Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[weathafella]

5 minutes ago, WeatherHappens said:

do I have to do them all at once?

Nope

[ROOSTA]

I'm missing something? One run of the NAM, people start a panic! PLEASE.
Friggin model bounces all over the place. Like a broken clock it's right twice a day. In winter it's put in the garage.
Oh, look another bounce.
Instead of describing E or W referencing to individuals BY why not reference the move a map location like say the BM.  
   

[George001]

Just now, ROOSTA said:

I'm missing something? One run of the NAM, people start a panic! PLEASE.
Friggin model bounces all over the place. Like a broken clock it's right twice a day. In winter it's put in the garage.
Oh, look another bounce.
Instead of describing E or W referencing to individuals BY why not reference the move a map location like say the BM.  
   

0z nam is ejecting more energy. Going to be way west with the low.

[WeatherHappens]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Nope

then done lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

I'm missing something? One run of the NAM, people start a panic! PLEASE.
Friggin model bounces all over the place. Like a broken clock it's right twice a day. In winter it's put in the garage.
Oh, look another bounce.
Instead of describing E or W referencing to individuals BY why not reference the move a map location like say the BM.  
   

Gfs, gefs, cmc, 12z euro..all slid east, then 18z euro ticked w. 

[brooklynwx99]

the NAM is nothing like the 18z as expected, was just a hiccup earlier

both streams are more favorable

 

[wxsniss]

Hr 33... southern shortwave more east... TPV more restrained... this should be a better run

Main value is to reassure everyone that 18z NAM was an anomaly, not a trend

[kdxken]

Lots of folks seem on edge. Isn't this supposed to be fun?

 

[ineedsnow]

this run will definitely be better

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Where’s Matt Noyes these days?

[ROOSTA]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

0z nam is ejecting more energy. Going to be way west with the low.

Don't..., won't use it. 2 days in and only used for QPF in unique situations.  

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, wxsniss said:

Hr 33... southern shortwave more east... TPV more restrained... this should be a better run

Main value is to reassure everyone that 18z NAM was an anomaly, not a trend

This will be better no doubt, Heights are higher over NE too.

[George001]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

the NAM is nothing like the 18z as expected, was just a hiccup earlier

 

Yep, ejecting more energy like the Euro did. When the Euro went west at 18z it was a great sign. When the Euro sticks to its guns like this 2-3 days out it should not be ignored imo.

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Where’s Matt Noyes these days?

NBC10 Boston

[CT Valley Dryslot]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

NBC10 Boston

Cool. I always thought he was a great met on NECN.

[ineedsnow]

another fun run incoming I think

[wxsniss]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

This will be better no doubt, Heights are higher over NE too.

Yep

hr33-39 can already see the shortwave tugging much better on the trough... if all the associations we've observed this week mean anything, this will definitely be a better hit

[weathafella]

7 minutes ago, WeatherHappens said:

then done lol

See it’s already working!

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Cool. I always thought he was a great met on NECN.

He is truly one of us, weenies salute him

[ROOSTA]

 

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gfs, gefs, cmc, 12z euro..all slid east, then 18z euro ticked w. 

Devil in the details from here in. Initialization issue? don't know. Those four will come back and all this angst will be in vain. 

[DavisStraight]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

NBC10 Boston

Thought he was with NECN?

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, wxsniss said:

Yep

hr33-39 can already see the shortwave tugging much better on the trough... if all the associations we've observed this week mean anything, this will definitely be a better hit

Sharper trough, Southern s/w is is phasing in at 21z where 18z was leaving it behind.

[Diggiebot]

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

Thought he was with NECN?

Sister stations he is with both 

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the NAM is nothing like the 18z as expected, was just a hiccup earlier

both streams are more favorable

 

It’s got more hiccups than Charlie did in Willie Wonka

[dendrite]

Should be more west, but I'm not on the giddy bandwagon with this run yet.

[weatherwiz]

the differences between the handling of the southern stream vs 18z is insane. definitely giving more credence that the 18z was messed up

[78Blizzard]

Harvey will be taking them up again.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

 

Devil in the details from here in. Initialization issue? don't know. Those four will come back and all this angst will be in vain. 

GFS has always sucked with these things. Will posted its run from the day before Feb '13 to illustrate how it whiffed the greatest nor'easter since '78. I don't care if it's new and improved, I still don't trust it. GGEM is all over like the NAM.

[TalcottWx]

2 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

Sister stations he is with both 

I get the feeling NBC is heading toward ceasing NECN 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

the differences between the handling of the southern stream vs 18z is insane. definitely giving more credence that the 18z was messed up

The whole model can be messed up at times.  It should figure this out by 12z Friday