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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


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10 minutes ago, George001 said:

image.thumb.png.6de103105d4bcb8936bd4639eed25576.pngThe 18z gfs is slower and more west with the energy that eventually gets buried out west. To my untrained eye (mets here, correct me if I am wrong) it looks like the energy is digging faster and is farther east. In my opinion this tells me gfs and nam are wrong with burying the energy. 
 

edit- not my map

WTF am I looking at George?

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My Dad lives in West Hartford and asked how much snow he should expect. I told him that nobody really knows at this point. That he could get 8 inches or get almost nothing at all. What I also told him is that I CAN say that it is very unlikely he will see anything like 15 or 20 inches as just about nothing is signaling any such thing, and to get a blockbuster there would require a f'cking miracle.

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6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The freakouts are getting a bit ridiculous. This is still really 2.5+ days away. I know it seems plausible to want to see such strong agreement and consistency but the truth of the matter is we're still within the time frame where subtle differences are going to occur. Forgetting about these east vs. west swings, at the end of the day, we're not asking for significant changes here. For things to come together and be a very high-impact event for most...it's not like a ton has to happen for that to happen. There is a difference in needing drastic or substantial changes and very subtle. 

This. Couldn't have said it better. People who write this off, one way or the other are completely ridiculous. 

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1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said:

My Dad lives in West Hartford and asked how much snow he should expect. I told him that nobody really knows at this point. That he could get 8 inches or get almost nothing at all. What I also told him is that I CAN say that it is very unlikely he will see anything like 15 or 20 inches as just about nothing is signaling any such thing, and to get a blockbuster there would require a f'cking miracle.

My father, no matter the storm, always says it's a bust.

He said Nemo was underwhelming.

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6 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

WTF am I looking at George?

Someone over at another board compared the obs with the 18z gfs for the energy that eventually becomes our southern energy. It looks like the obs are faster and more east with it, which suggests that the models that are burying the energy are wrong and the Euro has the right idea.

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