Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[TalcottWx]

Is that convective feedback on euro? 

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Personally, Your areas in the best spot with some just to the west of there if had to pick a place.

I’m driving to Scooter’s house, ha.  Gonna see a tent set up in his backyard with me in full arctic camping gear.

[dryslot]

8 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Remove the double low from the solution and the Euro is still perfect.

That created a problem this run, 0z it was there but the slp stayed closer to the forcing west.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

What’s your take?   It seems all about the capture.  Until that happened I was thinking uh oh.

This is exactly what I expected to happen...I knew the early capture and stall was BS....I think we are arriving at our solution....deform from me to perhaps CTRV as western goal post

[CoastalWx]

Euro dissolves that meso low. Wonder if it is real, as in something realistic, or generated because a cluster of convection turned into a mesocyclone haha.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Now these are the storms I live for. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I like my area for mid levels

Your fine there as well.

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I am coming I. On a 777 from London.  We get wheels up at 5am and it shouldn’t be too bad then in Boston.  Isn’t it slowing a bit?

I once had an AA 777 into Logan in a smaller but significant storm.  We probably were the last ones in.   But 1pm in Boston should be pretty intense I think.

[George001]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Donuts and coffee just strewn all around the cruiser.

If the models keep burying the energy, there will be a lot of innocent people in jail over in NYC.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

I’m driving to Scooter’s house, ha.  Gonna see a tent set up in his backyard with me in full arctic camping gear.

Never a doubt. I'll be there too. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Never a doubt. I'll be there too. 

I still give you double digits.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Is that convective feedback on euro? 

I would say, yes. Not a met though. I think that's a big factor into why we keep getting eastern solutions.

[powderfreak]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Never a doubt. I'll be there too. 

Looks like a homeless encampment while his kid measures snow on the tents.

[Torch Tiger]

Euro looks fantastic for ENE, just hope we get a few jogs west for the WOR/NW crew (sorry CC/islands)

[ForestHillWx]

12 minutes ago, hooralph said:

I'm just gonna hang out here. The NYC forum must look like a bar in Buffalo this past Sunday night.

Toaster baths for most; borderline unreadable. 

[weathafella]

Convective feedback is a weenie excuse 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

Convective feedback is a weenie excuse 

Yea, more often than not its a real flag.

[Baroclinic Zone]

GTG at Vitamin Sea Brewing

[dryslot]

We've already seen this process on a couple other storms and it ended up being real so don't doubt it.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I still give you double digits.

This.  

 

I’m fine where I am. He’s 25 miles west of me.
 

We’re still two plus days out. FXWX has the right idea. 

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, George001 said:

If the models keep burying the energy, there will be a lot of innocent people in jail over in NYC.

LOL

[TalcottWx]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Convective feedback is a weenie excuse 

 

[WxWatcher007]

It’d take a butcher knife to cut through the tension here. 

[mahk_webstah]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I once had an AA 777 into Logan in a smaller but significant storm.  We probably were the last ones in.   But 1pm in Boston should be pretty intense I think.

I fear my wishcasting has caused the energy in the southwest to hold back too much. I apologize to my n and w friends. I will cease and desist and 18Z and 0Z will improve.  I’ll just have to take my chances of getting in the Boston or being diverted

[WeatherWilly]

Trying to get a storm that nails Philly, NYC, Hartford, Providence, and Boston is always a tough ask. Someone is always disappointed. Just hope it's not all of us.

[JC-CT]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

 

i thought it's more a function of the energy that gets dragged behind in the southwest that ends up pinwheeling around. seems like that would be very real

[CT Rain]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro dissolves that meso low. Wonder if it is real, as in something realistic, or generated because a cluster of convection turned into a mesocyclone haha.

Yeah the Euro definitely has a weird evolutuion with that surface low racing NE with the convection. Not sure it makes a huge difference. 

Also it still closes off the 700mb low pretty early. 

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We've already seen this process on a couple other storms and it ended up being real so don't doubt it.

OTS is always the risk.  They always move east. That’s why I want to see them inland and why I hope to turn the cutter into a SWFE as it moves east. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Verbatim… euro is probably a top 5 all time storm here. Just crushed. Wouldn’t want it to kick east much more though 

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, WeatherWilly said:

Trying to get a storm that nails Philly, NYC, Hartford, Providence, and Boston is always a tough ask. Someone is always disappointed. Just hope it's not all of us.

Yup now I am pulling for Easter areas to get buried but the east weaker trends have to stop.