Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Damn that Coochie map may have some street cred. Sfc temps suggest 15:1 ratios.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

LBSW (Kuchie, so adjust accordingly.)

 

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

LBSW (Kuchie, so adjust accordingly.)

 

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Kuchie should be banned

 

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Euro went back to a little more of a LBSW look.

Still pounding look at my and Scotts maps with 3 hr precip and 7h. This is a Johnny Holmes load

[Whineminster]

People shouldn't be spiking footballs until the GFS comes around, especially west of a PVD BOS line. It's been great all season. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

06z euro would being the prolonged stall scenario back on the table. What a weenie solution. 

I liked 00z better.....majority of SNE shouldn't want it stalling that far south.

Maybe towards Luke....

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

 

Still pounding look at my and Scotts maps with 3 hr precip and 7h. This is a Johnny Holmes load

That's Boxing Day for me, with better inflow, so it would  probably be a little better.

[Heisy]

While you guys up in SNE can cash in regardless of early track the euro is really the only model showing this type of snow down here in Philly. I would urge caution right now with it. Early on in the run it looked like it was going to actually tick east. It held back more energy. It has caved towards other modeling many times this year, and for some reason during its off runs it seems to double down before doing so. 

You guys should do damn good regardless though. Even eastern adjustment SNE would crush it still

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Heisy said:

While you guys up in SNE can cash in regardless of early track the euro is really the only model showing this type of snow down here in Philly. I would urge caution right now with it. Early on in the run it looked like it was going to actually tick east. It held back more energy. It has caved towards other modeling many times this year, and for some reason during its off runs it seems to double down before doing so. 

You guys should do damn good regardless though. Even eastern adjustment SNE would crush it still

I would def. sell that early of a capture.

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

 

Still pounding look at my and Scotts maps with 3 hr precip and 7h. This is a Johnny Holmes load

THIS is what TIP was alluding to. HISTORIC.

Unfortunately EURO is the only model showing something historic.

Let's see if we can get any other model to match.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That's Boxing Day for me, with better inflow, so it would  probably be a little better.

Nah you will be fine as it progresses along the zip line. First call 18 to 36 SNJ to Portland.  Ratios should be fantastic. This is the big one IMHO

[CoastalWx]

That look was still going strong at hr 90 Ray. 

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would def. sell that early of a capture.

NOT being argumentative, just trying to learn.

What would keep it from capturing that far south?

[drstuess]

Can you see this? Or is it blocked

Coastal RI sNOw hole

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Nah you will be fine as it progresses along the zip line. First call 18 to 36 SNJ to Portland.  Ratios should be fantastic. This is the big one IMHO

Lots of wind though. This won’t be a fluff job.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

THIS is what TIP was alluding to. HISTORIC.

Unfortunately EURO is the only model showing something historic.

Let's see if we can get any other model to match.

Save a horse. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Definitely a bit of LBSW on that euro

 

DISCLAIMER: I am not complaining, it would still be a great storm.

[mahk_webstah]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

If this doesn't surge your adrenaline if you are a purest SNE winter wx geek, well you need a new hobby. Ginx gone wild? You bet your sweet arse. 

Those maps are 7 PM Saturday. According to the euro the low is still south of Ack stalled so there’s a good bit more to go particularly central, North

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That look was still going strong at hr 90 Ray. 

That's what I was trying to impress on these guys. The Euro look is absolutely textbook blizzard for all. You get 2 feet, and you get 2 feet, and you get 2 feet 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

NOT being argumentative, just trying to learn.

What would keep it from capturing that far south?

I'm just going on past experience....guidance in general, especially the EURO, tend to stall/capture these systems a bit too aggressively. But full disclosure...its just a hedge on my part. No scientific reason why that can't happen, especially since this is more of a Miller A.

JMHO, capture will tic later and a bit more progreessive.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Definitely a bit of LBSW on that euro

 

DISCLAIMER: I am not complaining, it would still be a great storm.

Yup and Everyone wins (plus would be a media frenzy which we love)

Nothing better than watching TWC as the snow starts to fall on each city south of us knowing it was heading our way.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

Those maps are 7 PM Saturday. According to the euro the low is still south of Ack stalled so there’s a good bit more to go particularly central, North

Yes sir depending on movement and eventually occlusion.  Plus deform bands away in qpf queens. We literally are talking 2 days away from the demons birth. Lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

@EastonSN+No worries at all.....you weren't being argumentative in the least. Nothing wrong with looking for clarification.

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah Ray, 06z only goes to 90h. That is not close to being done up here. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

12 minutes ago, Hoth said:

LBSW (Kuchie, so adjust accordingly.)

Oh please storm, blow your load on me!

[ORH_wxman]

Anyways, nice 06z EPS look

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah Ray, 06z only goes to 90h. That is not close to being done up here. 

I know...I mean, that run is probably more like 24" instead of 32" at 00z here. Just to place this in context....I'm not melting or anything.

[JC-CT]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

That's what I was trying to impress on these guys. The Euro look is absolutely textbook blizzard for all. You get 2 feet, and you get 2 feet, and you get 2 feet 

And Brett rains?  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Anyway, I have a quick meeting.....

FIYYYYYYYAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH We are all saluted

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I know...I mean, that run is probably more like 24" instead of 32" at 00z here. Just to place this in context....I'm not melting or anything.

You are killing me lol. Too bad we didn't have an 06 Narcan

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, JC-CT said:

And Brett rains?  

Brett is in NJ. Zeus lol. I know you mean Tbust

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Anyways, nice 06z EPS look

 

I still don't like that large cluster far east. Difference between a meh storm and a historic one.