Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[JC-CT]

Maybe the control did something funky.

[CT Rain]

Yikes. The GEFS are east a decent bit.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Just...weird. burp?

Yeah my guess is it’s a burp. That’s just such a big continuity break to steal Tip’s description of yesterday’s 18z GFS. 

[Ginx snewx]

19 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Crappier than 12z. The posts here made it seem like this was a monster run until I looked. 

24 with ratios here. Massive deform from Portland to Here. Looks fantastic to me.

Qpf queens will queen,

Jackpot jerks will jerk

I am just quietly sitting here

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Yikes. The GEFS are east a decent bit.

Good because it sucked with the storm 2 weeks ago.

[SouthCoastMA]

Still quite a few along the left side of the mean, albeit not as west as 12z

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That is a lot worse than the 12z GEFS. Kind of hard to buy that though. 

Did it last night at 18 as well. The weenies on the bus go round and round....

 

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That is a lot worse than the 12z GEFS. Kind of hard to buy that though. 

There goes the stall.  Perhaps the ensemble doesn't pick that up as well.

[PhineasC]

00z will be interesting to say the least. No clear trend at 18z either way. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

gfs narcan is solid for EOR, congrats to SEMA especially:

 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

00z will be interesting to say the least. No clear trend at 18z either way. 

And we still have the 18z Euro/eps.  

[Damage In Tolland]

 

[SouthCoastMA]

lol on a Saturday? 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

What a. 

[Diggiebot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

 

Except it will be Saturday and the storm will be forecasted much better than 1978 so probably not this scene…….

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

gfs narcan is solid for EOR, congrats to SEMA especially:

 

Yea that's a deform we can celebrate. Soon as I saw the 7H it was in like Donkey Kong 

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

gfs narcan is solid for EOR, congrats to SEMA especially:

 

Didnt that triple bun weenie in taunton just say earlier that it's not like someone is going to get 20 while someone else gets 3

[CT Rain]

What the hell is the GFS narcan?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Yea that's a deform I can celebrate. Soon as I saw the 7H it was in like Donkey Kong 

Fixed. 

A euro/gfs blend would work wonders for many on here, getting more of my WOR peeps involved. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

What the hell is the GFS narcan?

F5 bufkit using Cobb

[Damage In Tolland]

River west folks worry way too much . These beasts always throw heavy snows well west of modeled bands. With the kind of east inflow this will have . You’ll be feet deep back to the border . Inhale five extra seconds each puff and relax 

[IowaStorm05]

I told you. Climate change is causing an increase in monumental blockbusters over the entirety of New England, commingling with the occasional winter without 1 inch of snow on Nantucket.

[Prismshine Productions]

Hey, just popping in from the Southest thread hoping that everybody on the East Coast gets snow, stay safe and God Bless!

Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Let's all leave a spoon under our pillows and wear our PJs inside out from now until Saturday. For good juju

[Baroclinic Zone]

Love me some 18z GFS.  But I didn't need to tell you all that.

[tavwtby]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

River west folks worry way too much . These beasts always throw heavy snows well west of modeled bands. With the kind of east inflow this will have . You’ll be feet deep back to the border . Inhale five extra seconds each puff and relax 

usually storms this potent tend to have two deform bands one less than the other but it happened I believe in 2011, and 15, always a secondary max, with better ratios less qpf though

[OceanStWx]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

There will be a run or two that sends the dryslot into interior CNE and jackpots Plattsburgh, NY that will cause a bunch of meltdowns until an hour later when none of the other models follow it.

I'll never forget in the run up to Feb 2013 the NAM spitting out 4" QPF for PWM. Of course that in and of itself was enough to tease a historic event incoming despite it being a fantasyland forecast.

[Superstorm93]

Too soon? Boston already pulling out the numbers. 

 

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, Superstorm93 said:

Too soon? Boston already pulling out the numbers. 

 

plenty of room to go up from there.

[WeatherWilly]

1 minute ago, Superstorm93 said:

Too soon? Boston already pulling out the numbers. 

 

RIP southern Connecticut