Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Johnno said:

Love how the inland runner on MLK day was locked in so well leading up and now this one just slip slides right away, brutal 

Brutal. This passion/hobby is cruel. 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, DFRI said:

Brings it upon himself.

 

Do tell . You always like or trophy all my posts. Fill us in girl

[SnowGoose69]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

It really wouldn't surprise me if the GFS completely shit the bed on this storm, nor if the canadian jumped into said bed, starting rolling around in it and then licked its ass.

What really bothers me is this:

Any time the GFS differs fairly significantly from the Euro in a storm that has southern stream origin or anything close to it, its possible it will get owned.  It did not last week but that was more of an atypical evolution.   The GFS did badly blow the one true Miller A we had this year

 

 

 

 

[WeatherWilly]

2 minutes ago, Johnno said:

Love how the inland runner on MLK day was locked in so well leading up and now this one just slip slides right away, brutal 

Very few things in life turn out to be worse than you feared them to be. This winter is an exception. 

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If 00z continues,  we need to bail.

Yup

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This GD place sometimes. 

Says the guy who’s hammered at 6pm on a Wednesday trying to sell people on the 18z rgem being better than 12z despite being presented directly with evidence of the contrary 

[DavisStraight]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Harvey just said be thought it would be compact. 

Bouchard did too

[MJO812]

13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

the lack of atlantic blocking too-both AO and NAO are positive.    

Yep 

Lack of negative nao is a killer here 

[mattm4242]

Harvey seems confident about 12+ for coastal and far eastern mass, can tell he is less so about further west.

Stressed that there is plenty of time for it to bump one way or the other.

[78Blizzard]

24 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

well if someone said the 18z nam looks great and came way west, should we just nod in agreement?

We'll toss it just like the 18z run.

[JC-CT]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Yep 

Lack of negative nao is a killer here 

the entire 2015 winter had a positive nao. we have pacific blocking here

[Hoth]

Ryan’s broadcast sending CT snow lovers straight to the Quinnipiac. 

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, mattm4242 said:

Harvey seems confident about 12+ for coastal and far eastern mass, can tell he is less so about further west.

Stressed that there is plenty of time for it to bump one way or the other.

Yeah this is the way to go. I still do not see any convincing evidence why this is a big deal at all of west of roughly ORH or perhaps HFD- EEN.

[CT Rain]

Just now, Hoth said:

Ryan sending CT snow lovers straight to the Quinnipiac. 

I'll be joining them.

[CT Rain]

Over/Under for Tolland?

3"?

[weathafella]

Everyone has a half baked theory of why.  Few are valid 

[tavwtby]

16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

But it matches model runs over the last 24 hours, and that's what these probabilities are based off of. The reality is that we probably aren't able to narrow the range down to something smaller than 0-18" at this point.

yeah understandable, still funny though

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Hoth said:

Ryan’s broadcast sending CT snow lovers straight to the Quinnipiac. 

He’ll be the first one in.

[JC-CT]

Just now, weathafella said:

Every has a half baked theory of why.  Few are valid 

IT'S TOO PROGRESSIVE

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

Over/Under for Tolland?

3"?

I'll take the over. But it's far from a sure bet.

[codfishsnowman]

20 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I pointed this out in the NYC forum a few days ago but the 500mb pattern over the US is so darn similar to February 24 1989...the storm evolution itself is not and is way more dynamic but the track may be pretty darn similar.

That miss still makes me want to vomit, that was just horrible. I was a junior in HS. I remeber we had a PDD and I was out at breakfast and the sun was getting brighter and brighter but Dr Mel still came on every few minutes to tell us 6 to 10 inches was still coming...Finally around 8 hours later while ACY was enjoying near white out conditions the locals finally admitted it was over for us Ct folk

[HIPPYVALLEY]

10 minutes ago, Johnno said:

Love how the inland runner on MLK day was locked in so well leading up and now this one just slip slides right away, brutal 

Should we lock next weeks cutter? 

[weathafella]

I will say this.   If this fails I’m out-at least until the next model run…

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Says the guy who’s hammered at 6pm on a Wednesday trying to sell people on the 18z rgem being better than 12z despite being presented directly with evidence of the contrary 

Coming from the kid who has single-handedly ruined our subforum . I mean literally 

[codfishsnowman]

10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Brutal. This passion/hobby is cruel. 

You ain't kidding

[Johnno]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Should we lock next weeks cutter? 

Goes without saying 

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Everyone has a half baked theory of why.  Few are valid 

Probably not a great time to be sitting in BOS trolling those who will miss. LOL

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Should we lock next weeks cutter? 

no - plenty of time to get warmer

[PhineasC]

Let the anger flow through you weenies. Give in to your hate. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

That miss still makes me want to vomit, that was just horrible. I was a junior in HS. I remeber we had a PDD and I was out at breakfast and the sun was getting brighter and brighter but Dr Mel still came on every few minutes to tell us 6 to 10 inches was still coming...Finally around 8 hours later while ACY was enjoying near white out conditions the locals finally admitted it was over for us Ct folk

I have PTSD from Feb ‘89. It was my first massive bust as a young snow weenie as we had just moved back up from Texas.