Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[WeatherWilly]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I think historic left the building about 18 hours ago.  Major for many is still there though.

Still could be historic on the parts of the cape. 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

It isn't closed off yet, so maybe it recurves slightly towards 70N?

[weatherwiz]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Crazy that the NAM has zero snow in SNE still by 21z on Saturday.

Was just noticing that. Absolutely wild

[wxsniss]

I mean this is flurries eastern SNE thru 03z Sunday... huge discontinuity from 6z and 12z runs, I would not over-react to this

[NorEastermass128]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Crazy that the NAM has zero snow in SNE still by 21z on Saturday.

We’re back to a D4 threat. At least we bought ourselves some time. Haha

[Heat Miser]

14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Hey But nugget…out that way is on its way to NYC…so stuff that in your pipe and smoke it. 

Come on guys. The truth is no one is interested in the parts of CT in which you each reside 

[dryslot]

Looks GEPS'ish

[klw]

I am shocked, shocked I tell you to learn that we should not rely on the NAM at 84 hours!  Why has this never been brought up before???????

[NeonPeon]

Going from 14" verbatim to 1" has to be one of the biggest swings I've ever seen. Hilarious.

[JKEisMan]

Did anyone post the srefs yet? 

 

Man the modeling of this storm blows..

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Just now, JKEisMan said:

Did anyone post the srefs yet? 

 

Man the modeling of this storm blows..

Dynamic synoptics will do that.

[IowaStorm05]

4 minutes ago, WxFreak11 said:

The NAM is whacked

Is it though? It is bizarre behavior but can it truly be discounted?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

If that track pans out we should have a impromptu GTG on Tobin on Saturday 

[OceanStWx]

That looked a little wonky though. Some convection seemed to race through to the east and sort of helped to Fujiwhara the main low east with it. 

[Torch Tiger]

[Patrick-02540]

6 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

This NAM is an almost poetic account of everything that could go perfectly wrong with something pretty good.

And even in that, there is beauty.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, klw said:

I am shocked, shocked I tell you to learn that we should not rely on the NAM at 84 hours!  Why has this never been brought up before???????

Agreed ...but ..What should we rely on 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

That looked a little wonky though. Some convection seemed to race through to the east and sort of helped to Fujiwhara the main low east with it. 

Euro started with that to a much lesser extent also. 

[weatherwiz]

The biggest thing to just take from this is the continued idea to hold the energy back in the SW longer. But until we have a much better sampling/idea of this energy all ranges of possibilities remain and we'll continue to see wild swings and inconsistencies until it's just handled better. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

18z NAM gone off chasing the convection offshore a bit.

 

Just now, OceanStWx said:

That looked a little wonky though. Some convection seemed to race through to the east and sort of helped to Fujiwhara the main low east with it. 

[Sn0waddict]

Even Nantucket doesn’t really get a whole lot. Sheesh.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

If that track pans out we should have a impromptu GTG on Tobin on Saturday 

I'm not tossing any solution yet.

[WxFreak11]

3 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Is it though? It is bizarre behavior but can it truly be discounted?

The inconsistency of it is reason enough to call it whacked 

[JKEisMan]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

The biggest thing to just take from this is the continued idea to hold the energy back in the SW longer. But until we have a much better sampling/idea of this energy all ranges of possibilities remain and we'll continue to see wild swings and inconsistencies until it's just handled better. 

I like the inherent optimism of this, I will hang my hat on that.

[NorEastermass128]

If it plays out like that though, I’m going on a self-imposed ban from the board for a while. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I'm not tossing any solution yet.

This NAM run is tossed.  

[wxsniss]

Outer Cape barely reaches warning lol

[dendrite]

There’s legit fronts and thermal gradients with that initial low that forms and dissipates. 

[cut]

19 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

I think the majority of us folks west of Rt 8 associate more with metro NY.  East of that, you get the New England/Boston association.  At least that's how it plays out with sports.  

RT 25 is actually where MLB considers the division between Yanks territory and Sawx territory when it comes to broadcast policy and blackouts.

[Brian5671]

just have to laugh at this point...Christ