing how much difference there is now not just in the actual track but also the speed. Some runs stall it for hours down near the island or the cape and some runs just rip it north east before even trying to capture it. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I did.

Euro will probably tic better.

if it does, I might even let you pick where to inflow

[PhineasC]

LOL these models. CMC has been terrible. Huge shifts every 6 hours. Worse than the UKMET even.

I keep jumping between 12-18 and zero.

[bristolri_wx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Kev would love that...hours of useless snow

He also jackpots on the CMC Kuchera clown map... 29" lol...

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I showed the NWS 10th/90th percentile forecasts. First time I've ever done that lol

I thought it was a very honest and informative description as to what’s been actually happening with this thing, for the general public who aren’t aware of the goings on with this. Nice job imo. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, PhineasC said:

LOL these models. CMC has been terrible. Huge shifts every 6 hours. Worse than the UKMET even.

I keep jumping between 12-18 and zero.

One model stands above the rest as steady freddie, and within the spread of solutions.